{"id":12400,"date":"2012-03-05T13:48:55","date_gmt":"2012-03-05T11:48:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=12400"},"modified":"2012-03-05T13:49:55","modified_gmt":"2012-03-05T11:49:55","slug":"avrupanin-buyumesi-gerek-ama-nasil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/avrupanin-buyumesi-gerek-ama-nasil\/","title":{"rendered":"Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n B\u00fcy\u00fcmesi Gerek Ama Nas\u0131l?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7en hafta Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n 25 \u00fclke liderinin kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131, bug\u00fcne kadar yap\u0131lanlar\u0131n belki en az stresli olan\u0131yd\u0131.<br \/>\nAt\u0131lan ad\u0131mlar\u0131n olumlu sonu\u00e7 vermeye ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6yle bir havay\u0131 yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ku\u015fkusuz. Baz\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131k noktalar\u0131n\u0131n ve risklerin h\u00e2l\u00e2 ortada bulunmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n olu\u015fan bu atmosfer, liderleri ba\u015fka konular \u00fczerine odakla\u015fmaya zorlad\u0131.<br \/>\nBunlar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda da b\u00fcy\u00fcme sorunu geliyordu.<br \/>\nSiyaset\u00e7ilerin ve piyasalar\u0131n bulu\u015ftuklar\u0131 nadir ortak noktalardan birisinin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yararlar\u0131 oldu\u011fu ku\u015fkusuz. B\u00fcy\u00fcme ger\u00e7ekle\u015fince siyaset\u00e7inin oyu art\u0131yor, piyasalar\u0131n morali d\u00fczeliyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1670510550\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>AVRUPA: B\u00dcY\u00dcME \u00d6Z\u00dcRL\u00dcS\u00dc<\/strong><br \/>\nNe yaz\u0131k ki b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6z\u00fcrl\u00fcs\u00fc konumuna giren Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki y\u0131lda beklenen performans\u0131 hi\u00e7 de iyi g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<br \/>\nIMF&#8217;nin G-20&#8217;ler i\u00e7in haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 son raporda 2010 ve 2011 y\u0131llar\u0131nda s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 1.9 ve 1.6 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyen Euro B\u00f6lgesinin, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0.5 oran\u0131nda daralaca\u011f\u0131 bekleniyor. 2013 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in konulan rakam ise y\u00fczde 0.8.<br \/>\nBu oranlar ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse Euro B\u00f6lgesi&#8217;ndeki siyaset\u00e7ilerin i\u015fin i\u00e7inden \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 \u00e7ok zor. \u0130ktidar\u0131 bir ba\u015fka partiye devredecekleri kesin.<br \/>\nBunun i\u00e7in &#8220;ne pahas\u0131na olursa olsun b\u00fcy\u00fcyelim&#8221; diyorlar. Diyorlar da nas\u0131l olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyen yok.<br \/>\nGeleneksel makroekonomik politikalarla bu amaca k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde ula\u015fman\u0131n bir\u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc\u011f\u00fc var.<br \/>\n\u25a0 Halk, kamu ve i\u015f \u00e2lemi harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rm\u0131yorlar.<br \/>\n\u25a0 Para politikas\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131yor. Faizler en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck d\u00fczeyde olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n ekonomiyi canland\u0131rm\u0131yor. Tam aksine sorunlar\u0131 ileriye at\u0131yor.<br \/>\n\u25a0 Maliye politikas\u0131 bor\u00e7 bata\u011f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f Avrupal\u0131 ekonomilere b\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bir katk\u0131 sa\u011flayam\u0131yor. Tam aksine b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi frenliyor.<br \/>\n\u25a0 Reel, fiskal ve finans sekt\u00f6rlerindeki geli\u015fmelerin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi engellemesinin nas\u0131l yumu\u015fat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 bilinemiyor.<br \/>\nBu \u015fartlarda &#8220;B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin kaynaklar\u0131&#8221; bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc ortaya \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lam\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>MARSHALL PLANI<\/strong><br \/>\nBu aralarda Avrupal\u0131 y\u00f6neticilerin dillerinden d\u00fc\u015fmeyen &#8220;Marshall Plan\u0131&#8221; s\u00f6ylemi var.<br \/>\nBu plan, 1948-1951 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe konan ABD kaynakl\u0131 bir ekonomik yard\u0131m paketi. \u0130ki temel amac\u0131 var. Birincisi, sava\u015fta y\u0131k\u0131lan ekonomik yap\u0131n\u0131n yerine yenilerini kurup Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n yok olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek; ikincisi ise ABD&#8217;nin en \u00f6nemli ticaret partnerinin sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc art\u0131r\u0131p ona mal satmak.<br \/>\nMarshall Plan\u0131 o tarihlerde ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 oldu. Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n altyap\u0131s\u0131 yeniden \u00fcretim yapabilir hale geldi.<br \/>\nBug\u00fcn ise ko\u015fullar, yap\u0131 ve ama\u00e7 farkl\u0131. Ancak Avrupa \u0130stikrar Mekanizmas\u0131 ve IMF kaynaklar\u0131 kullan\u0131larak farkl\u0131 bir mimari yakla\u015f\u0131mla benzer bir sistem y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe konulabilir. Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n altyap\u0131s\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilebilir.<br \/>\nPeki ba\u015fka ne \u00f6nlemler akla geliyor denince, yan\u0131t yok.<br \/>\nBor\u00e7 \u00f6deyen, ihracat yapamayan, verimlili\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck, fazla \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 sevmeyen, inovasyon k\u00fclt\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc yeterince kullanamayan, rekabet\u00e7ilikte sorunlar\u0131 olan, s\u00f6m\u00fcrgecilik yoluyla kaynak aktar\u0131m\u0131 sona eren, tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc minimum d\u00fczeye inmi\u015f, bor\u00e7 ve finans krizini beraber ya\u015fayan ve demokratik haklar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toplumda y\u00fcksek oranda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek kolay olmuyor.<br \/>\nOlmayacak da.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7en hafta Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n 25 \u00fclke liderinin kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131, bug\u00fcne kadar yap\u0131lanlar\u0131n belki en az stresli olan\u0131yd\u0131. At\u0131lan ad\u0131mlar\u0131n olumlu sonu\u00e7 vermeye ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6yle bir havay\u0131&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":418,"featured_media":5395,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12400","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12400","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/418"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12400"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12400\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12400"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12400"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12400"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}