{"id":13230,"date":"2012-03-22T21:46:51","date_gmt":"2012-03-22T19:46:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=13230"},"modified":"2012-03-22T21:46:51","modified_gmt":"2012-03-22T19:46:51","slug":"beklenti-anketini-acikladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/beklenti-anketini-acikladi\/","title":{"rendered":"Beklenti Anketini A\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131 Mart ay\u0131 2. d\u00f6nem beklenti anketinde, y\u0131l sonu y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE beklentisi y\u00fczde 7,22&#8217;ye y\u00fckseldi. Mart ay\u0131 1. d\u00f6nem anketinde beklenti, y\u00fczde 7,20 d\u00fczeyindeydi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-678539470\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131 Mart ay\u0131 2. d\u00f6nem beklenti anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Buna g\u00f6re, Mart ay\u0131 1. d\u00f6nem anketinde 63 milyar 135,2 milyon dolar d\u00fczeyinde olan y\u0131l sonu cari a\u00e7\u0131k beklentisi, 63 milyar 940 milyon dolara y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131l sonu dolar kuru beklentisi ise 1,8036 liraya y\u00fckseldi. Mart ay\u0131 1. d\u00f6nem anketinde beklenti 1,7938 lira seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n<p>Mart ay\u0131 1. d\u00f6nem anketinde y\u00fczde 3,6 olarak belirlenen y\u0131l sonu Gayrisafi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131la (GSYH) b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 seviyede kald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131 Mart ay\u0131n\u0131n birinci d\u00f6nem beklenti anketinde 1,7763 lira olan cari ay sonu dolar kuru beklentisi, Mart ay\u0131 ikinci d\u00f6nem anketinde 1,8006 liraya y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n, mali ve reel sekt\u00f6rde karar al\u0131c\u0131 ve uzman ki\u015filerle profesyonellerin beklentilerini saptamaya y\u00f6nelik her ay iki kez d\u00fczenledi\u011fi beklenti anketinin Mart ay\u0131 ikinci d\u00f6nem sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ankete g\u00f6re, cari ay\u0131n t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi y\u00fczde 0,57&#8217;den y\u00fczde 0,59&#8217;a y\u00fckseldi. Gelecek ay\u0131n T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 0,64&#8217;den y\u00fczde 0,66&#8217;ya y\u00fckseldi. Ankette iki ay sonras\u0131n\u0131n T\u00dcFE beklentisi de y\u00fczde 0,68 olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-451472489\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Mart ay\u0131 2. d\u00f6nem anketinde y\u0131l sonu y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE beklentisi y\u00fczde 7,22 oldu. Mart ay\u0131n\u0131n birinci d\u00f6nem anketinde s\u00f6z konusu beklenti y\u00fczde 7,20 d\u00fczeyindeydi.<\/p>\n<p>12 ay sonras\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE beklentisi y\u00fczde 6,78&#8217;den y\u00fczde 6,84&#8217;e, 24 ay sonras\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE beklentisi de y\u00fczde 6,32&#8217;den y\u00fczde 6,42&#8217;ye y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>-Dolar kuru beklentisi<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ankete g\u00f6re, bankalararas\u0131 d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131 cari ay sonu dolar kuru beklentisi 1,8006 lira oldu. Beklenti, Mart ay\u0131n\u0131n birinci d\u00f6nem anketinde 1,7763 lira idi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-243555378\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Y\u0131l sonu dolar kuru beklentisi de 1,8036 lira oldu. Mart ay\u0131n\u0131n birinci anketinde bu oran 1,7938 lira d\u00fczeyindeydi.<\/p>\n<p>Gelecek 12 ay sonundaki dolar kuru beklentisi de 1,8027 liradan, 1,8087 liraya y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>-Cari a\u00e7\u0131k ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ankette, bu y\u0131l sonu y\u0131ll\u0131k cari i\u015flemler dengesi beklentisi 63 milyar 940 milyon dolara y\u00fckseldi. Cari a\u00e7\u0131k beklentisi Mart ay\u0131n\u0131n birinci d\u00f6nem anketinde 63 milyar 135,2 milyon dolar d\u00fczeyindeydi.