IMF, D\u00fcnyan\u0131n Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc (World Economic Outlook), Finansal \u0130stikrar Raporu (Financial Stability Report) ve Mali G\u00f6zlem Raporu (Fiscal Monitor) raporlar\u0131n\u0131 yay\u0131mlad\u0131 ve tahminlerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/div>\n

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IMF, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,5 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini, d\u00fcnya ticaret hacminin y\u00fczde 4 artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyor. 1994 \u2013 2003 aras\u0131nda d\u00fcnya b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 3,4, 2004 \u2013 2011 aras\u0131nda ise y\u00fczde 3,9 olmu\u015f. Bu durumda 2012 gibi sorunlu bir y\u0131lda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n y\u00fczde 3,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi hi\u00e7 de k\u00f6t\u00fc bir performans gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 1994 \u2013 2003 aras\u0131nda y\u00fczde 6,9, 2004 \u2013 2011 aras\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5,8 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f olan ticaret hacminin 2012\u2019de y\u00fczde 4\u2019e gerileyecek olmas\u0131 ciddi bir s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya i\u015faret ediyor. E\u011fer bu tahmine uygun bir gerileme ortaya \u00e7\u0131karsa ihracata dayanan geli\u015fime yolundaki ekonomiler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 yarataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/div>\n

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2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda ABD i\u00e7in tahmin edilen y\u00fczde 2,1 oran\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi ABD ekonomisin yava\u015f da olsa toparlanmaya girece\u011fi beklentisini yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k benzer bir toparlanma Avrupa i\u00e7in ge\u00e7erli g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. IMF, Euro b\u00f6lgesinin 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0,3 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ger\u00e7ekten de geli\u015fmeler gidi\u015fat\u0131n bu y\u00f6nde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Japonya i\u00e7in 2012 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 2. 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0,7 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen Japonya e\u011fer 2012\u2019de y\u00fczde 2 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ba\u015farsa bile sonraki y\u0131llar i\u00e7in IMF\u2019nin tahminleri iyimser g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. IMF\u2019nin \u00c7in i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 8,2. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131llara bak\u0131l\u0131rsa \u00c7in i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri 2012\u2019de olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kal\u0131yor.<\/div>\n

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Gerek ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 FED ve gerekse Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 ECB\u2019nin uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli parasal geni\u015flemeye kar\u015f\u0131n enflasyon konusunda kayg\u0131 gerektirecek bir geli\u015fme g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor IMF raporundaki verilere g\u00f6re. 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerle ilgili enflasyon beklentileri \u015f\u00f6yle: ABD y\u00fczde 2,1, Euro B\u00f6lgesi y\u00fczde 2, Japonya y\u00fczde 0.<\/div>\n

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IMF\u2019ye g\u00f6re 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda kamu kesimi bor\u00e7 stokunun GSYH\u2019ya oran\u0131 yani kamu kesimi bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fc geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerin \u00e7o\u011funda artmaya devam edecek. 2012 y\u0131lsonu itibariyle ABD\u2019nin y\u00fczde 107, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin y\u00fczde 88, Portekiz\u2019in y\u00fczde 112, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 236, \u0130talya\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 123, \u0130rlanda\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 113, Yunanistan\u2019\u0131n y\u00fczde 153, Fransa\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 89, Almanya\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 79, Bel\u00e7ika\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 99 oran\u0131nda bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fcne sahip olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/div>\n

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Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
IMF, D\u00fcnyan\u0131n Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc (World Economic Outlook), Finansal \u0130stikrar Raporu (Financial Stability Report) ve Mali G\u00f6zlem Raporu (Fiscal Monitor) raporlar\u0131n\u0131 yay\u0131mlad\u0131 ve tahminlerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. IMF,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":13098,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14305","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14305","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14305"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14305\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13098"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14305"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14305"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14305"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}