{"id":14095,"date":"2012-04-12T08:25:58","date_gmt":"2012-04-12T06:25:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=14095"},"modified":"2012-04-12T08:26:12","modified_gmt":"2012-04-12T06:26:12","slug":"kapitalizmin-gelecegi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/kapitalizmin-gelecegi\/","title":{"rendered":"Kapitalizmin Gelece\u011fi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131 ekonomik temellerden koptu mu? Mali piyasalarda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseldi\u011fi kesin. Paskalya tatili sonras\u0131 borsalar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. ABD tahvilleri ve dolar g\u00fcvenli liman oldu. \u0130\u00e7eride d\u00f6viz sepeti bir ara 2.10 TL\u2019ye kadar \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Merkez Bankas\u0131 tepki verince gev\u015fedi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3589201989\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u015eubat d\u0131\u015f ticaret endeksleri T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re ihracat miktar endeksi y\u00fczde 18 artarken ithalat y\u00fczde 1 azald\u0131. Takvim ve mevsim etkisi ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131nca e\u011filim de\u011fi\u015fmiyor. \u00d6nceki aya g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 5 artarken ithalat y\u00fczde 0.2 azald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eubat \u00f6demeler dengesi Merkez Bankas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nland\u0131. Piyasa cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 4.6 milyar dolar bekliyordu. 4.2 milyar dolar \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Y\u0131ll\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131k 75.2 milyar dolara geriledi. D\u0131\u015f dengede toparlanma ilkbaharda iyice belirginle\u015fecektir.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Fay hatlar\u0131<\/strong><br \/>\nGe\u00e7en hafta \u0130stanbul\u2019da ilgin\u00e7 bir toplant\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131. Gelecek Zirvesi Garanti Bankas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan d\u00fczenlendi. Osman Ulagay y\u00f6netti. Oxford\u2019dan Timothy Ash siyaseti, Chicago\u2019dan Raghuram Rajan ekonomiyi anlatt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Rajan\u2019\u0131n parlak bir \u00f6zge\u00e7mi\u015fi var. Hindistan\u2019da e\u011fitim g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f ama ABD\u2019de \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Gen\u00e7 ya\u015f\u0131nda IMF\u2019e ba\u015f iktisat\u00e7\u0131 se\u00e7ildi. K\u00fcresel krizi 2005\u2019de \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. 2010\u2019da yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cFay Hatlar\u0131 Gizli K\u0131r\u0131klar D\u00fcnya Ekonomisini Hala Nas\u0131l Tehdit Ediyor\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 kitab\u0131 \u00f6d\u00fcl ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Kitab\u0131 yeni bitirdim. \u00c7ok be\u011fendim. K\u00fcresel krizin nedenlerinin en kapsaml\u0131 analizi diyebilirim. \u00d6zellikle olay\u0131n siyasi boyutlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok iyi anlat\u0131yor. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerinin b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131yorum.<\/p>\n<p>Kriz s\u0131ras\u0131nda \u201ckonjonkt\u00fcr\u201d kavram\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131mlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. Birbirinden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olabilen s\u00fcre\u00e7lerin \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00e7ak\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelir. Fay hatlar\u0131 bunlar\u0131 temsil ediyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile krizden \u00e7\u0131kmak i\u00e7in her birine ayr\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm getirmek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Rajan\u2019dan birka\u00e7 fay \u00f6rne\u011fi verelim. ABD\u2019de yetersiz e\u011fitimin gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 bozmas\u0131na siyasetin tepkisi kredi sistemini zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. Ba\u015fta \u00c7in, baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerin ihracatla b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00e7abas\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez k\u00fcresel dengesizlikler yarat\u0131yor. Sermaye ak\u0131mlar\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131k veren \u00fclkelerde mali k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131 artt\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-455568540\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Hepsini saymaya yerim yetmiyor. Kitab\u0131n T\u00fcrk\u00e7eye terc\u00fcme edilmesini umut ve temenni ediyorum.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Sonu geldi mi?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/haber.gazetevatan.com\/Haber\/442992\/1\/Gundem\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131 ekonomik temellerden koptu mu? Mali piyasalarda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseldi\u011fi kesin. Paskalya tatili sonras\u0131 borsalar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. ABD tahvilleri ve dolar g\u00fcvenli liman oldu. \u0130\u00e7eride d\u00f6viz&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14095","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14095","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14095"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14095\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14095"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14095"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14095"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}