{"id":13791,"date":"2012-04-05T08:14:39","date_gmt":"2012-04-05T06:14:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=13791"},"modified":"2012-04-05T08:15:02","modified_gmt":"2012-04-05T06:15:02","slug":"oysa-mucadele-daha-bitmemisti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/oysa-mucadele-daha-bitmemisti\/","title":{"rendered":"Oysa M\u00fccadele Daha Bitmemi\u015fti"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>B\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z kesiyor. Bu enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecek geli\u015fme. Ama Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n hedefledi\u011finin \u00fcst\u00fcnde enflasyon bekliyor bizi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-301244870\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u00c7ok \u015f\u00fck\u00fcr, o y\u00fcksek enflasyonlar ge\u00e7mi\u015fte kald\u0131. Kendi enflasyonist ge\u00e7mi\u015fiyle k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de, 2004\u2019\u00fcn ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck say\u0131labilecek enflasyon oranlar\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Ama \u2018kendi ge\u00e7mi\u015fiyle\u2019 k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda. Mesela Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n internet sayfas\u0131na girin. Ana sayfan\u0131n en sonunda, 2002 ve sonras\u0131ndaki y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeleri var. 2004-2011 aras\u0131ndaki en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck y\u0131l sonu enflasyonu y\u00fczde 6,4, en y\u00fckse\u011fi ise y\u00fczde 10,4.<\/p>\n<p>Tam sekiz y\u0131ld\u0131r enflasyon bu aral\u0131kta gidip geliyor. Elbette aylar itibariyle y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon rakamlar\u0131 biraz daha oynak ama sadece \u2018biraz daha\u2019. K\u0131sacas\u0131, enflasyonla sava\u015f\u0131 hen\u00fcz tam anlam\u0131yla kazanmad\u0131k. Enflasyon \u00e7o\u011fu \u2018rakip\u2019 \u00fclkeye k\u0131yasla y\u00fcksek; d\u0131\u015f rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc t\u00f6rp\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Birka\u00e7 hafta \u00f6nce yazm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m; g\u00fcncelleyeyim. Alt\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131r att\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zdan bu yana, param\u0131z\u0131n al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcnde neredeyse yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya azalma var. Ocak 2005\u2013Mart 2012 d\u00f6neminde t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 1.79 kat artt\u0131. Farkl\u0131 bir ifadeyle 1 Ocak 2005\u2019teki 100 liran\u0131n mal ve hizmet sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc, 1 Nisan 2012\u2019de 56 liraya d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f durumda.<br \/>\nEnflasyona ili\u015fkin ikinci can s\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 geli\u015fme, giderek \u2018kan\u0131ksanmaya\u2019 ba\u015flanmas\u0131. Dikkat ediyorsan\u0131z, ekonomi kanallar\u0131nda, Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n neler yapabilece\u011fi konu\u015fulurken \u2013ki \u00e7ok s\u0131k konu\u015fuluyor, bazen \u201cb\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in \u015f\u00f6yle&#8230;\u201d, kimi zaman \u201cama d\u00f6viz kurundaki son geli\u015fmeler kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda&#8230;\u201d, bazen de \u201ckredi geni\u015flemesi i\u00e7in&#8230;\u201d falanca bi\u00e7imde davranabilir gibi yorumlar yap\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu usa vurmalarda enflasyon ya dikkate al\u0131nm\u0131yor ya da eskisine k\u0131yasla \u00e7ok daha az dikkate al\u0131n\u0131yor. Bunun ne kadar\u0131 Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc politikadan, ne kadar\u0131 ba\u015fka nedenlerden kaynaklan\u0131yor; t\u00fcm ilgin\u00e7li\u011fine kar\u015f\u0131n beni \u015fu a\u015famada ilgilendirmiyor. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor ya da de\u011fil, \u00f6nemli olan b\u00f6yle bir olgunun varl\u0131\u011f\u0131. Enflasyonla m\u00fccadeleyi hen\u00fcz tam anlam\u0131yla kazanmam\u0131\u015fken iyi de\u011fil bu eksen kaymas\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Mart ay\u0131nda da enflasyonda s\u00fcrpriz yok. Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon y\u00fczde 10,4 oldu. D\u00f6rt ayd\u0131r y\u00fczde 10,4\u201310,6 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u00e7ak\u0131l\u0131p kalm\u0131\u015f vaziyette. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6zellikle dikkate ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 iki temel enflasyon g\u00f6stergesinden (H ve I endekslerinden) iyi haber var. Bu endekslerle \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen temel enflasyon, Ekim 2010\u2013Ocak 2012 aras\u0131nda kesintisiz bi\u00e7imde y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u00fcrecinin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131nda I endeksi ile \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen y\u0131ll\u0131k temel enflasyon sadece y\u00fczde 2,5 d\u00fczeyindeydi. Ocak 2011\u2019e gelindi\u011finde ise bu de\u011fer y\u00fczde 8,4 olmu\u015ftu. Ocaktan bu yana d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f var temel enflasyonda. Ger\u00e7i bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil; mart ay\u0131ndaki y\u0131ll\u0131k temel enflasyon y\u00fczde 7,9 oldu ama hi\u00e7 yoktan iyidir.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.radikal.com.tr\/Radikal.aspx?aType=RadikalYazar&amp;ArticleID=1083961&amp;Yazar=FATIH-OZATAY&amp;CategoryID=101\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>B\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z kesiyor. Bu enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecek geli\u015fme. Ama Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n hedefledi\u011finin \u00fcst\u00fcnde enflasyon bekliyor bizi. \u00c7ok \u015f\u00fck\u00fcr, o y\u00fcksek enflasyonlar ge\u00e7mi\u015fte kald\u0131. Kendi enflasyonist ge\u00e7mi\u015fiyle&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":894,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13791","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13791","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13791"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13791\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13791"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13791"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13791"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}