{"id":13930,"date":"2012-04-09T08:55:07","date_gmt":"2012-04-09T06:55:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=13930"},"modified":"2012-04-09T08:58:39","modified_gmt":"2012-04-09T06:58:39","slug":"borsalardaki-dususe-altin-da-eslik-edecek-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/borsalardaki-dususe-altin-da-eslik-edecek-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"Borsalardaki D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe Alt\u0131n da E\u015flik Edecek mi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131n\u0131n Ekim 2008\u2019den bu yana s\u00fcregelen ve hen\u00fcz daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f olan bir \u2018y\u00fckseli\u015f\u2019 trendi var. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta alt\u0131n\u0131n onsu 1.612 dolar seviyesi ile 1.620\u2019den ge\u00e7en y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin alt\u0131na inildi. Ancak kapan\u0131\u015f bu seviyenin \u00fcst\u00fcnde oldu. ABD\u2019deki veri ve politika belirsizli\u011fi sebebiyle hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda alt\u0131nda k\u0131sa vadeli bir toparlanma g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Ancak haftan\u0131n ortas\u0131ndan itibaren 1.620 dolar seviyesi \u00f6nemli olacak.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2037246663\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bu hafta \u00f6nemli bir hafta olacak! Hangi a\u00e7\u0131dan derseniz hem borsalar hem de alt\u0131n i\u00e7in. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta ba\u015fta ABD borsalar\u0131 olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok Bat\u0131 \u00fclkesi Paskalya Tatili nedeniyle Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc kapal\u0131yd\u0131. Tatil nedeniyle Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD istihdam verilerine \u201cgere\u011fince ve yeterince\u201d tepki veremediler.<\/p>\n<p>ABD tar\u0131md\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam\u0131nda (TD\u0130) 203 bin ki\u015filik art\u0131\u015f beklenirken, art\u0131\u015f 120 bin ki\u015fi ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalm\u0131\u015f durumda. B\u00f6ylesi bir rakam\u0131 beklemeyen piyasalar; bir s\u00fcredir aranan bahane de bulundu\u011fundan; k\u00e2r realizasyonuna y\u00f6neldiler. Her ne kadar \u201cnakit\u201d piyasalar Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc kapal\u0131 olsa da etki \u201cvadeli\u201d piyasalarda g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. B\u00fct\u00fcn kritik ABD endeksleri; Dow Jones, S&amp;P 500 ve Nasdaq; ya kritik e\u015fiklerine geldi, ya da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131rd\u0131lar. Bug\u00fcn ABD piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131yla Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan veri \u201cnakit\u201d piyasalarda da fiyatlanmaya ba\u015flayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131nda ABD vadeli piyasalar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. S&amp;P 500 vadelileri i\u00e7in kritik e\u015fik olan 1.395 seviyesi ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta ortas\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ge\u00e7ildi. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 1.366\u2019dan ge\u00e7en 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Hareketli Ortalama\u2019ya (HO) olduk\u00e7a yakla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131! Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck HO\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na ge\u00e7ilmesi ihtimali olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na inilmesi, hem elektronik al\u0131m sat\u0131m emirlerinin devreye girmesiyle zarar durdurma (stop-loss) i\u015flemlerinin hayata ge\u00e7mesine hem de tedirginli\u011fin biraz daha artmas\u0131na neden olabilecek.<\/p>\n<p>Her ne kadar ABD i\u015fsizlik verisi gerilese de, buna kar\u015f\u0131n TD\u0130\u2019nin artmas\u0131 Fed\u2019in 3. Bedava Para Paketi\u2019ni yeniden tart\u0131\u015fmaya a\u00e7acak. Ancak Fed\u2019den b\u00f6ylesi bir hareketin gelmesi ihtimali halen daha \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck!<\/p>\n<p>Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta i\u00e7inde \u0130spanya\u2019n\u0131n arzu edilen seviyede bor\u00e7lanamamas\u0131, ikinci piyasa faizlerinin ve CDS\u2019lerinin y\u00fckseliyor olmas\u0131 piyasalardaki tedirginli\u011fi tetikleyen olayd\u0131. Bu hafta da bu etkinin s\u00fcrmesi \u00e7ok da \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmayacakt\u0131r. Zira s\u0131rada \u0130spanya var. Yunanistan ile \u2018sar\u0131 k\u0131z\u0131 veren\u2019 AB\u2019nin bundan sonra yenilerini de kurban vermesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz. Portekiz piyasan\u0131n di\u015finin kovu\u011funa gitmeyece\u011finden piyasalar hedef olarak \u0130spanya\u2019y\u0131 se\u00e7mi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyorlar. Bir kere di\u015f ge\u00e7irdiler mi, bir \u015fey(ler) koparmadan da vazge\u00e7meyeceklerdir ! (Bunu bir kenara yaz\u0131n!)<\/p>\n<p>Peki ya\u015fanacak d\u00fczeltmeler borsalar\u0131 nereye ta\u015f\u0131r?<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6nce bat\u0131 borsalar\u0131na bir bakal\u0131m&#8230;<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3661034285\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Dow Jones\u2019ta \u2018nakit\u2019 piyasa i\u015fin 12.976\u2019dan ge\u00e7en 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck HO \u00f6nemli olacak. Vadeli piyasalara bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu seviyenin alt\u0131na inilmesi ihtimali \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na inilmesi durumunda ilk hedef 12.615 olacak.<\/p>\n<p>Benzer bir \u015fekilde S&amp;P 500\u2019de de 1.370\u2019den ge\u00e7en 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck HO ve ard\u0131ndan da 1.355\u2019ten ge\u00e7en son y\u00fckseli\u015f trend de\u011feri \u00f6nemli olacak. Bu iki seviyenin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda ise 1.340 seviyesi yeni hedef olacak.<\/p>\n<p>Zaman olarak bize en yak\u0131n olan DAX\u2019ta ise ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc hem 6.852\u2019den ge\u00e7en 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck HO, hem de 6.833\u2019ten ge\u00e7en y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131 ve 6.670\u2019teki \u00f6nemli d\u00fczeltme seviyelerinden birine olduk\u00e7a yakla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na inilmesi 6.350\u2019lere kadar gidebilecek bir d\u00fczeltmenin yolunu a\u00e7acak!<\/p>\n<p>Gelelim \u0130MKB\u2019ye&#8230;<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-961996696\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/haber.gazetevatan.com\/Haber\/442185\/1\/Gundem\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131n\u0131n Ekim 2008\u2019den bu yana s\u00fcregelen ve hen\u00fcz daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f olan bir \u2018y\u00fckseli\u015f\u2019 trendi var. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta alt\u0131n\u0131n onsu 1.612 dolar seviyesi ile 1.620\u2019den&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":910,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13930","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13930","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13930"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13930\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/910"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13930"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13930"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13930"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}