{"id":13491,"date":"2012-03-29T09:06:42","date_gmt":"2012-03-29T07:06:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=13491"},"modified":"2012-03-29T16:23:38","modified_gmt":"2012-03-29T14:23:38","slug":"gundem-bernanke-dolayisiyla-da-parasal-genisleme","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/gundem-bernanke-dolayisiyla-da-parasal-genisleme\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u00fcndem Bernanke dolay\u0131s\u0131yla da parasal geni\u015fleme"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\">Yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 piyasalarla birlikte \u0130MKB\u2019de de d\u00fcn kar realizasyonlar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 sat\u0131\u015flar izledik. \u00d6nceki g\u00fcn gelen Citibank\u2019\u0131n Akbank hisselerinde sat\u0131\u015f haberi, d\u00fcn de ArcelorMittal\u2019\u0131n Ere\u011fli hisselerindeki sat\u0131\u015f haberine ra\u011fmen \u0130MKB\u2019nin d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan olumsuz ayr\u0131\u015fmamas\u0131 \u0130MKB\u2019nin \u015fimdilik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc durdu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bug\u00fcn de yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 piyasalarla olan korelasyonun devam etmesini bekliyoruz. Bu korelasyonu bozabilecek veri ise yar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olan \u015fubat ay\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret verileri olarak duruyor. D\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00f6zle g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr bir bozulma ya\u015fanmas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin benzerlerinden negatif y\u00f6nde ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na neden olabilir. Olas\u0131 bir negatif verinin etkisini s\u0131n\u0131rlayacak tek geli\u015fme ise petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda bu veri \u00f6ncesi h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda 127 dolar\u0131 test eden Brent petrol\u00fcn fiyat\u0131 bu veri \u00f6ncesinde 124 dolar deste\u011finin alt\u0131na sarkacak ve 120 dolardaki trend deste\u011fine do\u011fru bir hareket ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek olursa petrol fiyatlar\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret ve cari a\u00e7\u0131kta bozulma beklentileri azalabilir. Bu nedenle bu veri \u00f6ncesinde petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 takip etmek gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in pozitif etki yapaca\u011f\u0131 seviyeler ise Brent petrol\u00fcn 120 dolar civar\u0131nda bulunan trend deste\u011finin alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak sarkmas\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Brent petrol 120 dolar \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece 127 dolardaki kritik direncin ani bir haber \u015fokuyla a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 ve bu seviyenin yeni destek olmas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. <\/span><\/span><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1617953829\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: small\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\">\u00d6\u011fleden sonra \u00f6nemli veriler var<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\"><span style=\"font-size: small\">G\u00fcn\u00fcn en \u00f6nemli haberi hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphe yok ki, Bernenke\u2019nin TS\u0130 19:45\u2019te yapmas\u0131 beklenen konu\u015fma olacak. Hafta ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri Bernanke\u2019nin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 piyasan\u0131n \u015fekillenmesini sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Hat\u0131rlanacak olursa Bernake pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc parasal geni\u015flemenin hala masada bulundu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131k bir \u015fekilde ifade etmi\u015f, bu da \u00a0piyasalar\u0131n haftaya olumlu ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ise bu konuda gelen sorulara net cevap vermemesi alg\u0131y\u0131 bir anda de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. Asl\u0131nda Bernenke Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada da farkl\u0131 bir \u015fey ifade etmemi\u015f sadece \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc parasal geni\u015fleme ifadesini kullanmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bernanke Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada da s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ge\u00e7i\u015fin sa\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan emin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k bir \u015fekilde ifade etti. S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 FED\u2019in \u00f6ncelikleri aras\u0131nda. Bu ba\u011flamda bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda da FED\u2019in s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in yeni parasal geni\u015flemeler de dahil her t\u00fcrl\u00fc senaryoyu masada tutmaya devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bernenke\u2019nin bug\u00fcn yapaca\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada parasal geni\u015fleme ifadesine a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131k getirebilir ve bu da piyasalarda sert hareketlere neden olabilir. Yurti\u00e7i piyasalar kapand\u0131ktan sonra gelecek bu a\u00e7\u0131klama g\u00fcn sonu pozisyonlar\u0131 i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck risk olacakt\u0131r. Bu nedenle her iki y\u00f6nde de piyasalarda al\u0131nacak pozisyonlarda bu risk