{"id":17322,"date":"2012-07-04T13:55:43","date_gmt":"2012-07-04T11:55:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=17322"},"modified":"2012-07-04T13:57:01","modified_gmt":"2012-07-04T11:57:01","slug":"eurodolarda-kritik-gun-yarin-persembe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/eurodolarda-kritik-gun-yarin-persembe\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro\/Dolar\u2019da kritik g\u00fcn yar\u0131n (Per\u015fembe)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center\">\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/parite0407.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-17324\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/parite0407.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"484\" height=\"336\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/parite0407.png 605w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/parite0407-300x208.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 484px) 100vw, 484px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Euro dolar paritesinde haziran ba\u015f\u0131nda 1,24\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli sarkmalar olsa da dip \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n 1,24 civar\u0131nda yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Parite bu seviye \u00fczerinde kalabildi\u011fi s\u00fcrece zay\u0131f da olsa tepki potansiyeli m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Bu hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda ba\u015flayan son tepkide k\u0131sa vadede olu\u015fan d\u00fc\u015fen trendin bulundu\u011fu 1,26 civar\u0131 test edildi. Paritede olu\u015fan bu k\u0131sa vadeli trende kar\u015f\u0131n, ilk kademede en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc direncin geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn %38,2\u2019sinin ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 1,27 civar\u0131nda olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Paritede bu seviye a\u015f\u0131lamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece 1,24-1,27 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olu\u015facak bir dalgalanma izlemeye devam edece\u011fiz. Fakat yar\u0131n parite i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli g\u00fcnlerden biri olacak. Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) faiz karar\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan yapaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda yeni \u00f6nlemlere\/te\u015fviklere yer verilmesi durumunda parite \u00e7ok sert hareketler yapabilir. Normal \u015fartlarda faizi d\u00fc\u015fen para biriminin de\u011fer kaybetmesi daha makul bir hareket gibi dursa da, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ndeki sorunlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrece\u011fi ve g\u00fcveni artt\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in ilk anda paritede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olsa bile y\u00f6n yeniden yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nebilir. Fakat g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareket i\u00e7in ECB\u2019nin faiz karar\u0131 ard\u0131ndan yapaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda da Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisini destekleyecek ad\u0131mlar atmas\u0131 gerekecektir. \u00d6zetle paritede teknik olarak 1,24-1,27 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda dalgalanan bir s\u00fcreci makul g\u00f6rmekle birlikte, bu seviyelerden birinin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 hareketin \u015fiddetini artt\u0131rabilir. Bu k\u0131r\u0131lma yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc olursa, ba\u015flayan bu y\u00fckseli\u015f ana d\u00fc\u015fen trendin, d\u00fczeltmenin %61,8\u2019inin ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 1,29\/1,2950 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na kadar devam edebilir. Bu seviyelerin \u00fczerindeki rakamlar\u0131 \u015fimdilik en olas\u0131 senaryoda bile zor g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc de belirtelim. Bu olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6rmekle birlikte bu y\u00f6nde bir hareket piyasalar\u0131n dinami\u011finde k\u00f6kl\u00fc bir de\u011fi\u015fimin i\u015faret\u00e7isi olur ki, bu durumda sadece parite i\u00e7in de\u011fil di\u011fer yat\u0131r\u0131m ara\u00e7lar\u0131 i\u00e7inde varolan stratejileri sorgulamak gerekecektir. Yar\u0131n \u00f6zellikle kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 piyasalarda i\u015flem yapanlar\u0131n ECB\u2019nin faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurarak risklerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmelerini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1296439091\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>\u00dczeyir DO\u011eAN \/ Ara\u015ft\u0131rma M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc<br \/>\n<\/strong><strong>MARBA\u015e Menkul De\u011ferler<br \/>\n<\/strong><strong><a href=\"mailto:uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr\">uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><strong>Telefon: (0212) 286 30 00<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0 Euro dolar paritesinde haziran ba\u015f\u0131nda 1,24\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli sarkmalar olsa da dip \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n 1,24 civar\u0131nda yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Parite bu seviye \u00fczerinde kalabildi\u011fi s\u00fcrece&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4711,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17322","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17322","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17322"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17322\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4711"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17322"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17322"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17322"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}