{"id":13206,"date":"2012-03-22T10:23:08","date_gmt":"2012-03-22T08:23:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=13206"},"modified":"2012-03-22T10:23:16","modified_gmt":"2012-03-22T08:23:16","slug":"ic-tasarruflar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/ic-tasarruflar\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130\u00e7 Tasarruflar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Likidite bollu\u011fu tek ba\u015f\u0131na mali piyasalar\u0131 ayakta tutabilir mi? Hay\u0131r. Varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131 uzun d\u00f6nemde daima ve her yerde reel ekonominin ger\u00e7eklerini yans\u0131t\u0131r. \u0130kisi aras\u0131nda uyumsuzluk mali piyasan\u0131n \u201cmanik-depresif\u201d ki\u015fili\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr k\u0131lar..<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4280943278\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bir s\u00fcre bol likidite pembe g\u00f6zl\u00fckler takt\u0131r\u0131r. Onu korku g\u00fcnleri izler. Petrol fiyat\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f zaten moral bozuyordu. \u00c7in ekonomisinin yava\u015flamas\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fcne tuz biber ekti. Yeme\u011fin tad\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131nca risk i\u015ftah\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcverdi.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00fcresel ekonomiyi krizi ta\u015f\u0131yan reel dengesizlikler \u00e7ok yava\u015f (ve sanc\u0131l\u0131) d\u00fczeliyor. \u00c7in\u2019in ihracatla b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme \u00e7abalar\u0131 eninde sonunda t\u0131kanacakt\u0131. O g\u00fcn geldi. Yeni s\u00fcrprizlere haz\u0131r olmak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ocak d\u0131\u015f ticaret endeksleri T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Miktar endeksleri ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla ihracatta y\u00fczde 8,8 artarken ithalatta y\u00fczde 0.2 azal\u0131yor. \u0130yi haberdir. Ancak petrol fiyat\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret hadlerini (fiyat endekslerini) olumsuz etkiliyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Harcama-\u00fcretim dengesi<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ge\u00e7en hafta \u0130stanbul\u2019da \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir toplant\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131. Konu: \u201cY\u00fcksek B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fi &#8211; Yurt i\u00e7i Tasarruflar\u0131n Rol\u00fc\u201d. D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 ve Kalk\u0131nma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (eski DPT) taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan rapor tan\u0131t\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Maalesef toplant\u0131 bir konu\u015fmamla \u00e7ak\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Kat\u0131lamad\u0131m. Ama toplant\u0131da sunulan raporu internetten indirdim (www.worldbank.org.tr). Alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izerek okudum. Kapsaml\u0131 ve doyurucu bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma olmu\u015f. Tavsiye ederim.<\/p>\n<p>Geri planda ekonominin \u00fcretim-harcama dengesi yat\u0131yor. Milli gelir muhasebesi tasarruf-yat\u0131r\u0131m dengesi \u015feklinde hesaplan\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-27759413\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Buradan tasarruf fazlas\u0131 ya da a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 tan\u0131mlar\u0131na ula\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Terminolojiye aldanmayal\u0131m. \u00d6rne\u011fin toplam harcaman\u0131n \u00fcretimden fazla oldu\u011funu kabul edelim. Fark d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131kta somutla\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Do\u011frusu \u201ct\u00fcketim fazlas\u0131\u201d olurdu. Ama iktisat literat\u00fcr\u00fcnde \u201ctasarruf a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d deniyor. \u00d6zellikle vurgulamak istedim. Genel dengenin hesaplanmas\u0131nda ciddi \u00f6l\u00e7me sorunlar\u0131 vard\u0131r. D\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131kla sa\u011flama yap\u0131l\u0131r. Ancak i\u00e7 tasarrufun da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 (kamu-\u00f6zel; hanehalk\u0131-kurumsal) ya yoktur ya da hatal\u0131d\u0131r. Tabloda DPT\u2019nin yeni haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201ckamu-\u00f6zel\u201d verilerini kulland\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/haber.gazetevatan.com\/Haber\/438292\/1\/Gundem\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2304657320\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Likidite bollu\u011fu tek ba\u015f\u0131na mali piyasalar\u0131 ayakta tutabilir mi? Hay\u0131r. Varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131 uzun d\u00f6nemde daima ve her yerde reel ekonominin ger\u00e7eklerini yans\u0131t\u0131r. \u0130kisi aras\u0131nda uyumsuzluk&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13206","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13206","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13206"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13206\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13206"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13206"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13206"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}