{"id":17204,"date":"2012-06-30T08:45:02","date_gmt":"2012-06-30T06:45:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=17204"},"modified":"2012-06-30T08:45:11","modified_gmt":"2012-06-30T06:45:11","slug":"eurodan-almanya-cikacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/eurodan-almanya-cikacak\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro\u2019dan Almanya \u00c7\u0131kacak"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bir grup milletvekiline hitaben yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada Alman Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Merkel \u201cBen ya\u015fad\u0131k\u00e7a AB Ortak Tahvili olmayacakt\u0131r\u201d demi\u015f.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3469563022\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u201cEurobond\u201d (Avrupa Birli\u011fi Ortak Tahvili) \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131lmas\u0131, \u0130rlanda, Yunanistan, Portekiz, \u0130spanya ve \u0130talya\u2019n\u0131n i\u00e7inden \u00e7\u0131kmak i\u00e7in debelenip durdu\u011fu \u201cDevlet Borcu Krizin\u201din \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7in \u00e7ok etkin bir ila\u00e7t\u0131r. Almanya\u2019n\u0131n \u201c\u00f6nce b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcn\u201d dayatmas\u0131 yorgunu yoku\u015fa ko\u015fmakt\u0131r. Devletin \u201cfahi\u015f\u201d faizle bor\u00e7land\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir \u00fclkede, b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 zor d\u00fc\u015fer. Fahi\u015f faiz, devlet tahvili reel faizinin, milli gelir b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinden y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131 halidir. K\u0131saca \u00e7ok etkin bir ilac\u0131 reddetti\u011fine g\u00f6re Merkel\u2019in akl\u0131nda, krizi \u00e7\u00f6zecek ba\u015fka bir plan vard\u0131r herhalde. Ancak bu plan\u0131n ne oldu\u011funu Merkel a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015f de\u011fildir. \u201cBir ihtimal daha var, o da \u00f6lmek mi dersin\u201d misali bu se\u00e7enek olsa, olsa Almanya\u2019n\u0131n Euro\u2019dan \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131d\u0131r diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Almanya ile birlikte di\u011fer \u201ccari i\u015flem fazlas\u0131\u201d veren AB \u00fcyesi devletler Euro\u2019dan \u00e7\u0131karsa, Euro h\u0131zla de\u011fer kaybeder. Euro\u2019da kalan \u00fclkelerde enflasyon y\u00fckselir, kamu bor\u00e7lar\u0131 artsa bile, enflasyonla \u015fi\u015fen cari fiyatlarla \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen milli gelire oran\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fer. En \u00f6nemlisi halen s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez mertebede y\u00fcksek olan Devlet Tahvili faizleri reel olarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir d\u00fczeye geriler. Ama Avrupa\u2019da k\u0131yamet kopar.<\/p>\n<p><strong>ALMANLAR HATA ED\u0130YOR OLAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Alman Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Merkel, fizik doktoras\u0131 olan bir bilim insan\u0131d\u0131r. Herhalde \u00e7evresinde birinci s\u0131n\u0131f iktisat\u00e7\u0131lar vard\u0131r. Onlara dan\u0131\u015fmadan ve sergileyece\u011fi tutumun muhtemel sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 hesaplamadan bu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yapmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ancak bu tahminim ger\u00e7ek olsa bile, Merkel\u2019in daha do\u011frusu Almanlar\u0131n do\u011fru karar ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131lamaz. Tarih, Almanlar gibi y\u00fcksek e\u011fitimli rasyonel bir toplumun \u00e7ok say\u0131da yanl\u0131\u015f karar ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u00f6rneklerle doludur. Ben, yine de Merkel\u2019in tutumunu \u201cbilardo\u201d mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlemekten yanay\u0131m. Bilindi\u011fi gibi bilardoda \u00f6nemli olan, topun \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fta hangi y\u00f6ne gitti\u011fi de\u011fil, k\u0131sa kenar-uzun kenar \u00e7arpt\u0131rmalar\u0131 ile sonunda nereye varaca\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Merkel, herhalde AB\u2019nin savruk \u00fcyelerinin bu krizden yeterince ders almad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmektedir. H\u00e2lbuki son bir bu\u00e7uk y\u0131lda sorunlu \u00fcye devletlerin, b\u00fct\u00e7elerini denkle\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in \u00e7ok radikal \u00f6nlemler ald\u0131klar\u0131na \u015fahidiz&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.hurriyet.com.tr\/yazarlar\/20881246.asp\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bir grup milletvekiline hitaben yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada Alman Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Merkel \u201cBen ya\u015fad\u0131k\u00e7a AB Ortak Tahvili olmayacakt\u0131r\u201d demi\u015f. \u201cEurobond\u201d (Avrupa Birli\u011fi Ortak Tahvili) \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131lmas\u0131, \u0130rlanda, Yunanistan, Portekiz,&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":936,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17204","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17204","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17204"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17204\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/936"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17204"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17204"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17204"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}