{"id":12211,"date":"2012-02-29T15:28:53","date_gmt":"2012-02-29T13:28:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=12211"},"modified":"2012-02-29T15:29:02","modified_gmt":"2012-02-29T13:29:02","slug":"petrol-fiyatina-ne-oluyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/petrol-fiyatina-ne-oluyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol Fiyat\u0131na Ne Oluyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Son g\u00fcnlerde petrol fiyat\u0131 art\u0131yor. Enerji pahal\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor. Geli\u015fmeler iki y\u00f6nden kayg\u0131 verici. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131, do\u011frudan t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yor. Para otoritelerinin enflasyon konusundaki \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri alt\u00fcst oluyor. Ekonomik birimlerin al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. \u0130kinci kayg\u0131 kayna\u011f\u0131, artan petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n &#8220;arz y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u015fok&#8221; yaratmas\u0131. Ayn\u0131 \u00fcretim d\u00fczeyi daha maliyetli hale geldi\u011finden, \u00fcretim d\u00fc\u015fme e\u011filimine giriyor.<br \/>\nGeli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde y\u00fczde 1 &#8216;in alt\u0131nda bir ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklenirken, k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin y\u00fczde 4&#8217;\u00fcn alt\u0131nda olabilece\u011fi tahmin edilirken petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fa ge\u00e7mesi, \u00f6zellikle ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok olumsuz bir tablo yarat\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3188705915\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>DOLARIN PETROLE G\u00d6RE DEVAL\u00dcASYONU<\/strong><br \/>\n\u0130lk petrol \u015foku 1973 y\u0131l\u0131nda Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler Grubu&#8217;nun (OPEC) fiyatlar\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti. 1971 y\u0131l\u0131nda ba\u015flayan bir s\u00fcre\u00e7te, 1973 y\u0131l\u0131 ayn\u0131 zamanda Amerika&#8217;n\u0131n dolar\u0131n de\u011ferini alt\u0131na ba\u011flama (alt\u0131n standard\u0131) kural\u0131n\u0131 tek tarafl\u0131 olarak uygulamadan kald\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 resmen a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u0131ld\u0131. Amerika&#8217;n\u0131n dolar\u0131 alt\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 deval\u00fce etmesi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda OPEC, dolar\u0131 petrole kar\u015f\u0131 da deval\u00fce etme karar\u0131 alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<br \/>\n1978 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki ikinci fiyat art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131ndan sonra k\u00fcresel ekonomide enflasyon i\u00e7in durgunluk s\u00fcreci derinle\u015fti. 1990&#8217;11 y\u0131llar\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131na kadar petrol fiyatlar\u0131na endeksli bir konjonkt\u00fcr ya\u015fanmad\u0131. 1997 y\u0131l\u0131nda petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 10 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na kadar geldi. Rusya, Sovyetler Birli\u011fi&#8217;nden devrald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bor\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00f6deyemeyece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. K\u00fcresel ekonomi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu da \u00f6nemli bir \u015foktu.<\/p>\n<p>2000&#8217;li y\u0131llar, 2002 y\u0131l\u0131ndan 2008 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar, ba\u015fta Amerikan ekonomisi olmak \u00fczere, Japonya hari\u00e7, k\u00fcresel ekonominin olduk\u00e7a h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc y\u0131llard\u0131. Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler y\u00fczde 5&#8217;in \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcrken, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin y\u00fczde 8&#8217;i a\u015fan b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131n\u0131 yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u0131llar oldu. K\u00fcresel kriz oyunu bozdu. Oyunun bozulmas\u0131ndan az evvel (Temmuz 2008) petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 (Brent petrol) 150 dolara yakla\u015ft\u0131. K\u00fcresel krizle beraber (Aral\u0131k 2008) petrol\u00fcn fiyat\u0131 30 dolara kadar indi.<\/p>\n<p>2009 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n yeniden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f e\u011filimine girdi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Ne tesad\u00fcft\u00fcr ki, petrol fiyat\u0131ndaki yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filim k\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde likiditenin de h\u0131zla artmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6neme rastl\u0131yor. Paralar\u0131 rezerv para olan t\u00fcm merkez bankalar\u0131 para bas\u0131yor. T\u0131pk\u0131 1973 y\u0131l\u0131nda OPEC taraf\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen dolar\u0131n petrole kar\u015f\u0131 deval\u00fce edilmesi, bu kez piyasa taraf\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmi\u015f gibi oldu.<\/p>\n<p><strong>PARA M\u0130KTARI ARTINCA<\/strong><br \/>\n2008 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u015fimdi 2008&#8217;in yar\u0131s\u0131ndan daha az. B\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomilerdeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme 2008&#8217;in d\u00f6rtte biri kadar. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 neredeyse 2008 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131ndaki d\u00fczeye geldi.<br \/>\n2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda jeopolitik riskler \u015fimdiki kadar y\u00fcksek de\u011fildi. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, bu riskler fiyatlan\u0131yor. Jeopolitik risklerin fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ortamda ekonomik nedenleri de \u00fcst\u00fcne koyarsan\u0131z, petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 150 dolar\u0131 a\u015fmas\u0131 hi\u00e7 de s\u00fcrpriz olmayabilir.<br \/>\nAmerika parasal geni\u015fleme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 canl\u0131 tutuyor. Avrupa parasal geni\u015flemenin en yo\u011fun d\u00f6nemini ya\u015f\u0131yor. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar\u0131n \u00fczerine jeopolitik riskler s\u00f6z konusu. Jeopolitik riskler olmasa dahi, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli rezerv paralar\u0131n\u0131n miktar\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu d\u00f6nemde bu paralar\u0131n petrole kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fer yitirmesine \u015fa\u015fmamak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Son g\u00fcnlerde petrol fiyat\u0131 art\u0131yor. Enerji pahal\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor. Geli\u015fmeler iki y\u00f6nden kayg\u0131 verici. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131, do\u011frudan t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yor. Para otoritelerinin enflasyon konusundaki \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri alt\u00fcst&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":675,"featured_media":9441,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12211","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12211","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/675"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12211"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12211\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9441"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12211"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12211"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12211"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}