{"id":12463,"date":"2012-03-06T15:49:28","date_gmt":"2012-03-06T13:49:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=12463"},"modified":"2012-03-06T15:49:37","modified_gmt":"2012-03-06T13:49:37","slug":"turkiye-ekonomisi-kuresel-sistemin-neresinde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/turkiye-ekonomisi-kuresel-sistemin-neresinde\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomisi K\u00fcresel Sistemin Neresinde?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>Burada bir kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma yaparak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin k\u00fcresel ekonomideki yerini belirlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131m. Bu belirlemenin bir\u00e7ok eksikleri olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdiden s\u00f6ylemeliyim. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc e\u011fitim, sa\u011fl\u0131k, adalet, demokrasi, fikri m\u00fclkiyet haklar\u0131, insan haklar\u0131, hatta hayvan haklar\u0131 gibi konular bunlara eklenmeden yap\u0131lacak kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmalar yetersiz kalacakt\u0131r. Ama yine de eldeki verilerle bir kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma yapmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131m.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>2011 y\u0131l\u0131 itibariyle d\u00fcnyan\u0131n GSYH\u2019s\u0131 cari fiyatlarla 70 trilyon dolar. Ayn\u0131 y\u0131lda d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusu 7 milyar ki\u015fi. Buna g\u00f6re d\u00fcnyada ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama gelir 10.000 dolar ediyor.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin GSYH\u2019s\u0131 736 milyar dolar, n\u00fcfusu ise 73 milyon ki\u015fi. Buna g\u00f6re ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na geliri y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama olarak 10.080 dolar ediyor. T\u00fcrkiye, GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc olarak d\u00fcnyada 17. s\u0131rada, n\u00fcfus b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc olarak 19. s\u0131rada, ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na gelir d\u00fczeyi olarak da 63. s\u0131rada yer al\u0131yor. Demek ki T\u00fcrkiye, d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun y\u00fczde 1,1\u2019ine ve d\u00fcnya GSYH\u2019s\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 1,1\u2019ine sahip bulunuyor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen gelir ise d\u00fcnya ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n biraz \u00fcst\u00fcnde yer al\u0131yor.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131nda e\u015fitsizli\u011fi \u00f6l\u00e7mekte kullan\u0131lan Gini Katsay\u0131s\u0131 2010 y\u0131l\u0131 itibariyle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de 0,40 d\u00fczeyinde hesaplanm\u0131\u015f bulunuyor. T\u00fcrkiye bu oranla 140 \u00fclke aras\u0131nda (en k\u00f6t\u00fc Gini Katsay\u0131s\u0131na sahip \u00fclke 1 numaradan ba\u015flamak \u00fczere) 62. s\u0131rada yer al\u0131yor.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 4 olarak tahmin ediliyor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ayn\u0131 y\u0131l i\u00e7in tahmin edilen ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 8,5. Demek ki T\u00fcrkiye 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n iki kat\u0131ndan daha h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>D\u00fcnyada 2011 y\u0131lsonu itibariyle ortalama y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon (t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 cinsinden) y\u00fczde 4,6. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ayn\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda enflasyon y\u00fczde 10,5. Yani 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye fiyatlar d\u00fcnya ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n iki kat\u0131ndan daha h\u0131zl\u0131 artm\u0131\u015f bulunuyor.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>2011 y\u0131lsonu itibariyle d\u00fcnya \u00fclkelerinin ortalama kamu kesimi bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fc GSYH\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 80\u2019i dolay\u0131nda. Bu oran T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de y\u00fczde 40&#8217;\u0131n biraz \u00fczerinde. Buna g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de kamu kesimi, d\u00fcnya ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131 kadar bor\u00e7lu durumda.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Cari a\u00e7\u0131k i\u00e7in d\u00fcnya ortalamas\u0131 al\u0131namaz, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc sonu\u00e7ta a\u00e7\u0131klarla fazlalar birbirine ya e\u015fittir yani toplam\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131rd\u0131r ya da istatistiksel \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm hatalar\u0131 nedeniyle s\u0131f\u0131ra \u00e7ok yak\u0131nd\u0131r (birinin a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6tekinin fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in.) Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de aralar\u0131nda yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 geli\u015fme yolundaki ekonomilerin cari a\u00e7\u0131k ortalamas\u0131 al\u0131nabilir. 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda bu ortalama y\u00fczde 2,4 olarak hesaplan\u0131yor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2011 cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 9,9 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye, i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu \u00fclkeler grubunun 4 kat\u0131ndan daha fazla bir cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa sahip durumda.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>\u00d6zetle s\u00f6ylemek gerekirse T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 itibariyle; cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen, enflasyonu y\u00fcksek, kamu borcu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck, ortalama gelir d\u00fczeyini yakalam\u0131\u015f, ekonomisinin \u00e7ap\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck, n\u00fcfusu y\u00fcksek, gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 bozuk bir ekonomi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc sergiliyor diyebiliriz.<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Burada bir kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma yaparak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin k\u00fcresel ekonomideki yerini belirlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131m. Bu belirlemenin bir\u00e7ok eksikleri olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdiden s\u00f6ylemeliyim. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc e\u011fitim, sa\u011fl\u0131k, adalet, demokrasi, fikri m\u00fclkiyet haklar\u0131,&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":917,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12463","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12463","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12463"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12463\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/917"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12463"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12463"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12463"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}