{"id":13480,"date":"2012-03-28T14:21:19","date_gmt":"2012-03-28T12:21:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=13480"},"modified":"2012-03-28T14:21:33","modified_gmt":"2012-03-28T12:21:33","slug":"ekonomik-kurallar-degistirilemiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/ekonomik-kurallar-degistirilemiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomik Kurallar De\u011fi\u015ftirilemiyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7enlerde eski kitaplar\u0131m\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rken D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanm\u0131\u015f &#8220;Patlama, Kriz ve Uyum: Geli\u015fmekte Olan \u00dclkelerin Makro Ekonomik Deneyimleri&#8221; (Boom, Crisis and Adjustment: The Macroeconomic Experince of Developing Countires, Oxford University Press, 1993) ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 kitaba rastlad\u0131m. Yazarlar\u0131 I.M. D. Little, Richard N. Cooper, W. Max Corden ve Sarath Rajapatirana. Kitap, 1970&#8217;li y\u0131llardan ba\u015flayarak geli\u015fmi\u015f ve geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerdeki ekonomik geli\u015fmeleri ve birbirleriyle olan etkile\u015fimi analiz ediyor. Bug\u00fcnle benzerlikler \u00e7ok \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131.<br \/>\nD\u00fcnya ekonomisinin genel durumu \u00f6zetlendikten sonraki b\u00f6l\u00fcm &#8220;Ucuz ve Bol Kredi D\u00f6nemi&#8221; ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yor. Bir sonraki b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn ad\u0131: &#8220;Krize Do\u011fru: 1979-1982&#8221; Daha sonra &#8220;Bir\u00e7o\u011fu i\u00e7in Yava\u015f Toparlanma&#8221; b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne ge\u00e7iyorsunuz. Bizi ilgilendiren en \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerden biri &#8220;Enflasyon&#8221; ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan b\u00f6l\u00fcm oluyor. Kitap daha sonra &#8220;\u015eimdi ne yap\u0131lmal\u0131?&#8221; sorusuna yan\u0131t bulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-535595069\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>\u00dc\u00c7 KURAL<\/strong><br \/>\nFinansal krizlerden sonra ekonomik toparlanman\u0131n yava\u015f oldu\u011funu bilmeyen yok. Kitapl\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131 biraz daha kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rsam, herhalde bu konuda 1800&#8217;l\u00fc y\u0131llara kadar giden analizler bulabilirim. \u015e\u00f6yle diyebiliriz:<br \/>\n1. Kural: Finansal krizlerden sonra ekonomik toparlanma yava\u015f olacakt\u0131r.<br \/>\n2. Kural: Ekonomi politikalar\u0131 Kural&#8217;\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftiremez.<br \/>\n3. Kural: 2. Kural&#8217;a sayg\u0131 g\u00f6sterilmezse, ekonomi toparlanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi bamba\u015fka sorunlarla da kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kal\u0131nabilir.<br \/>\nAmerika 1. ve 2. Kural&#8217;lar\u0131 yok sayarken, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin baz\u0131lar\u0131, \u00c7in gibi, zaten \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek olan ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmelerini biraz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye raz\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyorlar. Baz\u0131lar\u0131 ise, Latin Amerika \u00fclkeleri, gaza basma sevdas\u0131ndalar.<br \/>\nK\u00fcresel krizden nasibini alm\u0131\u015f hi\u00e7bir \u00fclke i\u00e7in zaman, gaza basma zaman\u0131 de\u011fil. Amerika gibi geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomiler i\u00e7in hi\u00e7 de\u011fil. Geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomiler ise, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin kayna\u011f\u0131 ne olursa olsun, ancak uluslararas\u0131 sermaye hareketleri izin verdi\u011fi s\u00fcrece ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ba\u015farabilecek konumdalar. Son \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131ld\u0131r b\u00f6yleydi. Bundan sonra da b\u00f6yle olacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<br \/>\nZorlama, \u015fimdi bir tehdit de\u011filmi\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnen enflasyonun \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7mak olur. Enflasyon f\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme daha da s\u0131n\u0131rlan\u0131r. Enflasyonla m\u00fccadele ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeden daha da fazla fedak\u00e2rl\u0131k etmeyi gerektirebilir. K\u0131sacas\u0131, ba\u015fa d\u00f6n\u00fcl\u00fcr, ama daha a\u011f\u0131r \u015fartlarda.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/ht-yazarlar\/ercan-kumcu\/1110609-ekonomik-kurallar-degistirilemiyor\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7enlerde eski kitaplar\u0131m\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rken D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanm\u0131\u015f &#8220;Patlama, Kriz ve Uyum: Geli\u015fmekte Olan \u00dclkelerin Makro Ekonomik Deneyimleri&#8221; (Boom, Crisis and Adjustment: The Macroeconomic Experince&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":675,"featured_media":9441,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13480","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13480","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/675"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13480"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13480\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9441"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13480"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13480"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13480"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}