{"id":16574,"date":"2012-06-12T13:51:29","date_gmt":"2012-06-12T11:51:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=16574"},"modified":"2012-06-12T13:51:51","modified_gmt":"2012-06-12T11:51:51","slug":"enflasyondan-sonra-cari-acikta-da-yil-kurtuldu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/enflasyondan-sonra-cari-acikta-da-yil-kurtuldu\/","title":{"rendered":"Enflasyondan Sonra Cari A\u00e7\u0131kta da Y\u0131l Kurtuldu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Cari a\u00e7\u0131k beklendi\u011fi gibi 4.9 milyar olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. 5 milyar d\u00fczeyindeki ayl\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131k da y\u00fcksek ama ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 aylar\u0131nda ortalama 7.5 milyar dolarl\u0131k rakamlar oldu\u011fundan son bir y\u0131ll\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131kta h\u0131zl\u0131 gerilemeler ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor. Nisan ay\u0131 rakamlar\u0131 ile birlikte y\u0131ll\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131k da 70 milyar dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na geriledi. 69 milyar dolara d\u00fc\u015fen cari a\u00e7\u0131k Ekim 2011&#8217;deki 78.6 milyar dolarl\u0131k rekor d\u00fczeyine g\u00f6re 10 milyar dolar azald\u0131. D\u00f6rt ayl\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131k da 29.2 milyar dolardan 21.2 milyar dolara inerek 8 milyar dolar iyile\u015fme g\u00f6sterdi.<br \/>\n<strong><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-918317994\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>D\u00dc\u015e\u00dc\u015e HIZ KESECEK:<\/strong>\u00a0Bu iyile\u015fme s\u00fcrmesine s\u00fcrecek ama dozu azalacak gibi.<br \/>\n\u25a0 \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ekonomide en durgun aylar geride kald\u0131. Giderek canlanma ithalat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 da beraberinde getirecek.<br \/>\n\u25a0 Ayr\u0131ca Avrupa ekonomilerinin durgunluk i\u00e7ine girmesi de cari a\u00e7\u0131ktaki iyile\u015fmeyi \u00f6nleyen bir geli\u015fme. T\u00fcrkiye bu b\u00f6lgeye ihracat\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmakta zorlanacak. Ger\u00e7i toplam ihracattaki pay\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 41&#8217;e kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc, ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bir yerde azaltt\u0131.<br \/>\n\u25a0 Ancak son geli\u015fmeler durgunlu\u011fun k\u00fcresel baza yay\u0131lmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bunun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi halinde AB d\u0131\u015f\u0131na ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda da zorlanmaya ba\u015flayabiliriz.<br \/>\n<strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>EK\u0130ME KADAR \u0130\u015e KOLAY:<\/strong>\u00a0Yurti\u00e7i talepten dolay\u0131 ithalattaki azalma s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131rsa d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki iyile\u015fme durabilir. Bu durumu ancak petrol ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n gev\u015femesinden dolay\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin elde edece\u011fi avantaj telafi edebilir. \u0130lk d\u00f6rt aydaki ortalama ayl\u0131k 5.2 milyar dolarl\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n gelecek aylarda s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc varsayarsak y\u0131l sonunda 64 milyar dolarl\u0131k d\u00fczeye ula\u015f\u0131r\u0131z. Bu civarda bir ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme de h\u00fck\u00fcmet program\u0131yla uyumlu. Nisan sonu itibar\u0131yla geldi\u011fimiz 69 milyar dolar\u0131n 5 milyar dolar daha alt\u0131nda bir rakam. Beklenen milli gelire oran\u0131 da y\u00fczde 7.5 dolay\u0131na inebilir. B\u00f6yle bir konjonkt\u00fcrde ekime kadar cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 geriletmek kolay, hatta bunu y\u0131l sonuna kadar uzatmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/ht-yazarlar\/abdurrahman-yildirim\/1161297-enflasyondan-sonra-cari-acikta-da-yil-kurtuldu\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cari a\u00e7\u0131k beklendi\u011fi gibi 4.9 milyar olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. 5 milyar d\u00fczeyindeki ayl\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131k da y\u00fcksek ama ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 aylar\u0131nda ortalama 7.5 milyar dolarl\u0131k&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":994,"featured_media":12631,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16574","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16574","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/994"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16574"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16574\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12631"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16574"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16574"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16574"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}