{"id":1372,"date":"2011-06-11T16:15:33","date_gmt":"2011-06-11T13:15:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=1372"},"modified":"2011-06-11T16:15:47","modified_gmt":"2011-06-11T13:15:47","slug":"kazan-kazan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/kazan-kazan\/","title":{"rendered":"Kazan-kazan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>\u201cOYUN Kuram\u0131\u201d (Game Theory) davran\u0131\u015f bilimlerinin \u00f6nemli bir bulu\u015fudur.<\/strong><\/p>\n<div>Davran\u0131\u015f\u00a0bilimleri, insanlar\u0131n\u00a0nas\u0131l\u00a0karar\u00a0ald\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131\u00a0inceler.\u00a0\u00d6ncelikle \u015fu iyice anla\u015f\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r.\u00a0Al\u0131nan\u00a0her karar,\u00a0gelece\u011fe\u00a0aittir. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fle ilgili\u00a0karar\u00a0al\u0131namaz.\u00a0Al\u0131nsa da faydas\u0131zd\u0131r.\u00a0\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fcge\u00e7mi\u015f, ge\u00e7mi\u015ftir;\u00a0de\u011fi\u015ftirilemez. Halbuki\u00a0gelecek\u00a0in\u015fa edilebilir. Ancak gelecekte\u00a0ne\u00a0olaca\u011f\u0131 belli de\u011fildir.Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla\u00a0her\u00a0karar\u00a0belli\u00a0bir \u201cbelirlisizlik\u201d\u00a0ortam\u0131nda\u00a0al\u0131n\u0131r.\u00a0Karar\u00a0al\u0131c\u0131lar\u00a0belirsizli\u011fi\u00a0ortadan\u00a0kald\u0131rmak\u00a0i\u00e7intahminlerde\u00a0bulunur.\u00a0Bu\u00a0kestirimlerinde, ihtiyat\u0131 elden b\u0131rakmamak\u00a0i\u00e7in,\u00a0genellikle\u00a0di\u011fer\u00a0taraf\u0131n kendileri\u00a0i\u00e7in \u201ck\u00f6t\u00fc \u015feyler\u00a0yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d\u00a0varsayarlar.<br \/>\n1.\u00a0Kararlar\u0131n\u0131,\u00a0ne\u00a0yapmalar\u0131 gerekti\u011fine g\u00f6re\u00a0de\u011fil, ba\u015fkalar\u0131n\u0131n\u00a0yapacaklar\u0131na mukabele etme\u00a0fikri\u00a0\u00fczerinein\u015fa ederler.<br \/>\n2.\u00a0Ald\u0131klar\u0131\u00a0kararla,\u00a0kendi\u00a0fayda\u00a0t\u00fcketimlerini\u00a0\u00e7o\u011faltmay\u0131,\u00a0kar\u015f\u0131\u00a0taraf\u0131n fayda t\u00fcketimini\u00a0ise azaltmay\u0131hedeflerler.<br \/>\n3.\u00a0\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc\u00a0ortada\u00a0b\u00f6l\u00fc\u015fecek sabit bir\u00a0fayda\u00a0paketi\u00a0oldu\u011funu\u00a0d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrler.\u00a0Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla\u00a0bir taraf\u0131n\u00a0kazanc\u0131n\u0131nartmas\u0131,\u00a0ancak\u00a0di\u011fer\u00a0taraf\u0131n kayb\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011falmas\u0131\u00a0pahas\u0131na\u00a0olabilir\u00a0derler. Yani\u00a0kay\u0131p, kazan\u00e7\u00a0toplam\u0131n\u0131n herzaman\u00a0s\u0131f\u0131r\u00a0etti\u011fine\u00a0inan\u0131rlar.<br \/>\n4.\u00a0Bu\u00a0y\u00fczden, belli bir\u00a0ihtilaf\u0131n\u00a0\u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcnden\u00a0kazan\u00e7l\u0131\u00a0\u00e7\u0131kmak\u00a0i\u00e7in,\u00a0kar\u015f\u0131\u00a0tarafla\u00a0i\u015fbirli\u011fine\u00a0girmenin\u00a0mant\u0131kensa\u00e7ma\u00a0oldu\u011funu\u00a0d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrler.<br \/>\nBilim\u00a0adamlar\u0131,\u00a0bu\u00a0\u00e7er\u00e7eve\u00a0i\u00e7inde\u00a0d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen\u00a0bireylerin,\u00a0firmalar\u0131n,\u00a0kurumlar\u0131n veya\u00a0sosyal k\u00fcmelerin\u00a0(mesela a\u015firetlerin,\u00a0kabilelerin,\u00a0kavimlerin,\u00a0milletlerin\u00a0veya\u00a0devletlerin)\u00a0ald\u0131klar\u0131 kararlar\u0131n\u00a0\u201cmant\u0131ken do\u011fru\u201d\u00a0ama\u201cger\u00e7ekte yanl\u0131\u015f\u201d\u00a0olabildi\u011fini g\u00f6zlemlemi\u015ftir.\u00a0(Burada \u201cdo\u011fru\u201d\u00a0nihai\u00a0maksada\u00a0hizmet\u00a0eden,\u00a0\u201cyanl\u0131\u015f\u201d\u00a0nihaimaksada\u00a0hizmet\u00a0etmeyen\u00a0demektir.) Neticede bu tersli\u011fin\u00a0s\u0131rr\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcp,\u00a0s\u00fcreci\u00a0modellemi\u015fler\u00a0ve\u00a0ad\u0131n\u0131\u00a0da\u00a0\u201cOyunTeorisi\u201d\u00a0koymu\u015flar. Bu teoriden,\u00a0dilimize\u00a0giren\u00a0\u201ckazan-kazan\u201d diye\u00a0bir deyim var.\u00a0\u0130nceleyelim.