{"id":13727,"date":"2012-04-03T19:11:49","date_gmt":"2012-04-03T17:11:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=13727"},"modified":"2012-04-03T19:12:03","modified_gmt":"2012-04-03T17:12:03","slug":"gecmis-buyume-parlak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/gecmis-buyume-parlak\/","title":{"rendered":"Ge\u00e7mi\u015f B\u00fcy\u00fcme Parlak"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>2011 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme verileri beklenen \u015fekilde geldi.<br \/>\n\u00d6zellikle 4. \u00e7eyrekte h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015fen i\u00e7 t\u00fcketim ve d\u00f6viz kuru etkisiyle daralan ithalat, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi y\u00fczde 5&#8217;ler civar\u0131nda tuttu. Sonunda y\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fczde 8.5 oran\u0131 gibi y\u00fcksek bir \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla tamamlad\u0131k.<br \/>\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131 iki ayr\u0131 devre halinde oynam\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Birinci devrede \u015fartlar uygundu. Beklenenin \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131k.<br \/>\n\u0130kinci yar\u0131da ise gerek baz etkisi, gerek d\u00fcnya konjonkt\u00fcr\u00fc ve d\u0131\u015f fonlardaki azalmaya ek olarak &#8220;kriz geliyor&#8221; s\u00f6ylemleri ve banka kredilerindeki daralmalar h\u0131z\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 kesti.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2723758317\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>\u0130\u00c7 TALEPTE AN\u0130 FREN<\/strong><br \/>\n2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme s\u00fcrecine ili\u015fkin dikkati \u00e7eken noktalar\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle \u00f6zetlemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<br \/>\n\u25a0 Harcamalar y\u00f6n\u00fcnden son \u00e7eyrekte beklenenin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda bir i\u00e7 talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f. Daha \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyreklerde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye y\u00fczde 10&#8217;lar\u0131n \u00fczerinde katk\u0131 yapan i\u00e7 talebin bu niteli\u011fi, son \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 2.2 ye d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f.<br \/>\nBu geli\u015fme hem t\u00fcketim hem de yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131 i\u00e7in ge\u00e7erli. Kamunun katk\u0131s\u0131 her ikisinde de negatif.<br \/>\nSert bir ini\u015f ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f.<br \/>\n\u25a0 Bu sert ini\u015fi d\u0131\u015f talep kurtarm\u0131\u015f. \u0130hracat\u0131n art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 ithalattan fazla ger\u00e7ekle\u015fince d\u0131\u015f talebin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 y\u00fczde 3.2 olmu\u015f. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 8&#8217;lerin alt\u0131na inmesini \u00f6nlemi\u015f.<br \/>\nT\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme dengesi i\u00e7 talepten d\u0131\u015f talebe d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f.<br \/>\n\u25a0 \u00dcretim y\u00f6n\u00fcnde b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin lokomotifli\u011fi g\u00f6revini sanayi ve hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fcklenirken, son \u00e7eyrekte g\u00f6rev da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 e\u015fitlenmi\u015f. Tar\u0131m\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 artm\u0131\u015f.<br \/>\n\u25a0 \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc son y\u0131llarda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bir ba\u015fka s\u00fcr\u00fckleyicisi durumunda. \u00dcretim verileriyle 2010 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 20 lerde, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fczde 14&#8217;lerde bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6steren in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, son \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 7 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2008 YILININ \u00dcRET\u0130M VER\u0130LER\u0130N\u0130 YAKALADIK<\/strong><br \/>\nBu durumda milli gelirimizin 1.3 trilyon TL&#8217;ye y\u00fckseldi\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<br \/>\nNe var ki bu veriyi d\u00f6vizle ya da enflasyondan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f &#8220;reel&#8221; tan\u0131m\u0131yla yorumlarsak kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za ba\u015fka tablo ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/ht-yazarlar\/gazi-ercel\/1114353-gecmis-buyume-parlak\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2011 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme verileri beklenen \u015fekilde geldi. \u00d6zellikle 4. \u00e7eyrekte h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015fen i\u00e7 t\u00fcketim ve d\u00f6viz kuru etkisiyle daralan ithalat, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi y\u00fczde 5&#8217;ler civar\u0131nda tuttu.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":418,"featured_media":5395,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13727","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13727","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/418"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13727"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13727\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13727"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13727"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13727"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}