{"id":16885,"date":"2012-06-20T16:43:48","date_gmt":"2012-06-20T14:43:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=16885"},"modified":"2012-06-20T16:43:57","modified_gmt":"2012-06-20T14:43:57","slug":"ekopolitik-dengeler-ve-kaya-gazi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/ekopolitik-dengeler-ve-kaya-gazi\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekopolitik Dengeler ve Kaya Gaz\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnyada etkin olma m\u00fccadelesinin do\u011fu ile bat\u0131 aras\u0131nda k\u0131z\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir s\u00fcre\u00e7ten ge\u00e7iyoruz. Her ne kadar olaylar siyasal kulvarda g\u00f6z\u00fckse de hepsinin temelindeki ekonomik gerek\u00e7eler, ana sebebi olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4163352683\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Nitekim BRICS toplant\u0131s\u0131yla G20 zirvesinin ayn\u0131 anda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f olmas\u0131, \u015eanghay \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn Rusya ve \u00c7in ekseninde geli\u015firken, Avrupa Birli\u011fi i\u00e7inde ekonomiyi ayakta tutma kayg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131, s\u00f6zde demokrasi u\u011fruna Kuzey Afrika\u2019da ya\u015fananlar\u0131n asl\u0131nda bir Akdeniz m\u00fccadelesi olma \u00f6zelli\u011fi ve Suriye eksenli Ortado\u011fu zorlamalar\u0131 hep ekonomik g\u00fc\u00e7 dengesi \u00fczerinden oynanan bir sava\u015f\u0131n kan\u0131tlar\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Avrasya olu\u015fumuyla, klasikle\u015fmi\u015f finansal g\u00fcc\u00fc y\u00f6neten bat\u0131 ekonomilerinin k\u00fcresel bankerleri de arkas\u0131na olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdikleri operasyonun engellenmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ana ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131ndan birini de enerji olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Rusya\u2019n\u0131n do\u011falgaz, \u00c7in\u2019in \u00fcretim g\u00fcc\u00fcyle ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol ile n\u00fckleer \u00fczerinden y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kavgay\u0131 iyi okumak gerekir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc s\u00fcre\u00e7 i\u00e7inde Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ve Orta Asya \u00fclkelerinin olu\u015fturulan hatlarla do\u011falgaz ile petrol kaynakl\u0131 enerji nakil hatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6netmesi \u00f6nemli bir detayd\u0131r. Rusya\u2019ya g\u00f6bekten ba\u011flanan bir Avrupa ger\u00e7e\u011fi, yolda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 saf d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rakarak bu \u00fclke ile direkt hat d\u00f6\u015feyen Almanya\u2019n\u0131n manevras\u0131 hep gelece\u011fin ekonomilerinde enerji \u00fczerinden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olman\u0131n u\u011fra\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n neticesidir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te Rusya, bilhassa Gazprom ile \u00e7ok ciddi bir avantaj yakalam\u0131\u015f durumda. Gelecekteki stratejinin de bu nokta ile Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ve yan\u0131ndakilerin lehine d\u00f6nece\u011fi kuvvetle muhtemel g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Peki bu oyun ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k \u00fczerinden bitti mi? Burada kimsenin hesap etmedi\u011fi teknolojik geli\u015fmeler ve kaya gaz\u0131 kart\u0131 devreye sokulmak i\u00e7in do\u011fru zaman\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Kaya gaz\u0131na ge\u00e7meden \u00f6nce ABD\u2019nin sessiz sedas\u0131z \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 \u00f6nemli ba\u015fl\u0131\u011fa bakmak laz\u0131m. Pentagon sponsorlu\u011funda ABD\u2019nin himayesinde NASA ve Amerikan MIT taraf\u0131ndan y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen elektri\u011fin depolanmas\u0131, enerjinin kablosuz nakli ve cisimlerin \u0131\u015f\u0131nlanmas\u0131 proje olmaktan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p, ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Sadece hen\u00fcz maliyet baz\u0131nda end\u00fcstriyel hale getirilemedi ya da \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f noktas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bunlar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda d\u00fcnyada \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 bir ekonominin ve ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 olarak gelir kurgusunun olu\u015ftu\u011funa \u015fahit olaca\u011f\u0131z. Ve muhtemelen Gazprom \u00fczerinden y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen stratejiye darbe vurmak amac\u0131yla s\u0131ras\u0131 bekletilen kaya gaz\u0131 meselesi\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Bu konuda \u00e7\u0131kan haberlerdeki detaylar\u0131 payla\u015fmak isterim. ABD\u2019yi gaz ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 konumuna getirecek kaya gaz\u0131n\u0131n (shale gas) Gazprom\u2019un taht\u0131n\u0131 sarsaca\u011f\u0131 ve fiyatlar\u0131n yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya d\u00fc\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 iddia ediliyor. Sberbank Ba\u015fekonomisti Kseniya Yudayeva ve ekibi taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan raporda, Gazprom\u2019un 2016\u2019da Avrupa\u2019dak pay\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kaybedebilece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekiliyor. Detay\u0131 bire bir aktaral\u0131m:<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-520688561\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u201cRaporun dayanak noktas\u0131, son 10 y\u0131lda ABD\u2019de geli\u015ftiren ve h\u0131zla verimli hale gelen \u201ckaya gaz\u0131\u201d y\u00fcz\u00fcnden yak\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin \u201ct\u00fcm d\u00fcnyay\u0131 gaza bo\u011faca\u011f\u0131\u201d, s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f kaya gaz\u0131n\u0131 tankerlerle sataca\u011f\u0131 ve Gazprom\u2019un pahal\u0131 gaz\u0131n\u0131 Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n sat\u0131n