{"id":1593,"date":"2011-06-16T09:34:36","date_gmt":"2011-06-16T06:34:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=1593"},"modified":"2011-06-16T09:34:47","modified_gmt":"2011-06-16T06:34:47","slug":"ekonomi-buyurse-oylar-artiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/ekonomi-buyurse-oylar-artiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomi B\u00fcy\u00fcrse Oylar Art\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>E\u011fer bir siyasal partinin iktidar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda ekonomi h\u0131zl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme sergiliyorsa oy oran\u0131 da art\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3874478026\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>AK Parti\u2019nin her iki se\u00e7menden birisinin oyunu alarak kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imden sonra baz\u0131 yorumcular daha \u00f6nceki se\u00e7imlerde de yapt\u0131klar\u0131 gibi \u201cSe\u00e7men hangi mesaj\u0131 verdi\u201d sorusuna yan\u0131t arad\u0131lar. \u00d6nemli olan, se\u00e7menin verdi\u011fi oylardan hangi mesaj\u0131 almam\u0131z gerekti\u011fidir. Se\u00e7men yaln\u0131zca oy verdi ama se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131ndan pek \u00e7ok mesaj \u00e7\u0131karmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Bunlar\u0131n i\u00e7inde bence en \u00f6nemlisi ve iktidar\u0131 belirleyeni \u015fudur: \u201cEkonomik istikrar varsa siyasal istikrar y\u00fcz\u00fcnden var. O nedenle bu istikrar\u0131n devam\u0131 gerekiyor.\u201d Bu mesaj yaln\u0131zca bu se\u00e7imin de\u011fil son iki se\u00e7imin de mesaj\u0131d\u0131r. 2001 sonundaki se\u00e7imin mesaj\u0131 ise farkl\u0131d\u0131r. O se\u00e7imden \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken mesaj bence \u201c\u0130ktidardakiler ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmu\u015ftur, yeni bir siyasal partiyi denemenin s\u0131ras\u0131d\u0131r\u201d mesaj\u0131d\u0131r. 2009 yerel se\u00e7imleri ekonomide istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. O nedenle de iktidar partisinin oy oran\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fcr. Bu da bize ekonomideki ba\u015far\u0131larla siyasetteki ba\u015far\u0131lar\u0131n nas\u0131l paralel gitti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>B\u00fcy\u00fcme oyu artt\u0131r\u0131yor <\/strong><br \/>\nA\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tabloda ekonomideki istikrar olarak yaln\u0131zca b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 ele al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f ve AK Parti\u2019nin o y\u0131l yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imlerde ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 oy oran\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bulunuyor. B\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 tek ba\u015f\u0131na belki yeterli bir g\u00f6sterge say\u0131lmaz. Bunun yan\u0131na i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131, enflasyon, b\u00fct\u00e7e dengesi, cari denge gibi makroekonomik g\u00f6stergeler de eklenmeli diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Ama b\u00fct\u00fcn o g\u00f6stergeler asl\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin i\u00e7inde ifade buluyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla tek ba\u015f\u0131na b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi almak yanl\u0131\u015f bir se\u00e7im olmaz. Tabloda yer alan b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131, se\u00e7im tarihinden \u00f6nceki d\u00f6rt \u00e7eyre\u011fin b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131d\u0131r.<br \/>\nTablodan yararlan\u0131larak \u00e7izilen a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikte k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131 \u00e7izgi b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131n\u0131, d\u00fcz \u00e7izgi oy oranlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Grafik, durumu \u00e7ok daha net g\u00f6steriyor: E\u011fer bir siyasal partinin iktidar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda ekonomi h\u0131zl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme sergiliyorsa oy oran\u0131 da art\u0131yor. Tersi olursa oy oran\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/i.radikal.com.tr\/150x113\/2011\/06\/15\/fft16_mf743242.Jpeg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<div><span style=\"font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>E\u011fer bir siyasal partinin iktidar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda ekonomi h\u0131zl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme sergiliyorsa oy oran\u0131 da art\u0131yor. AK Parti\u2019nin her iki se\u00e7menden birisinin oyunu alarak kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imden&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":917,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1593","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1593","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1593"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1593\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/917"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1593"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1593"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1593"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}