{"id":11549,"date":"2012-02-13T14:46:04","date_gmt":"2012-02-13T12:46:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=11549"},"modified":"2012-02-13T14:46:16","modified_gmt":"2012-02-13T12:46:16","slug":"zimni-devaluasyon-cok-az","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/zimni-devaluasyon-cok-az\/","title":{"rendered":"Z\u0131mni Deval\u00fcasyon \u00c7ok Az"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Son iki y\u0131ld\u0131r kamu a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 yoluyla Yunanistan ekonomisinin Euro B\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7inde istikrara kavu\u015fturulmas\u0131na \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. Bu kapsamda bir\u00e7ok harcama kalemlerinde kesintiye gidilirken, kamu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fccretleri de \u00e7e\u015fitli \u015fekillerde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. Vergi gelirlerinin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik olarak \u00e7e\u015fitli dolayl\u0131 vergi oranlar\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. Ama, bu \u00f6nlemler yeterli olmad\u0131. \u00d6nlemler hem tam olarak uygulanamad\u0131 hem de Yunanistan ekonomisi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclenin \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde darald\u0131.<br \/>\nKamu a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 10&#8217;un alt\u0131na indirilemedi. Halbuki, ilk hesaplara g\u00f6re, 2014 y\u0131l\u0131nda o oran y\u00fczde 3&#8217;e gelecekti. Art\u0131k o hedefe o tarihte ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 olanaks\u0131z. Ayn\u0131 zamanda bor\u00e7lar\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 150 d\u00fczeyinde istikrara kavu\u015fturulup 2014 y\u0131l\u0131ndan sonra tedricen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclecekti. \u015eimdi, bu oran y\u00fczde 160&#8217;\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131.<br \/>\nBa\u015flarda Yunanistan&#8217;\u0131n bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 kategorik olarak kabul g\u00f6rmemi\u015fti. Gelinen noktada, bor\u00e7 azalt\u0131lmas\u0131na gidilmeden bor\u00e7lar\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilecek uygulanabilir bir program\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 olanaks\u0131z hale geldi. \u00dc\u00e7 ayakl\u0131 yeni bir program g\u00fcndeme geldi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-197231116\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>\u00dc\u00c7 AYAKLI PROGRAM<\/strong><br \/>\nProgram\u0131n birinci aya\u011f\u0131 bor\u00e7lar\u0131n yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131. Avrupa Birli\u011fi \u00fclkeleri bankalar\u0131n kolunu b\u00fckerek Yunanistan&#8217;dan alacaklar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fcl\u00fck esas\u0131na g\u00f6re hem \u0131skonto ile hem de uzun vadeli bir bi\u00e7imde yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131rmalar\u0131na ikna etti. Bu \u015fekilde, Yunanistan dan alacaklar\u0131n\u0131 sigorta ettiren kurumlar\u0131n sigorta mekanizmas\u0131n\u0131 harekete ge\u00e7irmeleri \u00f6nlenmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. Yunanistan&#8217;\u0131n hukuken iflas etmesi \u00f6nlenmi\u015f oldu.<br \/>\nProgram\u0131n ikinci aya\u011f\u0131 kamu harcamalar\u0131nda daha derin bir tasarrufa gitmek ve kamu gelirlerini art\u0131rmaya y\u00f6nelik. Yeni vergi art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yan\u0131nda \u00f6zelle\u015ftirmeye h\u0131z verilmesi g\u00fcndemde.<br \/>\n\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ayak z\u0131mni bir deval\u00fcasyon. Euro kullanmas\u0131 dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, Yunanistan ile di\u011fer Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda sabit kur sistemi s\u00f6z konusu. Yunanistan&#8217;\u0131n, kur yoluyla ekonomisini di\u011fer Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomilerine g\u00f6re daha rekabet\u00e7i yapabilme \u015fans\u0131 yok. Euro&#8217;nun d\u00fcnyan\u0131n di\u011fer \u00fclke paralar\u0131na g\u00f6re de\u011feri de Yunanistan&#8217;\u0131n ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131ndan kaynaklanan dinamiklere ba\u011fl\u0131 de\u011fil. Dolayl\u0131 yoldan, Yunanistan&#8217;da \u00fccretlerin nominal olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi yoluyla z\u0131mni bir deval\u00fcasyon yap\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Asgari \u00fccretin y\u00fczde 25 dolaylar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi hedefleniyor. K\u0131sacas\u0131, dalgal\u0131 kur sisteminde piyasa mekanizmas\u0131 i\u00e7inde olmas\u0131 gereken deval\u00fcasyon idari kararlarla olacak.<\/p>\n<p><strong>BUNDAN SONRA NE OLUR?<\/strong><br \/>\nYunanistan \u0131n i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu duruma bak\u0131l\u0131rsa, hedeflenen z\u0131mni deval\u00fcasyon hem \u00e7ok az hem de bu d\u00fczeyde bir deval\u00fcasyonun olup olmayaca\u011f\u0131 \u015f\u00fcpheli. Bug\u00fcn \u00f6zel kesimde asgari \u00fccretle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n asgari \u00fccret d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde ayn\u0131 \u00fccretle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcnde yasal bir engel yok. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, baz\u0131 i\u015fyerleri \u00fccreti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilirler, ama baz\u0131lar\u0131 eski \u00fccreti uygulamaya devam edebilirler. \u0130dari kararla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclen asgari \u00fccret, azami \u00fccret de\u011fil.<br \/>\nDeval\u00fcasyonun yetersizli\u011fi konusunda dalgal\u0131 kur sistemi i\u00e7inde T\u00fcrkiye deneyimi \u00f6rnek verilebilir. 2001 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fanan krizde, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 sepet bazda 2001 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda ocak ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 53 de\u011fer yitirmi\u015fti. 2003 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131na gelindi\u011finde T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131&#8217;ndaki de\u011fer d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc y\u00fczde 62&#8217;ye ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bir ba\u015fka ifadeyle, kurlar 2001 y\u0131l\u0131 ocak ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 166 artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Daha sonralar\u0131 kurlar geri gelmi\u015fti. Yani, ilk iki y\u0131l kurlarda a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 bir de\u011fer kayb\u0131 (over-shooting) s\u00f6z konusuydu.<br \/>\nYunanistan ekonomisinin bug\u00fcnk\u00fc sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n o d\u00f6nemdeki T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin sorunlar\u0131ndan daha a\u011f\u0131r oldu\u011fu hesaba kat\u0131l\u0131rsa, idari kararla yap\u0131lan deval\u00fcasyonun yetersizli\u011fi daha iyi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131r. Sonu\u00e7ta, Yunanistan ekonomisi daha \u00e7ok konu\u015fulacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bundan sonraki a\u015fama Yunanistan&#8217;\u0131n Euro&#8217;dan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p deval\u00fcasyonun piyasa taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lmas\u0131na izin verilmesi olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Son iki y\u0131ld\u0131r kamu a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 yoluyla Yunanistan ekonomisinin Euro B\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7inde istikrara kavu\u015fturulmas\u0131na \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. Bu kapsamda bir\u00e7ok harcama kalemlerinde kesintiye gidilirken, kamu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fccretleri&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":675,"featured_media":9441,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11549","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11549","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/675"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11549"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11549\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9441"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11549"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11549"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11549"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}