{"id":13975,"date":"2012-04-10T08:38:53","date_gmt":"2012-04-10T06:38:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=13975"},"modified":"2012-04-10T08:39:06","modified_gmt":"2012-04-10T06:39:06","slug":"uretim-artisi-istenildigi-gibi-yavasliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/uretim-artisi-istenildigi-gibi-yavasliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00dcretim Art\u0131\u015f\u0131 (istenildi\u011fi gibi) Yava\u015fl\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Geli\u015fmeler sanayi \u00fcretiminin art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131nda bir azalma oldu\u011funu ve bu azalman\u0131n mart-nisan aylar\u0131nda da s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-907259645\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u015eubat ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretimi verileri a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. \u00d6nce, bu verileri \u2018kafa kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131na\u2019 yol a\u00e7an bir \u00f6zelli\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekerek ba\u015flamak istiyorum. Genelde iki a\u00e7\u0131dan de\u011ferlendiriyoruz sanayi \u00fcretimini. Birincisi, her ay\u0131n \u00fcretimini bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131ndaki \u00fcretimle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yoruz; dolay\u0131s\u0131yla y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f oranlar\u0131na bak\u0131yoruz. Bir de bir s\u00fcredir T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistiik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K) mevsim ve takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131rarak yay\u0131ml\u0131yor sanayi \u00fcretimini. B\u00f6ylece, her ay\u0131n \u00fcretimini bir \u00f6nceki ay\u0131n \u00fcretimi ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oluyor. Eski y\u0131llarda b\u00f6yle bir l\u00fcks\u00fcm\u00fcz yoktu; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu t\u00fcr bir ar\u0131nd\u0131rma i\u015fleminden ge\u00e7irilmi\u015f veriler yay\u0131mlanm\u0131yordu.<br \/>\nNe var ki biraz \u00f6nce bir \u2018l\u00fcks\u2019 olarak belirtti\u011fim ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f veriler kafa kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rabiliyor. Ge\u00e7en ay bir \u00f6nceki aya k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 3 oran\u0131nda azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131 mevsim ve takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretimi. \u015eubat ay\u0131nda ise ocak ay\u0131na k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 0,7 artt\u0131. Bu t\u00fcr zikzaklar sadece son iki aya \u00f6zg\u00fc de\u011fil.<br \/>\nOcak 2010-\u015eubat 2012 d\u00f6neminde tam 26 ay var. Bu 26 ay\u0131n 12\u2019sinde ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f h\u0131zlar\u0131 eksi; yani \u00fcretim azalm\u0131\u015f bir \u00f6nceki aya k\u0131yasla. Bu azal\u0131\u015flar\u0131n d\u00f6rt tanesi ekonomimizin y\u00fczde 9,2 gibi \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek bir oranda b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 2010\u2019da, yedi tanesi ise y\u00fczde 8,5 gibi \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek bir oranda b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz 2011\u2019de. Mesela hem A\u011fustos 2011\u2019de hem de Kas\u0131m 2011\u2019de y\u00fczde 2,2 azalm\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretimi.<br \/>\nHer istatistiki ar\u0131nd\u0131rma y\u00f6ntemi, orijinal verileri \u2018filtrelerden ge\u00e7irmeye\u2019 dayan\u0131r; kullan\u0131lan filtreye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak baya\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcme u\u011frayabilir ilk seriler. Ara s\u0131ra ar\u0131nd\u0131rma i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan filtrelerin amaca hizmet edip etmediklerini de\u011ferlendirmekte yarar var. Neyse, bu T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in ele almas\u0131 gereken bir konu. Onu b\u0131rak\u0131p, y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f h\u0131zlar\u0131na bakay\u0131m. Mart 2011 ile Kas\u0131m 2011 aras\u0131nda her ay\u0131n sanayi \u00fcretimindeki y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f h\u0131zlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131 y\u00fczde 8,2 d\u00fczeyindeydi. Daha sonra, beklendi\u011fi gibi y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f h\u0131zlar\u0131nda bir yava\u015flama oldu. Aral\u0131k 2011, Ocak ve \u015eubat 2012 y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f oranlar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131yla \u015f\u00f6yle: Y\u00fczde 3,7, y\u00fczde 1,5 ve y\u00fczde 4,4.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.radikal.com.tr\/Radikal.aspx?aType=RadikalYazar&amp;ArticleID=1084462&amp;Yazar=FATIH-OZATAY&amp;CategoryID=101\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Geli\u015fmeler sanayi \u00fcretiminin art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131nda bir azalma oldu\u011funu ve bu azalman\u0131n mart-nisan aylar\u0131nda da s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. \u015eubat ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretimi verileri a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. \u00d6nce, bu verileri&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":894,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13975","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13975","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13975"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13975\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13975"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13975"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13975"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}