{"id":14774,"date":"2012-04-30T08:24:42","date_gmt":"2012-04-30T06:24:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=14774"},"modified":"2012-04-30T08:24:42","modified_gmt":"2012-04-30T06:24:42","slug":"imkb-30-boga-piyasasina-mi-girdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/imkb-30-boga-piyasasina-mi-girdi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130MKB 30 \u201cBo\u011fa Piyasas\u0131\u201dna m\u0131 girdi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\u0130MKB 30 endeksinde mart ay\u0131 ortalar\u0131nda \u201cGolden Cross\u201d olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamay\u0131 yukar\u0131 kesmesi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f, bu kesi\u015fme sonras\u0131 endekste 3-4 bin puan aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti. Sonraki g\u00fcnlerde ise gelen sat\u0131\u015flarla fiyatlar bu kesi\u015fmenin ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcnlerdeki seviyelerine geriledi. Ortalamalar bu hareketleri geriden takip etti\u011fi i\u00e7in bu kesi\u015fme ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde daha belirgin hale geldi. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta ise bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131na ge\u00e7i\u015f i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli g\u00f6stergelerden biri olan 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama ile 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n kesi\u015fmesi ya\u015fand\u0131. \u0130statistikler bu t\u00fcr kesi\u015fmelerin ard\u0131ndan genelde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fler oldu\u011funu i\u015faret etse de, vadenin uzun olmas\u0131na ve endeksteki 3-4 bin puanl\u0131k hareketlerin dahi bu ortalamalar\u0131n yeniden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kesi\u015fmeye neden olmayaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse, \u00f6zellikle VOB gibi kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 piyasalarda k\u0131sa vadeli i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in bu kesi\u015fmeleri tek ba\u015f\u0131na referans almak \u00e7ok riskli olabilir. Bu nedenle VOB\u2019da k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara tavsiyemiz, bu g\u00f6stergelerin i\u015faret etti\u011fi bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurmalar\u0131, fakat i\u015flemleri esnas\u0131nda \u00f6zellikle zarar yazacak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlarda nas\u0131lsa eninde sonunda ralli ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek alg\u0131s\u0131na kap\u0131larak stop loss ilkesinden taviz vermemeleri olacakt\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-668192231\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Daha k\u0131sa vadede bu hafta i\u00e7in endekse bakacak olursak. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta 73,000 civar\u0131nda bulunan ve a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f dalgas\u0131 ba\u015flatabilecek kritik direncin test edilmesine kar\u015f\u0131n bu seviye kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak a\u015f\u0131lamad\u0131. Bu hafta takip edece\u011fimiz en kritik seviye yine buras\u0131. Endeks bu seviyeyi a\u015facak olursa yukar\u0131da bahsetti\u011fimiz uzun vadeli g\u00f6stergelerin de yarataca\u011f\u0131 olumlu hava ile h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fler g\u00f6rebiliriz. Bu nedenle 73,000 seviyesi \u00fczerinde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon bulundurmaya bir s\u00fcre ara vermesi gerece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. 73,000 \u00fczerinde al\u0131mlar\u0131n \u00e7ok daha h\u0131zl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 seviye ise 73,500. Bu haftan\u0131n en kritik seviyesi olacak gibi duruyor. Bu nedenle 73,000 \u00fczerinde riskli hale gelecek a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlarda 73,500 hayati \u00f6neme sahip olacakt\u0131r. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlerde ise 71,500 civar\u0131na kadar olacak geri \u00e7ekilmeler endeksin son d\u00f6nemdeki rutin sal\u0131n\u0131m hareketi i\u00e7inde kabul edilebilir. 71,500 alt\u0131nda olacak bir kapan\u0131\u015f ise bu hafta 70,000\/70,500 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirebilir ki, bu aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n 69,500 alt\u0131nda stop loss yapmak kayd\u0131yla orta ve uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in bir al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 yarataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00dczeyir DO\u011eAN \/ Ara\u015ft\u0131rma M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc<br \/>\n<\/strong><strong>MARBA\u015e Menkul De\u011ferler<br \/>\n<\/strong><strong><a href=\"mailto:uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr\">uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><strong>Telefon: (0212) 286 30 00<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130MKB 30 endeksinde mart ay\u0131 ortalar\u0131nda \u201cGolden Cross\u201d olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamay\u0131 yukar\u0131 kesmesi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f, bu kesi\u015fme sonras\u0131 endekste 3-4 bin&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4714,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14774","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14774","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14774"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14774\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4714"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14774"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14774"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14774"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}