almaya ihtiyac\u0131 kalmayaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eu an Avrupa pazar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 27\u2019sini elinde tutan Gazprom\u2019un, kaya gaz\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda sert fiyat k\u0131rmaktan ba\u015fka \u00e7aresi kalmayaca\u011f\u0131 iddia ediliyor. Ayr\u0131ca daha ucuz maliyet nedeniyle Rusya\u2019n\u0131n kendisinin de \u201ckaya gaz\u0131\u201d aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na girebilece\u011fi vurgulan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Gazprom ise kaya gaz\u0131n\u0131n rekabet yaratmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, maliyetinin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu savunuyor. Ancak baz\u0131 uzmanlar, kaya gaz\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnyadaki pazar pay\u0131n\u0131n son 10 y\u0131lda s\u0131f\u0131rdan y\u00fcze 29\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunarak Gazprom\u2019u uyar\u0131yor. Bu sayede s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f gaz \u00fcretiminin de artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurgulan\u0131yor.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Yine bir ba\u015fka haber de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de bu konuda y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fcn g\u00fclece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor: \u201cGazda\u015f Trakya B\u00f6lge M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Tamer Akaslan, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de yakla\u015f\u0131k 2 trilyon metrek\u00fcp kaya gaz\u0131 oldu\u011funu, bunun 40-50 y\u0131ll\u0131k ihtiyac\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layabilece\u011fi belirterek, \u2018TPAO taraf\u0131ndan yo\u011fun \u015fekilde kaya gaz\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karma \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Art\u0131k, kaya gaz\u0131ndan do\u011fal gaz \u00fcretimine ba\u015flan\u0131yor\u2019 dedi.\u201d<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3142130545\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Akaslan\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi\u011fi bir ba\u015fka bilginin de ABD\u2019de kaya gaz\u0131n\u0131n ke\u015ffedilmesiyle ABD borsas\u0131nda do\u011fal gaz fiyatlar\u0131 yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne ili\u015fkin oldu\u011funu da aktaral\u0131m. Son y\u0131llarda petrol ve do\u011falgaz\u0131n alternatifi olarak ad\u0131ndan s\u00f6z edilen kaya gaz\u0131, kaya\u00e7lar\u0131n g\u00f6zeneklerinde yer alan k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck miktardaki do\u011fal gazlard\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cD\u00fcnyada 2010 sonuna kadar kaya gaz\u0131 bulmak i\u00e7in 15 bin 500 kuyu a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131lan kuyular\u0131n sadece onbinde be\u015fi kadar\u0131 ABD d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fclkelerde. ABD\u2019nin ise son on y\u0131lda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sonucunda, Teksas&#8217;ta 2010 y\u0131l\u0131nda 51 milyar metrek\u00fcp do\u011falgaz \u00fcretti\u011fi biliniyor. Bu rakam T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin bir y\u0131l\u0131k do\u011falgaz t\u00fcketiminden (43 milyar metrek\u00fcp) fazlad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Kaya gaz\u0131 kuyusu a\u00e7mak i\u00e7in uzay teknolojisine ya da atomu par\u00e7alamaya gerek yok. Mevcut teknoloji ile dikine veya yatay olarak a\u00e7\u0131lacak olan kuyularla, kayalar aras\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f olan gaz\u0131 bas\u0131n\u00e7 kullanarak yery\u00fcz\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131karmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabiliyor. Kaya gaz\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karman\u0131n maliyetinin normal petrol ve do\u011falgaza g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 50 daha fazla oldu\u011fu biliniyor.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Minimum bin metrenin \u00fczerinde kayalarda bu gaz mevcut. Kayalar\u0131n kontroll\u00fc \u00e7atlat\u0131lmas\u0131 ile \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131l\u0131yor. Ve iddialar \u015fu an ABD\u2019nin 500 y\u0131ll\u0131k rezervi oldu\u011funa ili\u015fkin. S\u00f6z\u00fcn \u00f6z\u00fc \u015fu: Enerji \u00fczerinden dengeler yeniden kurulurken, \u2018ABD bitti\u2019 yan\u0131lg\u0131s\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmek hata olur.<\/p>\n<p>Bir g\u00fcn ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p, kozunu ortaya koyup mevcut stratejiyi ve dengeleri alt \u00fcst edebilir. Yani oyun bitmedi. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ve onu destekleyen Avrasya blo\u011funun da bug\u00fcnden bu geli\u015fmelere hangi yan\u0131t\u0131 verece\u011fini bilmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. Ama bizi ilgilendiren yan\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bir an \u00f6nce ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaya gaz\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vermesi gerekti\u011fidir. Cari a\u00e7\u0131ktan tam ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa kadar bir\u00e7ok detay i\u00e7in bu unsur \u00f6nemli.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnyada etkin olma m\u00fccadelesinin do\u011fu ile bat\u0131 aras\u0131nda k\u0131z\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir s\u00fcre\u00e7ten ge\u00e7iyoruz. Her ne kadar olaylar siyasal kulvarda g\u00f6z\u00fckse de hepsinin temelindeki ekonomik gerek\u00e7eler, ana&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":14653,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16885","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16885","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16885"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16885\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14653"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16885"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16885"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16885"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}