{"id":15779,"date":"2012-05-23T12:46:38","date_gmt":"2012-05-23T10:46:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=15779"},"modified":"2012-05-23T12:46:51","modified_gmt":"2012-05-23T10:46:51","slug":"turkiyeye-karsi-eli-en-acik-olan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/turkiyeye-karsi-eli-en-acik-olan\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;ye Kar\u015f\u0131 Eli En A\u00e7\u0131k Olan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi hakk\u0131nda uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flardan en ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i de\u011ferlendirme bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in OECD&#8217;den geliyor. Son toplant\u0131s\u0131 nedeniyle yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporunda kurum T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 3.0&#8217;den y\u00fczde 3.3&#8217;e y\u00fckseltti. \u00d6nceki rakam\u0131 da yine uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lan tahminlerin en y\u00fckse\u011fiydi. \u015eimdi revize etti\u011fi rakam da \u00f6yle. H\u00fck\u00fcmetin tahmini y\u00fczde 4&#8217;l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin olaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. IMF ise son yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 revizyonla T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin y\u00fczde 2.3 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<br \/>\nOECD&#8217;nin T\u00fcrkiye \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri aras\u0131nda bu y\u0131lki y\u00fczde 3.3&#8217;l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ard\u0131ndan gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4.6&#8217;ya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131laca\u011f\u0131, toplam i\u00e7 talep b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1.7&#8217;ye inmesine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 5.0&#8217;a y\u00fckselece\u011fi de var. Y\u00fczde 9.0&#8217;dan d\u00fc\u015fecek. Burada biraz a\u015f\u0131r\u0131ya ka\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015f gibi. \u0130\u00e7 talebi biraz daha normalle\u015ftirdi\u011finiz zaman zaten b\u00fcy\u00fcme de y\u00fczde 4 \u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor ki, bizim ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme tahminimiz de b\u00f6yle.<br \/>\n<strong><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4161407256\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>ENFLASYON TAHM\u0130N\u0130:\u00a0<\/strong>OECD cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131n\u0131n da ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re 1 puan gerileyerek y\u00fczde 8.9&#8217;a inece\u011fi, i\u015fsizli\u011fin y\u00fczde 9.5&#8217;le tek hanede kalaca\u011f\u0131, t\u00fcketici enflasyonunun da y\u00fczde 9.2&#8217;ye inebilece\u011fi tahmininde bulundu. Burada da enflasyon biraz y\u00fcksek al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f gibi geldi bize. Yine de ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki rakam\u0131n alt\u0131na iniliyor ama Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n tahmini olan y\u00fczde 6.5&#8217;in de bir hayli \u00fcst\u00fcnde bir ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme olacak. Biz ise tar\u0131mda bol \u00fcretimin de etkisiyle enflasyonun daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz.<br \/>\nKurumun tahminleri aras\u0131nda Euro B\u00f6lgesi nin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0.1 daralmas\u0131 ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0.9 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bekleniyor. OECD \u00fclkelerinde beklenen ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcme ise bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1.6 ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2.2 d\u00fczeyinde.<br \/>\nBu tahminlere g\u00f6re uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar i\u00e7inde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine kar\u015f\u0131 eli en a\u00e7\u0131k kurum OECD gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/ht-yazarlar\/abdurrahman-yildirim\/1147887-turkiyeye-karsi-eli-en-acik-olan\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi hakk\u0131nda uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flardan en ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i de\u011ferlendirme bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in OECD&#8217;den geliyor. Son toplant\u0131s\u0131 nedeniyle yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporunda kurum T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 3.0&#8217;den y\u00fczde&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":994,"featured_media":12631,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15779","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15779","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/994"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15779"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15779\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12631"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15779"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15779"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15779"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}