{"id":11435,"date":"2012-02-09T08:57:04","date_gmt":"2012-02-09T06:57:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=11435"},"modified":"2012-02-09T08:57:22","modified_gmt":"2012-02-09T06:57:22","slug":"2011de-sanayi-uretimi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/2011de-sanayi-uretimi\/","title":{"rendered":"2011\u2019de Sanayi \u00dcretimi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131nlanan \u201cBig Mac\u201d kuru hesaplar\u0131nda kullan\u0131lan T\u00fcrkiye fiyatlar\u0131 do\u011fru mu? Tedbirli davran\u0131p \u201cThe Economist\u2019in yalanc\u0131s\u0131y\u0131m\u201d demi\u015ftim. Ekodiyalog orta\u011f\u0131m sevgili Mahfi E\u011filmez \u00f6yle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2803782638\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Economist\u2019teki T\u00fcrkiye bilgisi o tarih itibar\u0131yla yanl\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ben bunu hesaplaman\u0131n yay\u0131nlanmas\u0131ndan 2 g\u00fcn sonra televizyonda s\u00f6yledim. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ayn\u0131 tarihte \u201cBig Mac\u201d fiyat\u0131 7.75 TL idi; bug\u00fcn 7.90 TL. \u0130nternetten kontrol edebilirsin.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Gebze\u2019den Ba\u015fer \u00d6zkan da bir yemek sitesinden 7.90 TL bulmu\u015f. Dikkatli okuyucum Faruk Yurdatap ise \u201ceski bir Big Mac\u2019\u00e7i olarak \u015funu s\u00f6yleyeyim: T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki Big Mac ABD\u2019ye g\u00f6re et gramaj\u0131 olarak daha hafif\u201d diyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan Ata Portf\u00f6y y\u00f6netiminden Mehmet Gerz Institutional Investor\u2019da Big Mac kurlar\u0131n\u0131n ciddiye al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkatimi \u00e7ekti. Yani rivayetler muhtelif&#8230; Yerinde fiyat kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc daha yapamad\u0131m. Eminim gidince dayanamaz b\u00fcy\u00fck patatesli men\u00fc yerim.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201cYumu\u015fak ini\u015f\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Aral\u0131k sanayi \u00fcretimi verileri T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nland\u0131. B\u00f6ylece hem d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek hem y\u0131l\u0131n t\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve konjonkt\u00fcr a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergeyi \u00f6\u011frendik.<\/p>\n<p>Aral\u0131kta piyasalar toplam sanayi \u00fcretiminde ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 2.5 art\u0131\u015f bekliyordu. Fiili say\u0131lar daha y\u00fcksek \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Toplam sanayi \u00fcretimi y\u00fczde 3.7, imalat sanayii \u00fcretimi y\u00fczde 2.7 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fe bakal\u0131m. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla toplam sanayi \u00fcretiminde y\u00fczde 6.4, imalat sanayiinde y\u00fczde 5.8 art\u0131\u015f var. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte, ayn\u0131 s\u0131ra ile, y\u00fczde 7,6 ve y\u00fczde 8,4 artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bir: Sanayi yava\u015fl\u0131yor. \u0130ki: \u0130malat sanayiinde yava\u015flama daha belirgin.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1418916309\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>2011 y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalamalar\u0131 ile devam edelim. 2010 k\u0131yasla toplam sanayi \u00fcretimi y\u00fczde 8.9, imalat sanayii y\u00fczde 9.2 artt\u0131. 2010\u2019da art\u0131\u015f, ayn\u0131 s\u0131ra ile, y\u00fczde 13,1 ve y\u00fczde 14.4 olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>Son olarak takvim ve mevsim etkisi temizlenmi\u015f verileri g\u00f6relim. Aral\u0131kta bir \u00f6nceki aya k\u0131yasla toplam sanayi \u00fcretimi y\u00fczde 2.7, imalat sanayii \u00fcretimi y\u00fczde 2.6 artt\u0131. Son \u00e7eyrekte art\u0131\u015f ise, ayn\u0131 s\u0131ra ile y\u00fczde 3.6 ve y\u00fczde 3 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Laf\u0131 uzatmayal\u0131m. Bu veriler \u201cyumu\u015fak ini\u015f\u201d ihtimalini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>B\u00fcy\u00fcme ne olur?<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3682752529\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Sanayi \u00fcretimi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 aras\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ili\u015fki vard\u0131r. Krizde sanayi \u00fcretimi milli gelire k\u0131yasla daha sert d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile toparlanma d\u00f6neminde daha h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. 2011\u2019in ikinci ve \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyreklerinde ili\u015fki dengelendi.<\/p>\n<p>Grafikte \u00e7ubuklar \u00e7eyrek baz\u0131nda sanayi \u00fcretimi art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131, \u00e7izgi b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. 2010\u2019un ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finden bu yana sanayi \u00fcretimi ve milli gelirde art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n birbirine \u00e7ok yak\u0131n seyretti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Son \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi y\u00fczde 6 alal\u0131m. Bu, sanayi \u00fcretimi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in muhafazak\u00e2r bir tahmindir. Bu durumda 2011\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 y\u00fczde 8.6\u2019ya t\u0131rman\u0131yor. Daha y\u00fcksek \u00e7\u0131karsa \u015fa\u015f\u0131rmay\u0131n.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131nlanan \u201cBig Mac\u201d kuru hesaplar\u0131nda kullan\u0131lan T\u00fcrkiye fiyatlar\u0131 do\u011fru mu? Tedbirli davran\u0131p \u201cThe Economist\u2019in yalanc\u0131s\u0131y\u0131m\u201d demi\u015ftim. Ekodiyalog orta\u011f\u0131m sevgili Mahfi E\u011filmez \u00f6yle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11435","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11435","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11435"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11435\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11435"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11435"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11435"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}