{"id":11668,"date":"2012-02-16T09:58:51","date_gmt":"2012-02-16T07:58:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=11668"},"modified":"2012-02-16T09:58:51","modified_gmt":"2012-02-16T07:58:51","slug":"dususler-devam-eder-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/dususler-devam-eder-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler devam eder mi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\" align=\"center\"><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\">Yunanistan konusu her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn biraz daha trajikomik hal al\u0131yor. Haftasonunda ek \u00f6nlem paketini parlamentodan ge\u00e7iren Yunanistan\u2019da iki b\u00fcy\u00fck parti lideri AB\u2019ye pakete sad\u0131k kalacaklar\u0131na dair taahh\u00fctlerini de verdi. Son madde olan yakla\u015f\u0131k 300 milyon euroluk ek tasarrufun da d\u00fcn itibariyle sa\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor. D\u00fcn de de\u011findi\u011fimiz gibi art\u0131k top AB\u2019nin elinde ve AB topu bir s\u00fcre \u00e7evirme niyetinde. D\u00fcn Eurogroup taraf\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen telekonferansta Yunanistan konusunda karar\u0131n 20 \u015eubat Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc verilece\u011fi belirtildi. Fakat bu tarih bile kesin de\u011fil. AB ile IMF\u2019in Yunanistan\u2019la yap\u0131lacak anla\u015fma sonras\u0131ndaki s\u00fcreci kontrol edecek, denetleyecek ve alacaklar\u0131n garanti alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak yeni d\u00fczenlemelere ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcnde a\u00e7\u0131klamalar var. Bu da yeni yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar ve d\u00fczenlemeler demek oluyor. Bu durumda 20 \u015eubat\u2019ta kredi diliminin serbest b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00e7ok olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Fakat ba\u015fta da de\u011findi\u011fimiz gibi Yunanistan konusu art\u0131k o kadar ciddiyetsiz bir hal ald\u0131 ki, her t\u00fcrl\u00fc olas\u0131l\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmakta fayda var. <\/span><\/span><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1006382538\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: small\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\">Apple ve FED<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\">D\u00fcn ak\u015fam a\u00e7\u0131klanan FED toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131ndan, \u00fcyelerden \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc parasal geni\u015flemeye kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kanlar\u0131n da oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bernanke\u2019nin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131ndan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc parasal geni\u015flemeye art\u0131k kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bakan piyasalarda, d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan tutanaklar hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratt\u0131. Tutanaklarda parasal geni\u015fleme yap\u0131labilece\u011fine dair ifadeler yer alsa da bu ifadeler Bernanke\u2019nin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131ndaki kadar net de\u011fildi. Parasal geni\u015flemedeki netli\u011fin azalmas\u0131 d\u00fcn ak\u015fam ABD endekslerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte ana etken oldu. Bunun yan\u0131nda d\u00fcn Apple hisselerinde ya\u015fanan %2\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, piyasan\u0131n doygunluk noktas\u0131na yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 yorumlar\u0131na neden oldu. Uzun s\u00fcredir \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 seviyelerine tak\u0131lan ABD endekslerinde bu s\u00fcrenin uzamas\u0131 direncin a\u015f\u0131lamayaca\u011f\u0131 alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131rmakta bu da zaman zaman kar sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131na neden olmakta. Hen\u00fcz bir panik havas\u0131 ve sert bir d\u00fczeltme sinyali almad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z bu endekslerde bir s\u00fcre dalgal\u0131 bir seyir izleyebiliriz. Bug\u00fcn ABD taraf\u0131nda endekslerde hareketlilik olu\u015fturabilecek geli\u015fmeler ise 15:30\u2019da a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olan haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 ve 16:00\u2019da Bernanke\u2019nin bir etkinlikte yapmas\u0131 beklenen konu\u015fma olacakt\u0131r. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: small\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\">Son olarak\u2026<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\"><span style=\"font-size: small\">\u0130MKB\u2019de haftan\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131 beklentilerimiz dahilinde net bir y\u00f6n\u00fc olmayan dalgal\u0131 bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiledi.\u00a0 Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm bir s\u00fcre daha devam edebilir. \u0130MKB 100\u2019de bahsetti\u011fimiz bu band\u0131n <strong>58,500-61,000<\/strong> aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. G\u00fcn i\u00e7inde bu band\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na k\u0131sa vadeli sarkmalar olabilir. Bu olas\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurulmak kayd\u0131yla, bu band\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda hareketin yeni bir y\u00f6n kazanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Endeks bir s\u00fcre daha bu band i\u00e7indeki hareketten faydalanma imkan\u0131 verebilir. Fakat band d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lacak olursa terste kalan pozisyonlarda \u0131srarc\u0131 olunmamas\u0131 gerekiyor. Son olarak Euro\/dolar konusunda mailler al\u0131yorum. Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan 1,30 \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir destek noktas\u0131. Bu seviye alt\u0131nda kapan\u0131\u015f ihtimali do\u011facak olursa sat\u0131\u015flar sertle\u015febilir ve 1,28 civar\u0131na kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 bir hareket olabilir. Fakat ana senaryomuz 1,30\u2019un alt\u0131na k\u0131sa vadeli sarkmalar olsa da 1,30-1,33 band\u0131ndaki hareketin bir s\u00fcre daha devam etmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: small\">\u00dczeyir DO\u011eAN \/ Ara\u015ft\u0131rma M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc<br \/>\nMARBA\u015e Menkul De\u011ferler<br \/>\n<\/span><a href=\"mailto:uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;font-family: Calibri;font-size: small\">uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr<\/span><\/a> <span style=\"font-size: small\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\"><br \/>\nTelefon: (0212) 286 30 00<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yunanistan konusu her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn biraz daha trajikomik hal al\u0131yor. Haftasonunda ek \u00f6nlem paketini parlamentodan ge\u00e7iren Yunanistan\u2019da iki b\u00fcy\u00fck parti lideri AB\u2019ye pakete sad\u0131k kalacaklar\u0131na&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4711,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11668","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11668","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11668"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11668\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4711"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11668"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11668"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11668"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}