{"id":14581,"date":"2012-04-25T08:38:13","date_gmt":"2012-04-25T06:38:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=14581"},"modified":"2012-04-25T08:38:13","modified_gmt":"2012-04-25T06:38:13","slug":"fed-bu-aksam-piyasalari-sallayabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/fed-bu-aksam-piyasalari-sallayabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed bu ak\u015fam piyasalar\u0131 sallayabilir"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\" align=\"center\"><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Pazartesi yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ya\u015fanan sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n etkisini d\u00fcn \u0130MKB\u2019de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olarak ya\u015fad\u0131k. Pazartesi ya\u015fanan sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan, d\u00fcn yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131nda hafif toparlanma ya\u015fanmas\u0131 \u0130MKB\u2019deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayan ana etkendi. D\u00fcn ak\u015fam ise ABD\u2019de endeksler Nasdaq haricinde ufak \u00e7apl\u0131 art\u0131da kapan\u0131rken, seans sonu ilk \u00e7eyrek karlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayan Apple\u2019\u0131n kar\u0131n\u0131n beklentileri a\u015fmas\u0131 bu sabah Asya piyasalar\u0131nda al\u0131mlar\u0131n devam etmesini sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3247313792\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong>Fed a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 ve piyasalar<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Fed\u2019in d\u00fcn ba\u015flayan faiz toplant\u0131s\u0131 bu ak\u015fam sonlan\u0131yor ve sonu\u00e7lar 19:30\u2019da a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Fed\u2019in k\u0131sa ve uzun vadeli faiz politikas\u0131nda bir de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gitmesi beklenmiyor. Fed \u00fcyelerinin ekonomik tahminleri ise 21:00\u2019da a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. \u00dcyelerin ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Fed\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fcme, enflasyon ve istihdam tahminleri Fed\u2019in ilerleyen g\u00fcnlerde ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlara dair de mesajlar bar\u0131nd\u0131racakt\u0131r. Bu nedenle bu tahminler piyasalarda hareketlili\u011fe neden olabilir. Saat 21:15\u2019te ise FED Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Bernanke konu\u015facak. Al\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere piyasalar bu konu\u015fmadan parasal geni\u015fleme s\u00f6ylemini arayacak. Ba\u015fta istihdam verileri olmak \u00fczere a\u00e7\u0131klanan son birka\u00e7 veri moralleri bozsa da Fed\u2019in parasal geni\u015fleme mesaj\u0131 vermek i\u00e7in yeterli arg\u00fcmana sahip olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n parasal geni\u015fleme beklentisi piyasalar\u0131n beklentisi olmaktan tam olarak \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f de\u011fil. Fakat Fed ve Bernanke\u2019nin bug\u00fcn parasal geni\u015fleme beklentisi olu\u015fturacak bir a\u00e7\u0131klama yapma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz, bu da beklenti i\u00e7inde olan ya da en az\u0131ndan umut edenlerin sat\u0131\u015fa ge\u00e7mesine neden olabilir. \u00d6zetle bu ak\u015famki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 yap\u0131lacak a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n piyasalar i\u00e7in \u00e7ok olumlu olmayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi i\u00e7indeyiz. Bu nedenle de bu ak\u015famki a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan hisse senedi ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin ya\u015fanmas\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmayacakt\u0131r. Fakat Fed beklentimizin aksine piyasalara umut verecek olursa da sert y\u00fckseli\u015fler ya\u015fanmas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz. Bu nedenle biz olumsuz tarafa a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k versek de bu ak\u015fam yap\u0131lacak a\u00e7\u0131klamalar her iki y\u00f6nde de \u00e7ok sert hareketlere neden olabilir. Bu nedenle bu ak\u015fam ta\u015f\u0131nacak pozisyon riski s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tutulmal\u0131.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong>\u0130MKB 100 teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\u0130MKB 100 endeksinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da d\u00fcn test edilen 59,400 deste\u011fi ve yukar\u0131da 60,000 direnci ilk kademede izleyece\u011fimiz aral\u0131k. 60,000 seviyesinin \u00fczerine at\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda bir sonraki ad\u0131m k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015fen trendin bulundu\u011fu 60,400 olacakt\u0131r. Endekste bu seviye \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f ihtimali do\u011fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece olas\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlere temkinli yakla\u015fmaya devam edece\u011fiz.\u00a0 Bu seviyenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda ise 61,200 direncini takip edece\u011fiz ki, bu diren\u00e7 de en az 60,400\u2019deki trendin olu\u015fturdu\u011fu diren\u00e7 kadar \u00f6nemli ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc. \u00d6zetle endekste yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlerde \u00e7ok k\u0131sa aral\u0131klarla g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7ler mevcut. Bu diren\u00e7ler a\u015f\u0131lmadan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketten bahsetmek zor olacak. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise d\u00fcn de test edilen 59,400 en \u00f6nemli destek noktas\u0131. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda 58,700 ara destek olmakla birlikte 58,000 civar\u0131 hedef olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong>\u00dczeyir DO\u011eAN \/ Ara\u015ft\u0131rma M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc<br \/>\n<\/strong><strong>MARBA\u015e Menkul De\u011ferler<br \/>\n<\/strong><strong><a href=\"mailto:uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr\">uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><strong>Telefon: (0212) 286 30 00<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pazartesi yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ya\u015fanan sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n etkisini d\u00fcn \u0130MKB\u2019de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olarak ya\u015fad\u0131k. Pazartesi ya\u015fanan sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan, d\u00fcn yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131nda hafif toparlanma ya\u015fanmas\u0131 \u0130MKB\u2019deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayan ana etkendi.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4711,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14581","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14581","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14581"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14581\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4711"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14581"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14581"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14581"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}