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2056166950\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Herhangi\u00a0bir\u00a0ihtilaf,\u00a0mesela K\u00fcrt\u00a0meselesi\u00a0halledilmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131rken\u00a0\u00f6yle bir\u00a0\u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00a0bulunsun\u00a0ki;\u00a0bundan sadecebir\u00a0taraf\u00a0de\u011fil, iki\u00a0taraf\u00a0da\u00a0kazan\u00e7l\u0131\u00a0\u00e7\u0131ks\u0131n\u00a0deniyor.\u00a0Bunu\u00a0duyan\u00a0taraflar\u00a0derhal\u00a0\u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00a0\u201ckazan-kazan\u201d olmas\u0131nda\u00a0hemfikir\u00a0oluyor. Ama\u00a0bir\u00a0t\u00fcrl\u00fc, ne \u00f6yle\u00a0bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulunabiliyor, ne de bulunsa\u00a0bile\u00a0hayatage\u00e7irebiliyor.\u00a0\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc\u00a0ne\u00a0s\u00f6yleyenler\u00a0ne\u00a0de\u00a0ihtilafa\u00a0taraf\u00a0olanlar\u00a0\u201ckazan-kazan\u201da\u00a0giden\u00a0trenin\u00a0\u201ckaybet-kaybet\u201d istasyonundan\u00a0kalkt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u00a0bilmiyor.\u00a0Bilse\u00a0de\u00a0s\u00f6ylemiyor.\u00a0Taraflar\u00a0da\u00a0mademki,\u00a0\u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00a0\u201ckazan-kazan\u201d\u00a0olacak\u00a0ni\u00e7inben bir\u00a0\u015fey\u00a0kaybedeyim\u00a0diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorlar.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fbirli\u011fine\u00a0engel\u00a0olan ve \u201ckazan-kazan\u201d\u00a0\u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00a0geli\u015ftirilmesine imk\u00e2n tan\u0131mayan\u00a0varsay\u0131m,\u00a0kay\u0131p\u00a0kazan\u00e7 toplam\u0131n\u0131n\u00a0s\u0131f\u0131r\u00a0oldu\u011funu\u00a0d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmektir. H\u00e2lbuki\u00a0hayat\u0131n\u00a0kendisi \u201ctoplam\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131r olan\u201d bir\u00a0oyun de\u011fildir.\u00a0\u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcmbulundu\u011funda\u00a0kazan\u00e7lar,\u00a0daha da \u00f6nemlisi \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulunamazsa kay\u0131plar zannedildi\u011finden\u00a0\u00e7ok y\u00fcksek\u00a0olabilir.Kaybedecek\u00a0hi\u00e7bir\u00a0\u015feyi\u00a0olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131p,\u00a0ABD ve AB nas\u0131l olsa\u00a0bu\u00a0ihtilaf\u0131\u00a0benim\u00a0lehime \u00e7\u00f6zer diye\u00a0d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrsesonu\u00e7\u00a0herkes i\u00e7in\u00a0\u00e7ok ac\u0131\u00a0olabilir.\u00a0\u201cKazan-kazan\u201d\u00a0\u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc\u00a0geli\u015ftirmenin \u00f6n \u015fart\u0131 hayali\u00a0kazan\u00e7lardan\u00a0\u201ctaviz vermeye\u201d haz\u0131r olmaktan ge\u00e7er.<br \/>\nSon\u00a0S\u00f6z:\u00a0Az\u00a0kayba\u00a0raz\u0131 olmayan, \u00e7ok\u00a0kayb\u0131\u00a0g\u00f6ze alm\u0131\u015f demektir.<\/p><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><strong>Ege CANSEN<\/strong><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cOYUN Kuram\u0131\u201d (Game Theory) davran\u0131\u015f bilimlerinin \u00f6nemli bir bulu\u015fudur. Davran\u0131\u015f\u00a0bilimleri, insanlar\u0131n\u00a0nas\u0131l\u00a0karar\u00a0ald\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131\u00a0inceler.\u00a0\u00d6ncelikle \u015fu iyice anla\u015f\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r.\u00a0Al\u0131nan\u00a0her karar,\u00a0gelece\u011fe\u00a0aittir. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fle ilgili\u00a0karar\u00a0al\u0131namaz.\u00a0Al\u0131nsa da faydas\u0131zd\u0131r.\u00a0\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fcge\u00e7mi\u015f, ge\u00e7mi\u015ftir;\u00a0de\u011fi\u015ftirilemez. Halbuki\u00a0gelecek\u00a0in\u015fa edilebilir. Ancak gelecekte\u00a0ne\u00a0olaca\u011f\u0131 belli&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":936,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1372","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1372","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1372"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1372\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/936"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1372"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1372"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1372"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}