{"id":11839,"date":"2012-02-21T09:51:17","date_gmt":"2012-02-21T07:51:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=11839"},"modified":"2012-02-21T09:51:33","modified_gmt":"2012-02-21T07:51:33","slug":"euro-krizi-ve-kuresel-ekonominin-gelecegi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/euro-krizi-ve-kuresel-ekonominin-gelecegi\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro Krizi ve K\u00fcresel Ekonominin Gelece\u011fi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnya nefesini tuttu, Euro B\u00f6lgesi maliye bakanlar\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n sonu\u00e7lanmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Sabah Avrupa borsalar\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fle a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. Anla\u015f\u0131lan mali piyasalar karar\u0131n olumlu \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u00d6yle olmas\u0131n\u0131 temenni ediyorum.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2276947840\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Tart\u0131\u015fmalara Kemal Dervi\u015f de kat\u0131ld\u0131. 16 \u015eubat yaz\u0131s\u0131na Project Syndicate sitesinden ula\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor (www.project-syndicate.org\/commentary\/dervis7\/English). Arap\u00e7a, \u00c7ince vs. 8 dile terc\u00fcmesi var; T\u00fcrk\u00e7e yok.<\/p>\n<p>Siteye arada bakman\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6neririm. \u0130ktisat\u00e7\u0131, gazeteci, siyaset\u00e7i, kamuoyu \u00f6nderi vs. farkl\u0131 bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tan yaz\u0131lar \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Dervi\u015f\u2019in makalesi \u00f6nemli temalara giriyor. Euro b\u00f6lgesinin yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 irdeliyor. K\u00fcreselle\u015fmenin i\u00e7erdi\u011fi \u00e7eli\u015fkileri hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Nitekim yaz\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle: \u201cAvrupa Krizinin K\u00fcresel Gelece\u011fi.\u201d Makaleden al\u0131nt\u0131lar a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da; alt\u0131n\u0131 ben \u00e7izdim.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Euro krizi<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201cArt\u0131k adeta herkes Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin \u00f6n\u00fcndeki temel sorunun bir ekonomik birlik olmadan parasal birli\u011fe gitmesinden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kabul ediyor. B\u00f6yle bir kurumsal yap\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya \u00f6rne\u011fi yok. Dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile \u00fcretim maliyetleri aras\u0131nda zamanla olu\u015fan farklar d\u00f6viz kuru hareketleri ile d\u00fczeltilemiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm d\u0131\u015f fazla veren \u00fclkelerin daha y\u00fcksek enflasyona \u00f6rne\u011fin y\u00fczde 4 civar\u0131nda izin vermeleridir. Bu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 takdirde sorunlu \u00fclkelerde \u00fcretim maliyetlerinin azalmas\u0131 i\u00e7in deflasyon (\u00fccret ve fiyatlar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi) gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Uygulamada, deflasyon ancak \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek i\u015fsizlik ve toplumsal s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 pahas\u0131na sa\u011flanabilir. Do\u011fal olarak, kemer s\u0131kma ile deflasyonu birle\u015ftiren mevcut stratejinin siyasi fizibilitesi g\u00fcndeme geliyor. Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin gelece\u011fi \u00fczerindeki b\u00fcy\u00fck belirsizlik buradan kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4064311319\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u0131\u015f fazla veren \u00fclkelerde y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve sorunlu \u00fclkelere kaynak transferi zaman kazand\u0131r\u0131r. Yap\u0131sal reformlar\u0131n olumlu sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr. Deflasyon gere\u011fi azal\u0131r. Ama d\u0131\u015f fazla veren kuzey \u00fclkeleri buna kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Sorunlu \u00fclkelerde zorunlu reform \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatmas\u0131 korkusu \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>K\u00fcresel \u00e7eli\u015fkiler<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201cEuro B\u00f6lgesi sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n bir de k\u00fcresel boyutu var. Buna Dani Rodrik, J. M. Severino ve Olivier Ray gibi yazarlar daha \u00f6nce de\u011finmi\u015fti. Milli demokratik siyaset ile k\u00fcreselle\u015fme aras\u0131nda ciddi bir gerginlik ya\u015fan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>D\u0131\u015f ticaret, ileti\u015fim ve mali ak\u0131mlar milli ekonomilerin kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok art\u0131rd\u0131. B\u00f6ylece mali piyasa \u00e7alkant\u0131lar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131k da y\u00fckseldi. Neticede \u00fclke i\u00e7inde politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n manevra alan\u0131 her yerde darald\u0131.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1468314971\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tehditler ger\u00e7ektir. Bu da k\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde politika e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcm\u00fc zorunlu\u011funu getiriyor. \u00d6te yandan, vatanda\u015flar ise ekonomide ne olup bitti\u011fini anlamak, iktisat politikalar\u0131n\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmak ve \u00f6nerilen \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmleri onaylamak istiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile mali piyasalar\u0131n demokratik s\u00fcre\u00e7ler taraf\u0131ndan denetlenmesine olanak verecek \u015fekilde uluslar\u00fcst\u00fc (supranational) siyaset bi\u00e7imleri gerekiyor. 20\u2019nci y\u00fczy\u0131lda bu s\u00fcrecin milli piyasalar ve milli devlet d\u00fczeyinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini hat\u0131rlatal\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131nda Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n krizi 21\u2019inci y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n temel siyasi tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fcs\u00fcd\u00fcr: k\u00fcresel piyasalarla milli siyaset aras\u0131ndaki gerginlik nas\u0131l \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclebilir?\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnya nefesini tuttu, Euro B\u00f6lgesi maliye bakanlar\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n sonu\u00e7lanmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Sabah Avrupa borsalar\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fle a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. Anla\u015f\u0131lan mali piyasalar karar\u0131n olumlu \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u00d6yle olmas\u0131n\u0131 temenni&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11839","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11839"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11839\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11839"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11839"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11839"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}