Y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z tahminlerde ekonominin kendi i\u015fleyi\u015fi i\u00e7inde cari a\u00e7\u0131k fakt\u00f6r\u00fc d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir risk ta\u015f\u0131mad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledim. Hala da bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncedeyim. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k kendi d\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131zda olu\u015fabilecek risk fakt\u00f6rleri vard\u0131. Bug\u00fcn de b\u00f6yle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.
\nS\u00f6z konusu d\u0131\u015f risk\u00a0 unsurlar\u0131 nelerdir diye soruldu\u011funda fazla teredd\u00fct etmeden Avrupa ve \u0130ran diye cevapl\u0131yordum. Avrupa konusunda \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcnt\u00fc ve katastrof\u00a0 senaryolar\u0131na prim vermedim. Ama Avrupa sorununun h\u0131zla, k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclebilece\u011fini de hi\u00e7 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmedim.\u00a0 Avrupa\u00a0 riskinin sadece 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda etkili olmayaca\u011f\u0131,\u00a0 onun sonras\u0131ndaki\u00a0 birka\u00e7 y\u0131la da yay\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\u00a0 Burada g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck yo\u011funluklu ama\u00a0 uzun d\u00f6nemli bir sorun var\u00a0 anlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131z.<\/p>