{"id":13598,"date":"2012-03-31T12:13:51","date_gmt":"2012-03-31T10:13:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=13598"},"modified":"2012-03-31T12:14:02","modified_gmt":"2012-03-31T10:14:02","slug":"karamsarlik-tekrar-artarken","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/karamsarlik-tekrar-artarken\/","title":{"rendered":"Karamsarl\u0131k Tekrar Artarken&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ocak ortas\u0131ndan 21 Mart&#8217;a kadar MB k\u0131sa vadeli faizi y\u00fczde 7.5 civar\u0131nda tutmu\u015ftu. Son g\u00fcnlerde bu faiz y\u00fczde 10&#8217;a ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1513551378\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u015eubat ay\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret verileri a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. \u0130hracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n yar\u0131ya yak\u0131n\u0131n\u0131 euro, yar\u0131ya yak\u0131n\u0131n\u0131 da dolar cinsinden yap\u0131yoruz. Bu iki farkl\u0131 kalemde son aylarda g\u00f6zlenen e\u011filimlerde bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmad\u0131. \u00dc\u00e7er ayl\u0131k toplamlar olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, euro cinsinden ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n, bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesinin ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 2011\u2019in \u015fubat ay\u0131ndan bu yana d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u015fubat ay\u0131nda da devam etti (Grafik 1). Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, dolar cinsinden ihracat\u0131m\u0131z, bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesinin ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine k\u0131yasla son alt\u0131 ayd\u0131r istikrarl\u0131 bir bi\u00e7imde y\u00fczde 20 dolaylar\u0131nda art\u0131yor.<br \/>\nBu iki \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 e\u011filim bir kez daha ihracat\u0131n temel belirleyicisinin sadece d\u00f6viz kuru olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Mal satt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u00fclkelerin gelir d\u00fczeyi de bir o kadar \u00f6nemli. Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin bir b\u00fct\u00fcn olarak b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 giderek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Mesela Euro B\u00f6lgesi 2011\u2019de y\u00fczde 1.6 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Ne var ki 2012\u2019de b\u00f6lgenin y\u00fczde 0.5 oran\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor. Bu k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme \u015fu s\u0131ralar ya\u015fan\u0131yor ve euro cinsinden ihracat rakamlar\u0131m\u0131za da olumsuz y\u00f6nde yans\u0131yor.<br \/>\nYat\u0131r\u0131m mallar\u0131 ithalat\u0131nda 2010\u2019un ortalar\u0131ndan 2011\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011fine kadar \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f h\u0131zlar\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda finansal piyasalardaki ortam\u0131n gerginle\u015fmesi, faizlerdeki ve d\u00f6viz kurundaki y\u00fckseli\u015fle birlikte yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n h\u0131z kesti\u011fi, bu d\u00f6nemdeki yat\u0131r\u0131m mallar\u0131 ithalat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 giderek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. \u00dc\u00e7er ayl\u0131k toplamlar itibariyle bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ise son \u00fc\u00e7 ayd\u0131r yat\u0131r\u0131m mallar\u0131 ithalat\u0131 azal\u0131yor.<br \/>\nHem euro cinsinden ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n hem de yat\u0131r\u0131m mallar\u0131 ithalat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler kuvvetle tahmin edileni do\u011fruluyor: B\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131m\u0131z d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. 2010 ve 2011\u2019deki \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131zlar\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olmayaca\u011f\u0131, hemen herkesin \u00fczerinde anla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Tart\u0131\u015fma, y\u00fczde 8\u2019in biraz \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi beklenen 2011 b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131na k\u0131yasla 2012\u2019nin ne kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerineydi.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.radikal.com.tr\/Radikal.aspx?aType=RadikalYazar&amp;ArticleID=1083459&amp;Yazar=FATIH-OZATAY&amp;CategoryID=101\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ocak ortas\u0131ndan 21 Mart&#8217;a kadar MB k\u0131sa vadeli faizi y\u00fczde 7.5 civar\u0131nda tutmu\u015ftu. Son g\u00fcnlerde bu faiz y\u00fczde 10&#8217;a ula\u015ft\u0131. \u015eubat ay\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret verileri&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":894,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13598","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13598","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13598"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13598\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13598"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13598"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13598"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}