{"id":17466,"date":"2012-07-10T07:05:22","date_gmt":"2012-07-10T05:05:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=17466"},"modified":"2012-07-10T07:05:33","modified_gmt":"2012-07-10T05:05:33","slug":"yavas-buyume-bonemi-sona-mi-e-rdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/yavas-buyume-bonemi-sona-mi-e-rdi\/","title":{"rendered":"Yava\u015f B\u00fcy\u00fcme B\u00f6nemi Sona m\u0131 E rdi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>May\u0131s ay\u0131nda sanayi \u00fcretimi bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesinin ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 5.9 oran\u0131nda artt\u0131.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3933835419\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>2011\u2019in ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ba\u015flayan yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6nemi bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde sona erdi mi? Sona erdiyse 2012\u2019nin ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fi kendinden \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyrekten b\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan belirgin bir fark g\u00f6steriyor mu? Bir s\u00fcredir bu sorular\u0131n yan\u0131tlar\u0131n\u0131n pe\u015finden gidiyorum. Bu nedenle bu k\u00f6\u015fede son zamanlarda \u00e7ok say\u0131da g\u00fcncel veri de\u011ferlendirmesi yer ald\u0131. Bu yaz\u0131 da farkl\u0131 de\u011fil. Sordu\u011fum sorular a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan d\u00fcn \u00f6nemli bir veri daha a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131: May\u0131s ay\u0131nda sanayi \u00fcretiminin bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesinin ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 5.9 oran\u0131nda artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6\u011frendik.<\/p>\n<p>Elimizde may\u0131s-haziran aylar\u0131na ait ba\u015fka veriler olmasa, may\u0131s ay\u0131ndaki bu g\u00f6rece y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f\u0131n, yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6neminin ilk \u00e7eyrekte sona erdi\u011fi ve dahas\u0131 ard\u0131ndan belirgin bir toparlanman\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi belirtilebilirdi. Oysa kredi verileri d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ikinci \u00e7eyrekte belirgin bir toparlanma ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eden veri yok. Kredi hacmindeki y\u00fckselmenin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n da mevsimsel oldu\u011funu biliyoruz (on \u00fc\u00e7 haftal\u0131k ortalama kredi verilerinden s\u00f6z ediyorum).<\/p>\n<p>Bu durumda sanayi \u00fcretimi verilerine biraz daha yak\u0131ndan bakmakta yarar var. Bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u015fu olabilir: 2011\u2019in ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finden bu yana mademki bir yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6nemi var, acaba bu yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6neminde sanayi \u00fcretim endeksinin y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131nda belirgin dalgalanmalar ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015f m\u0131? Yoksa tekd\u00fcze bir azalma m\u0131 var y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131nda?<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.radikal.com.tr\/Radikal.aspx?aType=RadikalYazar&amp;ArticleID=1093694&amp;Yazar=FATIH-OZATAY&amp;CategoryID=101\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; May\u0131s ay\u0131nda sanayi \u00fcretimi bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesinin ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 5.9 oran\u0131nda artt\u0131. 2011\u2019in ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ba\u015flayan yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6nemi bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":894,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17466","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17466","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17466"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17466\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17466"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17466"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17466"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}