K\u00fcresel daralmaya kar\u015f\u0131n, k\u00fcresel siyasal sorunlar nedeniyle petrol ve do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 41 art\u0131\u015fla 54 milyar 100 milyon ile rekor k\u0131ran ithal enerji faturam\u0131z\u0131n, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda da ithal enerji faturam\u0131z\u0131n yeni bir rekorla 68 milyar dolara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor. Uzmanlar\u0131n bu tahmini Orta vadeli programdaki 49 milyar 500 milyon dolarl\u0131k ithal enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131n 20 milyar 500 milyon dolarl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla 68 milyar dolara y\u00fckselirken hem d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131k hem de cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 olumsuz etkileyece\u011fini belirtiyorlar. Enerjide y\u00fczde 26 olan yerli pay\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in projeler geli\u015ftirilmesini \u00f6neriyorlar.
\nUluslar aras\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 ba\u015f ekonomisti Fatih Birol, \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Forumu’nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada “2012 y\u0131l\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye enerji ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131n 68 milyar dolara vurabilir. Bu T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir ba\u015f a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 olacak. Daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcs\u00fc, bunun sadece bu y\u0131la \u00f6zg\u00fc bir geli\u015fme olmamas\u0131. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda da enerji ithal faturas\u0131 y\u00fcksek seviyede olacak” de\u011ferlendirmesini yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.
\nArkada\u015f\u0131m\u0131z Naki Bak\u0131r, haberinde k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131n, k\u00fcresel alanda \u00e7e\u015fitli merkezlerdeki siyasal gerilim nedeniyle petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bilgisini veriyor. Ocak ay\u0131nda 110 dolar olan Brent petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n \u015eubat’ta 115 dolar\u0131, Mart’ta 125 dolar\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, Orta Vadeli programda yer alan bu y\u0131lki 49.5 milyar dolarl\u0131k faturan\u0131n, Birol’un belirtti\u011fi gibi 68 milyar dolara \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini onu da a\u015farak 70 milyar dolar\u0131 bulabilece\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bak\u0131r haberinde ge\u00e7en y\u0131l enerji faturam\u0131z\u0131n y\u00fczde 41 art\u0131\u015fla 54milyar 100 milyon dolara y\u00fckselerek tarihi bir rekor k\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, geli\u015fmelerin bu y\u0131lda enerji faturam\u0131z\u0131n yeni bir rekorla y\u0131l\u0131 kapataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu tahminine mesnet olarak haberinde, hem Uluslar aras\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131n\u0131n petrol var\u0131l fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 130 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde seyrine devam edece\u011fi tahminini, hem de IMF’in “\u0130ran’\u0131n ihrac\u0131n\u0131 durdurmas\u0131yla fiyatlar 20-30 dolar daha artar” a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131na yer veriyor.
\nT\u00fcrkiye’nin 2012 y\u0131l\u0131 enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131n Birol’un belirtti\u011fi gibi 68 milyar dolara ula\u015fmas\u0131, enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re 20 milyar 500 milyonluk y\u00fczde 41.4’l\u00fck art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fini ve hem ithalat a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hem cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 olumsuz etkileyece\u011fi sonucunu beraberinde getiriyor. T\u00fcrkiye 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda ihracat\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 4.8’i oran\u0131nda 6 milyar 535 milyon liral\u0131k enerji ihracat\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirirken, toplam ithalat\u0131n y\u00fczde 22.5’i oran\u0131nda 54 milyar 112 milyon dolarl\u0131k enerji ithalat\u0131 yapm\u0131\u015f. B\u00f6ylece net enerji ithalat\u0131m\u0131z 47 milyar 577 milyon dolar ile toplam d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7ersinde y\u00fczde 44.9 paya ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f.
\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l toplam enerji t\u00fcketimimizin y\u00fczde 76’s\u0131 ithalata dayan\u0131rken, yerli kaynak kulan\u0131m\u0131m\u0131z y\u00fczde 26 oran\u0131nda kalm\u0131\u015f. \u0130thal enerjimiz i\u00e7ersinde yer alan petrol\u00fcn y\u00fczde 94’\u00fcn\u00fc,\u00a0 do\u011falgaz\u0131n y\u00fczde 99’unu ithal etmi\u015fiz.<\/p>