{"id":13349,"date":"2012-03-26T13:56:05","date_gmt":"2012-03-26T11:56:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=13349"},"modified":"2012-03-26T13:56:13","modified_gmt":"2012-03-26T11:56:13","slug":"kuresel-faiz-artisinin-asil-etkisi-gelisen-ulkelere","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/kuresel-faiz-artisinin-asil-etkisi-gelisen-ulkelere\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcresel Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n As\u0131l Etkisi Geli\u015fen \u00dclkelere"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnyaca \u00fcnl\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 Jim Rogers, &#8220;ekonomik te\u015fviklerin piyasalar\u0131 destekleyece\u011finden yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 2012&#8217;nin keyfine varmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini, ekonominin 2013 ve 2014&#8217;te gev\u015fek para politikalar\u0131yla desteklenemeyece\u011fini&#8221; belirtti. Jim Rogers &#8220;ABD ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda merkez bankalar\u0131 faizleri s\u0131f\u0131ra yakla\u015ft\u0131rarak, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ve istihdam\u0131 desteklemek i\u00e7in ekonomilerini likiditeye bo\u011fuyor. Para politikalar\u0131na ek olarak, h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerin de te\u015fvik programlar\u0131 sebebiyle b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 art\u0131yor. Er ya da ge\u00e7, ekonomilerin bu artan likiditeyi temizlemeleri ve bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6demeleri gerekecek&#8221; diye konu\u015ftu. 2012&#8217;nin ABD i\u00e7in se\u00e7im y\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011funu ve bir\u00e7ok politikac\u0131n\u0131n yeniden se\u00e7ilmek istedi\u011fini, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu s\u00fcrecin bu y\u0131l da devam edece\u011fini ancak \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131ldan itibaren te\u015fviklerin \u00e7ekilmesiyle daralman\u0131n ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Rogers, &#8220;2013 konusunda endi\u015felenmeli, 2014 i\u00e7in daha da endi\u015felenmelisiniz&#8221; dedi.<br \/>\n<strong><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-135845128\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>\u00dc\u00c7 R\u0130SK KAYNA\u011eI:<\/strong>\u00a0Bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk aylar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan pozitif \u015fokun y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131n\u0131 kurtarmaya yetebilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Atmosfer y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda bozulsa da, ilk yar\u0131dan al\u0131nan mesafe ile ortalamada k\u00f6t\u00fc bir y\u0131l ya\u015fanmayabilir. Hem reel ekonomide hem de finansal piyasalarda.<\/p>\n<p>\u25a0 Bu y\u0131l\u0131n kaderini belirlemeye aday geli\u015fmelerden veya en \u00f6nemli risklerden biri, \u0130ran ile ABD ve Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gerginlik. Nereye kadar t\u0131rmanaca\u011f\u0131 ayn\u0131 zamanda petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n da ne kadar artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirleyecek. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f \u00fcretici \u00fclkelere yarayacak ama d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geneline etkisi olumsuz olacak. Hem enflasyon hem de b\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan.<\/p>\n<p>\u25a0 \u0130kinci \u00f6nemli risk kayna\u011f\u0131 ise Avrupa bankalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l ortas\u0131nda istenen sermaye yeterlili\u011fini sa\u011flayamamas\u0131 olabilir. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki hesaplamalara g\u00f6re 115 milyar Euro&#8217;luk sermaye gerekiyordu. Bunun normal yollardan kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131 halinde Avrupa, bankac\u0131l\u0131k krizini a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi, kamu bor\u00e7 krizini a\u015fmada da en \u00f6nemli ad\u0131m\u0131 atm\u0131\u015f olacak. Yeterli sermayenin bulunamamas\u0131 ise yeni sorun ve y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde bozulmay\u0131 beraberinde getirebilir.<\/p>\n<p>\u25a0 \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc risk kayna\u011f\u0131 ise banka sorununun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclememesi veya ba\u015fka nedenlerle Avrupa&#8217;da ba\u015fka bir \u00fclkenin iflas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcndeme gelmesi olabilir.<br \/>\nBunlar k\u00fcresel gidi\u015fin \u00f6n\u00fcnde bug\u00fcnden \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilen risk kaynaklar\u0131. Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeleri halinde \u015fu veya bu b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckte etkileri elbette olacak. Hayat\u0131n ger\u00e7ekleri madalyonun bu y\u00fcz\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/ht-yazarlar\/abdurrahman-yildirim\/1108887-kuresel-faiz-artisinin-asil-etkisi-gelisen-ulkelere\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnyaca \u00fcnl\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 Jim Rogers, &#8220;ekonomik te\u015fviklerin piyasalar\u0131 destekleyece\u011finden yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 2012&#8217;nin keyfine varmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini, ekonominin 2013 ve 2014&#8217;te gev\u015fek para politikalar\u0131yla desteklenemeyece\u011fini&#8221; belirtti. Jim Rogers&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":994,"featured_media":12631,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13349","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13349","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/994"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13349"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13349\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12631"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13349"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13349"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13349"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}