{"id":1599,"date":"2011-06-16T09:37:42","date_gmt":"2011-06-16T06:37:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=1599"},"modified":"2011-06-16T09:37:51","modified_gmt":"2011-06-16T06:37:51","slug":"istikrar-ve-populizm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/istikrar-ve-populizm\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130stikrar ve Pop\u00fclizm"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Sosyal bilimin zafiyetlerine arada s\u0131rada de\u011finirim. \u00d6rne\u011fin do\u011fa bilimcisi hipotezini test etmek i\u00e7in kontroll\u00fc deneye ba\u015fvurabilir. Ama toplum sosyal bilimciye\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>bu<\/strong><\/span><\/a> yetkiyi asla tan\u0131maz. Deneyi siyaset \u00fczerinden kendisi yapar.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2961591709\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan se\u00e7imler ger\u00e7ek zamanda toplumsal deneylerdir. Siyasi partiler topluma farkl\u0131 \u00f6neriler sunar.<\/p>\n<p>Vatanda\u015f bunlar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirir. Bir karara ula\u015f\u0131r. Se\u00e7imde kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>oy<\/strong><\/span><\/a> bu karar\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bir hususu vurgulamak gerekiyor. Se\u00e7men mesaj vermez. Oy verir. Kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki \u00f6nerilerden birini tercih etti\u011fini ifade eder. O kadar. Do\u011fru yakla\u015f\u0131m bu karar\u0131n nedenlerine y\u00f6nelmektir.<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>Se\u00e7im<\/strong><\/span><\/a> sonu\u00e7lar\u0131nda afaki se\u00e7men mesajlar\u0131 aramak de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n<p>Ge\u00e7en yaz\u0131da 2002 sonras\u0131nda siyasi yelpazede ya\u015fanan konsolidasyona dikkat \u00e7ektim. Kan\u0131t olarak 2011\u2019de oylar\u0131n y\u00fczde 95\u2019ten fazlas\u0131n\u0131n\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>ilk<\/strong><\/span><\/a> d\u00f6rt partiye gitmesini g\u00f6sterdim.<\/p>\n<p>Bug\u00fcn ekonomik boyutu devreye sokmak istiyorum.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ekonominin katk\u0131s\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>Yeni<\/strong><\/span><\/a> meclisin iki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck partisi i\u00e7in ekonomi ikinci (\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc, d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc vs.) plandad\u0131r. MHP ve BDP\u2019nin gerisinde T\u00fcrk-K\u00fcrt milliyet\u00e7ili\u011fi ve aralar\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma yat\u0131yor. Ald\u0131klar\u0131 oya ekonomik \u00e7\u0131kar ve zihniyetin etkisi \u00e2deta yoktur.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2283720853\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ayn\u0131 \u015feyi AKP ve CHP i\u00e7in s\u00f6yleyemeyiz. Do\u011fal olarak, ikisinin de ekonomi-d\u0131\u015f\u0131 saiklerle oy kullanan \u201c\u00e7ekirdek\u201d se\u00e7meni vard\u0131r. Fakat se\u00e7im ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 ancak onlar\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki se\u00e7menin deste\u011fi ile m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u00fczer gezer oylar da deniyor.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6ylece me\u015fru bir soruya geliyoruz. AKP ve CHP oy oranlar\u0131na ekonomik etkenlerin katk\u0131s\u0131 nedir? Verilen cevaplar birbirine benziyor. Yak\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fin h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ile AKP\u2019nin zaferi aras\u0131nda ba\u011f kuruluyor.<\/p>\n<p>Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde de yayg\u0131n bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. \u0130ktidar partisi i\u00e7in canl\u0131 ekonomi avantajd\u0131r. Olumsuz konjonkt\u00fcr ise iktidar\u0131 zorlar. Akl\u0131ma hemen 2001 krizi sonras\u0131nda iktidar partilerinin meclis d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 geliyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2962731184\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bu tefsiri yetersiz buluyorum. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc sadece ge\u00e7mi\u015fe bak\u0131yor. Se\u00e7meni esas ilgilendiren ise gelecektir. \u0130pu\u00e7lar\u0131 se\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kar. \u0130ktisat politikas\u0131n\u0131n temel y\u00f6nelimi se\u00e7men karar\u0131n\u0131 etkiler.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130ki farkl\u0131 kampanya<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bu se\u00e7imde AKP ve CHP\u2019nin \u00f6nerdikleri iktisat politikalar\u0131 farkl\u0131la\u015ft\u0131 m\u0131? Bence evet. AKP di\u011fer iki se\u00e7imdeki s\u00f6ylemini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Ekonomik istikrar\u0131 savundu. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enflasyon ve faizi, mali disiplini vs. vurgulad\u0131. Se\u00e7im vaatlerini \u00f6zellikle ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i tutmaya \u00f6zen g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n<p>CHP ise yoksullukla m\u00fccadeleye odakland\u0131. Gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fczeltmeye y\u00f6nelik politikalar \u00f6nerdi. Ancak kaynak konusunda ikna edici olamad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Kampanya s\u0131ras\u0131nda tempoyu art\u0131rd\u0131. Giderek tipik bir pop\u00fclist s\u00f6yleme d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Oy oranlar\u0131 ortadaki se\u00e7menin tavr\u0131na \u0131\u015f\u0131k tutuyor. Vatanda\u015f ge\u00e7mi\u015fte pop\u00fclizme inanm\u0131\u015f, ama a\u011f\u0131r bedelini de ya\u015fararak \u00f6\u011frenmi\u015fti. Bence CHP\u2019nin tavr\u0131 o d\u00f6nemi \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. S\u00fctten a\u011fz\u0131 yanan yo\u011furdu \u00fcfleyerek yermi\u015f. Pop\u00fclizm korkusu ortadaki se\u00e7meni AKP\u2019ye ka\u00e7\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Asaf Sava\u015f AKAT<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sosyal bilimin zafiyetlerine arada s\u0131rada de\u011finirim. \u00d6rne\u011fin do\u011fa bilimcisi hipotezini test etmek i\u00e7in kontroll\u00fc deneye ba\u015fvurabilir. Ama toplum sosyal bilimciye\u00a0bu yetkiyi asla tan\u0131maz. Deneyi siyaset&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1599","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1599","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1599"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1599\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1599"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1599"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1599"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}