{"id":14192,"date":"2012-04-16T08:13:54","date_gmt":"2012-04-16T06:13:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=14192"},"modified":"2012-04-16T08:14:14","modified_gmt":"2012-04-16T06:14:14","slug":"borsalarda-dusus-hizlanacak-hazirlikli-olun","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/borsalarda-dusus-hizlanacak-hazirlikli-olun\/","title":{"rendered":"Borsalarda D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f H\u0131zlanacak, Haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 Olun!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in hem bu hafta hem de \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta zorlu ge\u00e7ecek. ABD\u2019de gelen \u015firket bilan\u00e7olar\u0131 da borsalar\u0131 kurtarmaya yetmeyecek. Wall Street\u2019te d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler s\u00fcrecek hatta h\u0131zlanacak gibi. \u015eu veya bu sebeple arada bir bu gerileme yava\u015flasa, hatta gerilemeye ara verilse de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn devam\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz. Bu hareketler bizim piyasalar\u0131 da etkileyecek. \u0130MKB 100 Endeksi i\u00e7in kritik seviye 60.200.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3201663528\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bu hafta ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fi zor. ABD\u2019de bilan\u00e7olar gelmeye devam edecek ancak bu bilan\u00e7olar bile hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 kurtarmakta yetersiz kalacak.<\/p>\n<p>Hafta sonu \u00c7in\u2019den gelen Yuan\u2019\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck dalgalanma band\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 0.5\u2019ten y\u00fczde 1\u2019e y\u00fckseltilmesi haberi k\u00fcresel piyasalarda yank\u0131 bulacakt\u0131r. \u00c7in\u2019in 2015\u2019e kadar daha \u201cesnek kur rejimine\u201d ge\u00e7me politikas\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen bu hareketin \u00f6zellikle ABD-\u00c7in ticaret dengesine nas\u0131l yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131 merak konusu. Malumunuz oldu\u011fu \u00fczere ABD, \u00c7in \u00fczerinde Yuan\u2019\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesi konusunda uzun zamandan bu yana bask\u0131 kurmu\u015f durumda. Bu konuda \u00e7ok da ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmu\u015f de\u011fil. \u00c7in ne kadar \u201cisterse\u201d o kadar reval\u00fcasyon yap\u0131yor. Hafta sonu Nobel ekonomi \u00f6d\u00fcl\u00fc sahibi Stiglitz, \u00c7in\u2019in bu karar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede de\u011ferlenmeden \u00e7ok, \u00c7in\u2019den ya\u015fanabilecek \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flardan dolay\u0131 Yuan\u2019\u0131n de\u011fer kaybetmesi ile bile sonu\u00e7lanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemi\u015f. Bu ihtimal g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilemese de yine de dalgalanma band\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00c7in piyasalar\u0131ndaki (izin verilen) oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc k\u0131rsal b\u00f6lgelerdeki bankalar\u0131n baz\u0131 zorunlu kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 azaltma yoluna da gitti. Uzun zamandan beri \u00c7in\u2019den beklenen bu \u201chareketin\u201d sadece k\u0131rsal b\u00f6lgeleri kapsamas\u0131 piyasalardaki \u00c7in\u2019den gelecek bir \u201cgev\u015feme\u201d beklentisini \u00e7ok da tatmin etmeyecektir.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in neden \u00f6nemli derseniz\u00d6 AB ve ABD ekonomisinde (son a\u00e7\u0131klanan t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi de beklentilerin gerisinde kald\u0131!) ya\u015fanan yava\u015flama, a\u011f\u0131r aksak toparlanma; k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme umutlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00c7in\u2019e ba\u011flanmas\u0131na sebep oldu. Ancak ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131lki b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 8.5 beklenirken 8.1 a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u00c7in g\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki bu beklentileri bu y\u0131l da kar\u015f\u0131layamayacak. Bu sene ki b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi y\u00fczde 7.5 olan \u00c7in\u2019in d\u00fcnyay\u0131 \u201ckurtarmas\u0131\u201d da zor!<\/p>\n<p>Bu hafta ABD\u2019de Goldman Sachs, Microsoft gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck firmalar\u0131n bilan\u00e7olar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Her ne kadar bir \u00e7ok bilan\u00e7o \u201cbeklentileri\u201d a\u015f\u0131yor olsa da ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta borsalar\u0131n seyrine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu bilan\u00e7olar\u0131n da i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz \u201cd\u00fczeltme\u201d hareketini tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fcrmekte zorlanacaklar. Belki yava\u015flatacaklar, ancak de\u011fi\u015ftiremeyecekler.<\/p>\n<p>Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta sonu itibar\u0131yla ABD Dow Jones Endeksi iki kritik seviyeyi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde k\u0131rd\u0131. \u0130lki Ekim 2011\u2019den bu yana s\u00fcregelen y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi, ikincisi ise teknik analiz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli olan 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Hareketli Ortalama (HO). \u0130ki kritik seviyenin de alt\u0131na inilmi\u015f olmas\u0131 bu hafta ABD borsalar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015finin zor oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta i\u00e7inde \u00c7in\u2019in 2011 b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerin de \u00fczerinde y\u00fczde 9 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanaca\u011f\u0131 \u201cgeyi\u011fiyle\u201d g\u00fc\u00e7 bulan piyasalar, verinin beklentilerin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131yla adeta ters y\u00fcz oldular. Dow Jones 13.000\u2019e bile y\u00fckselemezken, \u00f6zellikle \u00c7in\u2019in etkisiyle ba\u015fta bak\u0131r olmak \u00fczere end\u00fcstriyel emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli gerilemeler oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Peki bu hafta ne olacak derseniz, ABD\u2019deki gerilemeler devam edecek, hatta h\u0131zlanacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u015eu veya bu sebeple arada bir bu gerileme yava\u015flasa, hatta gerilemeye ara verilse de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn devam\u0131 bence ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz. Nereye kadar derseniz, ilk hedef Dow Jones\u2019ta 12.615 seviyeleri. Sonras\u0131nda; ki bence as\u0131l hedef; 12.200-250 seviyeleri olacak.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2600539978\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/haber.gazetevatan.com\/Haber\/443815\/1\/Gundem\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in hem bu hafta hem de \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta zorlu ge\u00e7ecek. ABD\u2019de gelen \u015firket bilan\u00e7olar\u0131 da borsalar\u0131 kurtarmaya yetmeyecek. Wall Street\u2019te d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler s\u00fcrecek&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":910,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14192","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14192","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14192"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14192\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/910"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14192"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14192"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14192"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}