{"id":11736,"date":"2012-02-18T09:24:58","date_gmt":"2012-02-18T07:24:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=11736"},"modified":"2012-02-18T09:25:06","modified_gmt":"2012-02-18T07:25:06","slug":"2011de-istihdam-ve-issizlik","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/2011de-istihdam-ve-issizlik\/","title":{"rendered":"2011\u2019de \u0130stihdam ve \u0130\u015fsizlik"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ocak ay\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7e ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Faiz-d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda 7.1 milyar TL, b\u00fct\u00e7ede 1.7 milyar TL fazla \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Enflasyonu d\u00fczeltince bile her ikisi de tarihi rekorlard\u0131r. S\u0131k\u0131 maliye politikas\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3348439586\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131 ve T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan hesaplanan T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi Ocak\u2019ta y\u00fckseldi. Ekimde dibi g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u00dc\u00e7 ayd\u0131r istikrarl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimi olu\u015ftu. Yani t\u00fcketici mali piyasalar\u0131n karamsarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 payla\u015fm\u0131yor. Vatanda\u015f\u0131n sa\u011fduyusu diyebiliriz.<\/p>\n<p>Bir ba\u015fka \u2018yumu\u015fak ini\u015f\u2019 i\u015fareti elektrik t\u00fcketimi verilerinden geldi. Ekonomik faaliyetin \u00f6nemli bir \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergesidir. Y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f Kas\u0131m\u2019da y\u00fczde 16, Aral\u0131k\u2019ta y\u00fczde 10\u2019dan Ocak\u2019ta y\u00fczde 9\u2019a geriledi. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 13\u2019t\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Yunanistan krizinde son g\u00f6z\u00fckt\u00fc m\u00fc? D\u00fcnya nefesini tutmu\u015f papatya fal\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131yor: Batacak, batmayacak, batacak&#8230; Bilen beri gelsin. Dikkatinizi \u00e7ekerim: TL hi\u00e7 etkilenmedi. Son bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131mda d\u00f6viz sepeti 2.04 TL\u2019nin alt\u0131na inmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Rekoru bol y\u0131l<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Hanehalk\u0131 \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 Kas\u0131m sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nland\u0131. Ekim-Aral\u0131k d\u00f6nemini kaps\u0131yor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte ve b\u00f6ylece 2011\u2019de istihdam ve i\u015fsizlik say\u0131lar\u0131 kesinle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemi ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rarak ba\u015flayal\u0131m. 15+ ya\u015f n\u00fcfus 1.2 milyon artarken toplam istihdamda art\u0131\u015f 1.4 milyon oldu. Yani istihdam n\u00fcfustan 200 bin ki\u015fi daha h\u0131zl\u0131 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>O sayede i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131 400 bin ki\u015fi azalarak 2.4 milyona geriledi. B\u00f6ylece i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 9.1\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Son \u00e7eyrek i\u00e7in 2005\u2019te ba\u015flayan seride en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de\u011ferdir. 2011\u2019in ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 istihdam performans\u0131n\u0131n son \u00e7eyrekte de devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3952278166\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Y\u0131ll\u0131k verilere ge\u00e7elim. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 2009\u2019da y\u00fczde 13.7 ve 2010\u2019da y\u00fczde 11.7 olmu\u015ftu. Bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 10\u2019un alt\u0131na inmesini bekliyorduk. Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme y\u00fczde 9.6 oldu. Evet; bu da tarihi rekordur.<\/p>\n<p>Ekonominin istihdam yaratma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn bir di\u011fer g\u00f6stergesi kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131d\u0131r. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fanlar ve i\u015fsizler toplam\u0131n\u0131 15+ ya\u015f grubuna b\u00f6lerek hesaplan\u0131r. 2011\u2019de y\u00fczde 50.1 ile en y\u00fcksek tarihi de\u011ferine ula\u015ft\u0131. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 49\u2019du.<\/p>\n<p><strong>H\u00e2l\u00e2 e\u011filim g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Yak\u0131n d\u00f6nem e\u011filimlerini daha iyi anlamak i\u00e7in mevsim etkileri temizlenmi\u015f verileri tercih ediyoruz. \u0130\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc, istihdam ve i\u015fsizlik i\u00e7in bunlar\u0131 art\u0131k T\u00dc\u0130K yay\u0131nl\u0131yor. Alt kalemleri kendimiz hesapl\u0131yoruz.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-870557142\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>2005 ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana mevsim etkisi ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f i\u015fsizlik oranlar\u0131 grafiktedir. Bir bak\u0131ma son yedi y\u0131l\u0131n konjonkt\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6zetliyor. K\u00fcresel krize kadar (2008 sonbahar\u0131) i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 10 civar\u0131nda geziniyor. Krizde i\u015fsizlik patl\u0131yor. Nisan 2009\u2019da y\u00fczde 15\u2019le zirveye t\u0131rman\u0131yor. Sonra ekonomi toparland\u0131k\u00e7a geriliyor.<br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/fotograf.gazetevatan.com\/newpics\/news\/170220122057493416103_3.jpg\" alt=\"\" align=\"right\" \/><br \/>\nA\u011fustosta eski dibi yakal\u0131yor (y\u00fczde 9.6). Ama orada kalm\u0131yor. \u00dc\u00e7 ayd\u0131r yeni dip d\u00fczeyinde (y\u00fczde 9.3-9.4) yatay seyrediyor. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam olanaklar\u0131 t\u00fcketicinin g\u00fcveninin ana nedenlerinden biridir. \u2018Yumu\u015fak ini\u015f\u2019 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir destektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ocak ay\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7e ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Faiz-d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda 7.1 milyar TL, b\u00fct\u00e7ede 1.7 milyar TL fazla \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Enflasyonu d\u00fczeltince bile her ikisi de tarihi rekorlard\u0131r.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11736","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11736","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11736"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11736\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11736"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11736"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11736"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}