g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurulmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u00a0Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak di\u011fer \u00f6nemli veriler ise \u015f\u00f6yle: <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<ul style=\"text-align: justify\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: small\">\u00b7<\/span>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <span style=\"font-size: small\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\">10:55 \u2013 Almanya Mart Ay\u0131 \u0130\u015fsizlik Oran\u0131 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: small\">\u00b7<\/span>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <span style=\"font-size: small\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\">15:30 \u2013 ABD 4. \u00c7eyrek GSYH B\u00fcy\u00fcme Oran\u0131 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: small\">\u00b7<\/span>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <span style=\"font-size: small\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\">15:30 \u2013 ABD Haftal\u0131k \u0130\u015fsizlik Ba\u015fvurular\u0131 <\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: small\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\">\u0130MKB 100 teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\"><span style=\"font-size: small\">\u0130MKB 100\u2019de d\u00fcn destek grevi g\u00f6ren ve en \u00f6nemli seviyelerden biri olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz 61,700 bug\u00fcn de takip edece\u011fimiz en \u00f6nemli seviye. \u00a0Endeks g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yeniden bu seviyenin \u00fczerine atamazsa sat\u0131\u015flar bir s\u00fcre daha devam edebilir. Bug\u00fcn olas\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlerde ilk olarak 61,400 deste\u011fi ard\u0131ndan da 60,400 deste\u011fini takip edece\u011fiz. Endeks yukar\u0131da bahsetti\u011fimiz 61,700\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine yeniden \u00e7\u0131kamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece 60,400 d\u00fczeltme i\u00e7in ana hedef olarak durmaktad\u0131r. G\u00fcn i\u00e7inde izleyece\u011fimiz ilk diren\u00e7 ise d\u00fcn destek olarak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan 61,700. Bu seviye \u00fczerinde ise 62,200 ve 63,000 diren\u00e7leri olas\u0131 bir yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc harekette izleyece\u011fimiz seviyeler.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: small\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: small\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Bir NOT:<\/span> Sevgili dostlar Marba\u015f Menkul De\u011ferler&#8217;e olarak bir telefon ve bilgisayar kampanyas\u0131 ba\u015flatm\u0131\u015f bulunmaktay\u0131z. Ayl\u0131k 250 TL (24 ay) ya da ayl\u0131k 450 TL (12 ay) gibi s\u00fcrelerle komisyon \u00fcretmeniz durumunda ay sonunda ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z cihaz\u0131n modeline\/\u00fccretine g\u00f6re 150 TL\u00a0(24 ay) ya da 250 TL\u00a0(12 ay) komisyon iadesi alabileceksiniz. \u00d6rne\u011fin 2000 TL&#8217;ye bir iPhone ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda 12 ay i\u00e7inde\u00a0450 TL ve \u00fczerinde komisyon b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z her\u00a0ay iPhone taksiniz olan 166 TL (2000\/12) komisyon iadesi alacaks\u0131n\u0131z. b\u00f6ylelikle iPhone&#8217;nunuz bedavaya gelmi\u015f olacak. Ayr\u0131ca iPhone ve BlackBerry uygular\u0131m\u0131 mevcut olan Marba\u015f Mobile&#8217;\u0131 da \u00fccretisz olarak kullanabilecek, i\u015flemlerinizi bu cihazlar\u0131n\u0131zdan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebileceksiniz. Ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 bilgi\u00a0i\u00e7in \u00a00212 286 30 00 (Dahili: 201) numaral\u0131 telefondan m\u00fc\u015fteri temsilcilerimiz ile irtibata ge\u00e7ebilirsiniz ya da sitemizi ziyaret edebilirsiniz. \u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.marbas.com.tr\/genel\/otopopup.aspx?otopopupid=11\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">http:\/\/www.marbas.com.tr\/genel\/otopopup.aspx?otopopupid=11<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: small\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\">\u00dczeyir DO\u011eAN \/ Ara\u015ft\u0131rma M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: small\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\">MARBA\u015e Menkul De\u011ferler<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/strong><strong><a href=\"mailto:uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.trTelefon\">uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr<\/a><\/strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: small\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\"><br \/>\nTelefon: (0212) 286 30 00<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 piyasalarla birlikte \u0130MKB\u2019de de d\u00fcn kar realizasyonlar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 sat\u0131\u015flar izledik. \u00d6nceki g\u00fcn gelen Citibank\u2019\u0131n Akbank hisselerinde sat\u0131\u015f haberi, d\u00fcn de ArcelorMittal\u2019\u0131n Ere\u011fli hisselerindeki sat\u0131\u015f&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4711,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13491","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13491","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13491"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13491\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4711"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13491"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13491"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13491"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}