{"id":17118,"date":"2012-06-27T14:43:01","date_gmt":"2012-06-27T12:43:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=17118"},"modified":"2012-06-27T14:43:09","modified_gmt":"2012-06-27T12:43:09","slug":"turkiye-butcede-birinci-lige-cikti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/turkiye-butcede-birinci-lige-cikti\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrkiye B\u00fct\u00e7ede Birinci Lige \u00c7\u0131kt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"
K\u00fcresel kriz sonras\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye h\u0131zla toparlanan ekonomiler aras\u0131nda. Toparlanmada ayr\u0131\u015fmaya yol a\u00e7an temel etken, e\u011fer bir bankac\u0131l\u0131k krizi yoksa, kamu bor\u00e7 d\u00fczeyi ve b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc. 2001 krizinde ya\u015fay\u0131p \u00f6nlemini ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zdan kamu borcu milli gelirin y\u00fczde 40’\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na indi. B\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 1 ‘lerde, bankalar\u0131m\u0131z da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc. B\u00fct\u00fcn bu nedenlerle son d\u00f6nemlerde \u00e7ift haneli b\u00fcy\u00fcmeleri yakalayan ekonomi haline geldik. Finansal piyasalar\u0131m\u0131z da bu nedenle zaman zaman k\u00fcresel piyasalardan pozitif y\u00f6nde ayr\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Son haftalardaki ayr\u0131\u015fmada ise petrol ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki gerileme etkin rol oynad\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye avantajl\u0131 konuma ge\u00e7ti. Nitekim bu avantajlardan birini daha d\u00fcn ya\u015fad\u0131k. Litre ba\u015f\u0131na benzin fiyatlar\u0131 5 kuru\u015f indirimle 4.16 kuru\u015fa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc kez yap\u0131lan indirimle toplamda benzin fiyat\u0131 54 kuru\u015f d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu da tepe noktas\u0131 olan 4.70 kuru\u015fa g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 11.5 azalma demek. Bunun enflasyon \u00fczerindeki pozitif etkisini g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.
\nSon d\u00f6nemdeki ayr\u0131\u015fmada T\u00fcrkiye’nin Moody’s taraf\u0131ndan notunun art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 da etkili. Bu art\u0131\u015fta da b\u00fct\u00e7edeki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn pay\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck. Y\u00fcksek cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Moody’s’in notu art\u0131rmas\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00e7ede sa\u011flam gidi\u015f en \u00f6nemli fakt\u00f6r olmu\u015f. B\u00fct\u00e7ede di\u011fer \u00fclkelere g\u00f6re ne kadar sa\u011flam oldu\u011fumuza Treding Economics’in verileri de ortaya koyuyor. \u00c7o\u011fu 2011 sonu rakamlar\u0131 olan son verilere g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye b\u00fct\u00e7e dengesini sa\u011flamada milli gelirinin y\u00fczde 1.4’\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131kla en iyi ilk 10’a giriyor. \u0130lk 10 aras\u0131nda \u00c7in, Almanya, \u0130svi\u00e7re, \u0130sve\u00e7 ve Brezilya da \u00fcst s\u0131ralarda yer al\u0131yor. \u0130lk 10 i\u00e7inde yer alan \u00fclkelerin yar\u0131s\u0131 AB \u00fcyesi ve Kuzey Avrupa’dan.
\nB\u00fct\u00e7ede en a\u00e7\u0131k giden ilk 10 \u00fclke aras\u0131nda yine AB \u00fclkeleri \u00e7o\u011funlukta. Bu kez g\u00fcneyde yer alan 3 \u00fclkenin yan\u0131na \u0130ngiltere, \u0130rlanda ve \u0130zlanda eklenerek b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ilk 10’un alt\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 AB \u00fcyesi \u00fclkeler olu\u015fturmu\u015f. ABD, \u0130ngiltere, \u0130spanya, Hindistan, Japonya, Fransa y\u00fcksek a\u00e7\u0131k verenler. A\u00e7\u0131k veren \u00fclkeler ayn\u0131 zamanda k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi ve piyasalar\u0131 da s\u0131k s\u0131k olumsuz etkiliyor.
\nT\u00fcrkiye’nin y\u00fcksek cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131na ra\u011fmen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomik performans\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00e7edeki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gidi\u015f en \u00f6nemli rol\u00fc oynuyor.<\/p>