{"id":1522,"date":"2011-06-14T09:00:50","date_gmt":"2011-06-14T06:00:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=1522"},"modified":"2011-06-14T11:29:11","modified_gmt":"2011-06-14T08:29:11","slug":"cari-acikta-artis-sinir-tanimiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cari-acikta-artis-sinir-tanimiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Cari A\u00e7\u0131kta Art\u0131\u015f S\u0131n\u0131r Tan\u0131m\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyeti Merkez Bankas\u0131, Nisan 2011 d\u00f6nemi, \u00f6demeler dengesi rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 , d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131<\/strong><strong>. <\/strong>Buna g\u00f6re 2010 y\u0131l\u0131\u00a0 Nisan ay\u0131nda cari a\u00e7\u0131k 7.6 milyar dolar seviyelerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken\u00a0 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk 4 ay\u0131n\u0131 kapsayan Ocak-Nisan d\u00f6neminde a\u00e7\u0131k 29 milyar 642 milyon dolar seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131. Beklentilerin \u00e7ok\u00a0 \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen a\u00e7\u0131k, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak 16 milyar dolar artt\u0131. 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda analiz etti\u011fimizde ise,\u00a0 rakam\u0131n 60 milyar dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fini g\u00f6rmekteyiz. Muhtemelen, 12 Haziran se\u00e7imlerinden sonra, g\u00fcndem maddesi, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 \u0131s\u0131nan T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi, cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerine odaklanacak.\u00a0 Di\u011fer yandan, TCMB\u2019nin y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana bu yana uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni para politikas\u0131 program\u0131n\u0131n,\u00a0 ekonomiyi so\u011futmaya ve cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 yava\u015flatmaya ve kontrol alt\u0131na almaya yeterli gelmemesi durumunda, yeni tedbirlerin al\u0131nmas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1098586186\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>2010 \u2013 2012 d\u00f6nemi orta vadeli program\u0131 inceledi\u011fimiz de ise cari a\u00e7\u0131k ile ilgili olarak ciddi bir hedef sapmas\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmekteyiz. 2012 y\u0131l\u0131 sonu i\u00e7in cari a\u00e7\u0131k beklentisi,\u00a0 28 milyar dolar d\u00fczeyinde beklenmekteyken, bu rakam\u0131n \u015fu an a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. 2010 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise, 2011-2013 hedefleri a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 2012 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in cari a\u00e7\u0131k hedefi 45 milyar dolar olarak revize edilmi\u015fti ve 2013 hedefi, 47,8 milyar dolar olarak hesap edildi. Ancak, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fi sonunda 60,5 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fm\u0131\u015f bir cari a\u00e7\u0131k dan s\u00f6z ediyoruz. Bu a\u00e7\u0131k nas\u0131l kapan\u0131r sorusunun cevab\u0131n\u0131 bulmak ger\u00e7ekten g\u00fc\u00e7 .<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczde ki aylarda, artan cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kontrol alt\u0131na almak ad\u0131na, Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n faizleri artt\u0131rmas\u0131 kuvvetle muhtemel g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu durum ise do\u011fal olarak \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131, kredi faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frudan etkileyecektir. Bir di\u011fer beklenti ise, kurlarda meydana gelebilecek sert y\u00fckseli\u015fler. Bu durum, ihracat\u00e7\u0131 i\u00e7in olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fclmesine ra\u011fmen, TL\u2019nin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131na sebebiyet verebilir ve ekonomik dengeleri derinden etkileyebilir.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/bigyatirim.blogspot.com\/\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">http:\/\/bigyatirim.blogspot.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Dr.\u0130smet DEM\u0130RKOL<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyeti Merkez Bankas\u0131, Nisan 2011 d\u00f6nemi, \u00f6demeler dengesi rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 , d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Buna g\u00f6re 2010 y\u0131l\u0131\u00a0 Nisan ay\u0131nda cari a\u00e7\u0131k 7.6 milyar dolar seviyelerinde&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":934,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1522","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1522","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1522"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1522\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/934"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1522"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1522"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1522"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}