{"id":13972,"date":"2012-04-10T08:36:40","date_gmt":"2012-04-10T06:36:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=13972"},"modified":"2012-04-10T08:36:57","modified_gmt":"2012-04-10T06:36:57","slug":"subat-sanayi-uretimi-ve-daginik-dusunceler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/subat-sanayi-uretimi-ve-daginik-dusunceler\/","title":{"rendered":"\u015eubat Sanayi \u00dcretimi ve Da\u011f\u0131n\u0131k D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnceler"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A\u00e7\u0131klanan y\u00fczde 4.4&#8217;l\u00fck sanayi \u00fcretimi, Ocak ay\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 1.5&#8217;luk \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131n epey \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ortaya koydu. Ve 27 ayd\u0131r s\u00fcren art\u0131\u015f\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmaya devam edece\u011fi umudunu peki\u015ftirdi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 temsilcisi dostlar\u0131m\u0131z y\u0131lsonu beklentileri konusunda da\u011f\u0131n\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelere sahipler. Kimileri yeni te\u015fviklerle yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n h\u0131zlanmas\u0131yla y\u00fczde 4&#8217;l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade ediyorlar. Kimileri de daha \u015fimdiden \u015fa\u015fan program\u0131m\u0131zdaki\u00a0 petrol\u00a0 ve dolar rakamlar\u0131 ve Avrupa&#8217;daki geli\u015fmeler nedeniyle y\u00fczde 4&#8217;l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bile elde edilmesini zor g\u00f6r\u00fcyorlar.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2202708243\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son aylar\u0131nda sanayide ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yava\u015flama, bu y\u0131l\u0131n Ocak ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1.5 gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir seviyeye inmi\u015fti. A\u00e7\u0131klanan beklentinin \u00fczerindeki \u015eubat ay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 4.4 sanayi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ve 27 ayd\u0131r kesintisiz devam eden art\u0131\u015f olumlu bir sonu\u00e7 yaratt\u0131. Ancak, y\u0131l\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hala hem uluslar aras\u0131 siyaset, hem de buna ba\u011fl\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak daralmalar ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar, bu iyimser tablonun s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda da\u011f\u0131n\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelere neden oluyor.<\/p>\n<p>Uluslar aras\u0131 siyasal alanda bir yandan Suriye sorunu, bir yandan \u0130ran ile ilgili geli\u015fmelerin olumsuzluk yarataca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi var. En b\u00fcy\u00fck ihra\u00e7 pazar\u0131m\u0131z Avrupa&#8217;da da beklenen d\u00fczelme bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc kendisini g\u00f6steremiyor ve daralma s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bunlar\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bug\u00fcnk\u00fc sonu\u00e7lar bile hem petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda hem dolar seviyesinde bizim bu y\u0131l tahminlerimizin \u00fczerinde bir noktada. Bizim bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 ortalama beklentimiz 97 dolar seviyesindeydi. Oysa, ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ilk \u00e7eyrekte petrol fiyat\u0131 120 dolarlar\u0131n \u00fczerinde bir seyir izledi. Dolar\u0131n TL kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011feri konusunda bekledi\u011fimiz y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama 1.73 seviyesindeydi. Ama y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana 1.80&#8217;lerin \u00fczerinde seyretti\u011fi d\u00f6nemlere tan\u0131k olduk. Bug\u00fcnlerde de 1.80&#8217;lerin biraz alt\u0131nda ama 1.73&#8217;lerin epey \u00fczerinde\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u015eubat ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretimi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 4.4 seviyesinde takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f haliyle bile y\u00fczde 1.6 d\u00fczeyinde. Ayr\u0131ca, \u00f6zellikle enerji alan\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u015ftah\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde baz\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde te\u015fvik belgesi al\u0131nan yat\u0131r\u0131m tutarlar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 60&#8217;lara varan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler g\u00f6zlenirken enerji te\u015fvikleri seviyesini koruyor hatta ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminin biraz \u00fczerinde seyrediyor. Boydak Holding CEO&#8217;su Memduh Boydak&#8217;\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7eren haberi de bunu ortaya koyuyor. Boydak, enerji alan\u0131nda 400 milyar dolarl\u0131k yat\u0131r\u0131m ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdiklerini, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki y\u0131lda 600 milyar dolarl\u0131k daha yat\u0131r\u0131m yaparak enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 1 milyar dolara \u00e7\u0131karacaklar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015f d\u00fcnyam\u0131z\u0131n bu y\u0131ldan umutlu olmas\u0131na ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan d\u00f6rt ayakl\u0131 yeni Te\u015fvik sistemi de neden oldu. Y\u00f6netmeliklerinin h\u0131zla \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde hem yerli yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n, hem yabanc\u0131lar\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l i\u00e7ersinde artabilece\u011fini ifade ediyorlar.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz tablo bir yandan baz\u0131 olumluluklar\u0131 ortaya koyarken, baz\u0131 belirsizliklere ve olumsuzluklara da yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Bu da g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini sordu\u011fumuz i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 temsilcilerinin da\u011f\u0131n\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnceler i\u00e7ersinde olduklar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dunya.com\/subat-sanayi-uretimi-ve-daginik-dusunceler-147986yy.htm\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A\u00e7\u0131klanan y\u00fczde 4.4&#8217;l\u00fck sanayi \u00fcretimi, Ocak ay\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 1.5&#8217;luk \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131n epey \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ortaya koydu. Ve 27 ayd\u0131r s\u00fcren art\u0131\u015f\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmaya devam&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":903,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13972","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13972","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13972"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13972\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/903"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13972"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13972"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13972"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}