<\/p>\n<p>Gelecek y\u0131l sonu y\u0131ll\u0131k cari i\u015flemler dengesi beklentisi ise 62 milyar 629 milyon dolardan 63 milyar 876,5 milyon dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Bu y\u0131l\u0131n sonundaki y\u0131ll\u0131k GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise y\u00fczde y\u00fczde 3,6 seviyesiyle ayn\u0131 kald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><strong>-Repo ihale faiz oranlar\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Cari ay sonu Merkez Bankas\u0131 bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi de\u011fi\u015fmedi ve y\u00fczde 5,75&#8217;te kald\u0131. S\u00f6z konusu oran 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 A\u011fustos ay\u0131n\u0131n birinci d\u00f6neminden bu yana de\u011fi\u015fmedi.<\/p>\n<p>Gelecek 3 ay sonundaki Merkez Bankas\u0131 bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi de y\u00fczde 5,75&#8217;te kald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Gelecek 6 ay sonundaki TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi ise de\u011fi\u015fmeyerek y\u00fczde 5,75&#8242; geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>Gelecek 12 ay sonundaki TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi y\u00fczde 6,01&#8217;den y\u00fczde 6,00&#8217;a geriledi. Gelecek 24 ay sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in ise y\u00fczde 6,14&#8217;ten y\u00fczde 6,15&#8217;e y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan d\u00fczenlenen Mart ay\u0131n\u0131n birinci ve ikinci d\u00f6nem beklenti anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n<p>Mart Mart<\/p>\n<p>. 1. D\u00f6nem 2. D\u00f6nem<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;- &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<\/p>\n<p>-Cari ay T\u00dcFE (y\u00fczde) 0,57 0,59<\/p>\n<p>-Y\u0131l sonu T\u00dcFE (y\u00fczde) 7,20 7,22<\/p>\n<p>-Cari y\u0131l sonu GSYH (y\u00fczde) 3,6 3,6<\/p>\n<p>-Cari y\u0131l sonu cari i\u015flemler<\/p>\n<p>dengesi (milyon dolar) 63.135,2 63.940,0<\/p>\n<p>-Cari ay sonu dolar kuru (TL) 1,7763 1,8006<\/p>\n<p>Cari dengeyle ilgili beklenti, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 ve 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda aylar itibariyle \u015f\u00f6yle oldu: (milyon dolar)<\/p>\n<p>Ocak-11<\/p>\n<p>1. d\u00f6nem -46.938,0<\/p>\n<p>2. d\u00f6nem -48.413,3<\/p>\n<p>\u015eubat-11<\/p>\n<p>1. d\u00f6nem -48.547,7<\/p>\n<p>2. d\u00f6nem -49.368,9<\/p>\n<p>Mart-11<\/p>\n<p>1. d\u00f6nem -50.932,6<\/p>\n<p>2. d\u00f6nem -51.607,0<\/p>\n<p>Nisan-11<\/p>\n<p>1. d\u00f6nem -53.537,7<\/p>\n<p>2. d\u00f6nem -55.548,7<\/p>\n<p>May\u0131s-11<\/p>\n<p>1. d\u00f6nem -56.964,1<\/p>\n<p>2. d\u00f6nem -61.009,5<\/p>\n<p>Haziran-11<\/p>\n<p>1. d\u00f6nem -63.515,3<\/p>\n<p>2. d\u00f6nem -66.395,8<\/p>\n<p>Temmuz-11<\/p>\n<p>1. d\u00f6nem -66.547,0<\/p>\n<p>2. d\u00f6nem -68.062,3<\/p>\n<p>A\u011fustos-11<\/p>\n<p>1. d\u00f6nem -70.772,1<\/p>\n<p>2. d\u00f6nem -71.990,1<\/p>\n<p>Eyl\u00fcl-11<\/p>\n<p>1. d\u00f6nem -71.912,5<\/p>\n<p>2. d\u00f6nem -72.506,7<\/p>\n<p>Ekim-11<\/p>\n<p>1. d\u00f6nem -73.071,8<\/p>\n<p>2.d\u00f6nem -72.649,4<\/p>\n<p>Kas\u0131m-11<\/p>\n<p>1. d\u00f6nem -73.600,0<\/p>\n<p>2.d\u00f6nem -74.514,6<\/p>\n<p>Aral\u0131k-11<\/p>\n<p>1. d\u00f6nem -75.128,8<\/p>\n<p>2.d\u00f6nem -75.337,5<\/p>\n<p>Ocak-12<\/p>\n<p>1. d\u00f6nem -64.412,4<\/p>\n<p>2. d\u00f6nem -62.973,0<\/p>\n<p>\u015eubat-12<\/p>\n<p>1. d\u00f6nem -62.010,0<\/p>\n<p>2.d\u00f6nem -62.715,0<\/p>\n<p>Mart-12<\/p>\n<p>1.d\u00f6nem -63.135,2<\/p>\n<p>2.d\u00f6nem -63.940,0<\/p>\n<p>AA<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131 Mart ay\u0131 2. d\u00f6nem beklenti anketinde, y\u0131l sonu y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE beklentisi y\u00fczde 7,22&#8217;ye y\u00fckseldi. Mart ay\u0131 1. d\u00f6nem anketinde beklenti, y\u00fczde 7,20 d\u00fczeyindeydi.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3719,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13230","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13230","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13230"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13230\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3719"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13230"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13230"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13230"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}