{"id":14503,"date":"2012-04-23T15:10:45","date_gmt":"2012-04-23T13:10:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=14503"},"modified":"2012-04-23T16:10:56","modified_gmt":"2012-04-23T14:10:56","slug":"dunyada-dusuk-faiz-bizde-yuksek-cari-acik","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/dunyada-dusuk-faiz-bizde-yuksek-cari-acik\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fcnyada D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck Faiz Bizde Y\u00fcksek Cari A\u00e7\u0131k"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>IMF\u2019nin D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Raporu\u2018na g\u00f6re faizde tarihi en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeler g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Ama faizlerin hemen y\u00fckselece\u011fi de \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor ve \u00f6nerilmiyor. Y\u0131llara yay\u0131l\u0131, kademeli ve \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7eren, sonu\u00e7ta da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizi devam ettirici bir e\u011filim bekleniyor.<br \/>\nIMF raporuna g\u00f6re d\u00fcnya ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bu y\u0131l 3.9\u2019dan y\u00fczde 3.5\u2019e gerileyecek, gelecek y\u0131l ise y\u00fczde 4.1\u2019e y\u00fckselecek. \u0130\u015fte faizlerin hemen art\u0131r\u0131lmamas\u0131, hatta m\u00fcmk\u00fcnse d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesini tavsiye etmesi de, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcne dayan\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc b\u00f6yle bir gev\u015feme durumunda enflasyonun raydan \u00e7\u0131kmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hesapl\u0131yor IMF.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-108002673\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>D\u00dcNYA NEREYE:<\/strong>\u0130\u015fte IMF\u2019nin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle d\u00fcnya ekonomisi i\u00e7in bu y\u0131l ve gelecek y\u0131llar beklentisi.<\/p>\n<p>* B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 olmas\u0131 sonucu petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 10.3 art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f. Daha fazlas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmemi\u015f. Gelecek y\u0131l ise petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 4.1 d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor.<br \/>\n<strong>*\u00a0<\/strong>Emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda ise bu iki y\u0131l % 10.3\u2019l\u00fck gerilemeyi, gelecek y\u0131l % 2.1 azalman\u0131n izleyece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor. * Bu da en do\u011fal bi\u00e7imde maliyetlere yans\u0131yacak. Talepte zaten bir gev\u015feme olaca\u011f\u0131ndan t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde ortalama y\u00fczde 2.7 d\u00fczeyinden 2012\u2019de y\u00fczde 1.9\u2019a d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde de y\u00fczde 7.1\u2019den y\u00fczde 6.2\u2019ye inece\u011fi bekleniyor.<br \/>\n* Enflasyona ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak beklenen k\u0131sa vadeli ve uzun vadeli faiz oranlar\u0131nda bu y\u0131l pek art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor. 6 ayl\u0131k reel Libor faizi y\u00fczde -1.6\u2019dan 2012\u2019de y\u00fczde -0.1\u2019e ve 2013\u2019te de y\u00fczde 0.1\u2019e gelecek. 2014-2017 aras\u0131nda da reel Libor faizinin y\u00fczde 0.6\u2019da kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/ht-yazarlar\/abdurrahman-yildirim\/1128261-dunyada-dusuk-faiz-bizde-yuksek-cari-acik\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>IMF\u2019nin D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Raporu\u2018na g\u00f6re faizde tarihi en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeler g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Ama faizlerin hemen y\u00fckselece\u011fi de \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor ve \u00f6nerilmiyor. Y\u0131llara yay\u0131l\u0131, kademeli ve \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":994,"featured_media":12631,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14503","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14503","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/994"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14503"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14503\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12631"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14503"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14503"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14503"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}