{"id":11132,"date":"2012-02-02T09:06:28","date_gmt":"2012-02-02T07:06:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=11132"},"modified":"2012-02-02T09:06:40","modified_gmt":"2012-02-02T07:06:40","slug":"cari-acik-herhalde-kapanmaz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cari-acik-herhalde-kapanmaz\/","title":{"rendered":"Cari A\u00e7\u0131k Herhalde Kapanmaz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130zninizle \u00f6nce k\u0131sa bir a\u00e7\u0131klama yapay\u0131m; sonra konuya gireriz.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3150551058\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bir \u00fclkenin, yabanc\u0131 \u00fclkelerle yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ticari ve mali i\u015flemler \u201c\u00d6demeler Dengesi\u201d denilen bir tabloda toplan\u0131r. Bu tablo, iki k\u0131s\u0131mdan olu\u015fur. Birinci b\u00f6l\u00fcme \u201cCari \u0130\u015flemler Hesab\u0131\u201d denir. Bu b\u00f6l\u00fcmde ithalat, ihracat, turizm, ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k gibi i\u015flerden elde edilen gelir ve giderler yer al\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca, yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan yurt i\u00e7ine veya yurt i\u00e7inden yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131na yap\u0131lan k\u00e2r, kira, faiz ve \u00fccret havaleleri de bu b\u00f6l\u00fcme girer. Bu b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn net bakiyesi art\u0131 ise \u201cCari \u0130\u015flem Fazlas\u0131\u201d e\u011fer eksi ise \u201cCari \u0130\u015flem A\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d ad\u0131n\u0131 al\u0131r. D\u00fcnya \u00fclkelerinin cari i\u015flem fazlas\u0131 ile cari i\u015flem a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n cebirsel toplam\u0131 mant\u0131ken s\u0131f\u0131rd\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc fazla veren olmazsa, a\u00e7\u0131k veren de olmaz. Bu aynen bir futbol ma\u00e7\u0131nda \u201cat\u0131lan gollerin say\u0131s\u0131, yenilen gollerin say\u0131s\u0131na e\u015fittir\u201d demeye benzer. Bir tak\u0131m gol atm\u0131\u015fa, di\u011fer tak\u0131m da gol yemi\u015ftir. Tablonun ikinci b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne \u201cSermaye ve Finans Hesaplar\u0131\u201d ad\u0131 verilir. Tablonun haz\u0131rlan\u0131\u015f mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 icab\u0131, hata ve noksanlar m\u00fcstesna, her \u00fclkenin cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 veya fazlas\u0131yla, sermaye hareketlerin net bakiyesi, mutlak de\u011fer olarak birbirine e\u015fittir.<\/p>\n<p><strong>YABANCILARA M\u00dcLK SATI\u015eI CAR\u0130 \u0130\u015eLEM GEL\u0130R\u0130 YARATMAZ<br \/>\n<\/strong>Bunlar\u0131 bilmeyen mi var diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015f olabilirsiniz. Ama galiba var. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc baz\u0131 bakanlar\u0131m\u0131z \u201cyabanc\u0131lara gayrimenkul m\u00fclk satarak, cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 kapataca\u011f\u0131z\u201d diyor. M\u00fclk sat\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan veya \u00f6zelle\u015ftirmelerden gelen yabanc\u0131 paralar \u201ccari i\u015flemler\u201d hesab\u0131na girmez. Bunlar \u201cSermaye ve Finans Hesaplar\u0131\u201d b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne girer. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc m\u00fclk sat\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, tapu ile para el de\u011fi\u015ftirir. Bu de\u011fi\u015fimin gelecekte tersine d\u00f6nmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. H\u00e2lbuki bir Alman turistin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de harcad\u0131\u011f\u0131 para, kendisine bir daha geri d\u00f6nemez. Tatil k\u00f6y\u00fcnde kal\u0131nm\u0131\u015f, bal\u0131klar yenmi\u015f ve biralar i\u00e7ilmi\u015ftir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu para \u201ccari y\u0131l\u0131\u201d ilgilendiren ve paray\u0131 sarf eden i\u00e7in servet yaratmayan bir harcamad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>SERMAYE G\u0130R\u0130\u015eLER\u0130 T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASI\u2019NI DE\u011eERLEND\u0130R\u0130R<br \/>\n<\/strong>Yabanc\u0131lara m\u00fclk, hisse senedi veya tahvil sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, b\u0131rak\u0131n cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kapamay\u0131, dolayl\u0131 etkisiyle cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 artt\u0131r\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan ne kadar \u201cs\u0131cak\/so\u011fuk\u201d d\u00f6viz girerse, TL o kadar de\u011ferlenir. TL ne kadar de\u011ferlenirse, ithal mallar\u0131 TL cinsinden ucuzlar ve cari a\u00e7\u0131k da o kadar artar. 2003 ile 2011 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin cari i\u015flem a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 toplam\u0131 300 milyar dolard\u0131r. \u00dcstelik d\u00f6viz rezervlerinde art\u0131\u015f da vard\u0131r. Demek ki, son 9 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde \u00fclkemize al\u0131n teri d\u00f6kmeden, \u201cgelecekti kamu gelirlerini pe\u015fin fiyat\u0131na k\u0131rd\u0131rarak\u201d, \u201cbabadan dededen kalan baz\u0131 m\u00fclkleri satarak\u201d ve \u201c\u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r eliyle d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan bor\u00e7lanarak\u201d 300 milyar dolardan fazla para sokmu\u015fuz. Bu sayede ekonomimiz b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, enflasyon d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, kamu a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 daralm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu \u201ctatl\u0131 ekonomiyi\u201d devam ettirmek varken ni\u00e7in tekere \u00e7omak sokal\u0131m? T\u0131ng\u0131r-m\u0131ng\u0131r de\u011fil, t\u0131k\u0131r-t\u0131k\u0131r i\u015fleyen saadet zincirini kopart\u0131p, halk\u0131n refah\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmenin \u00e2lemi var m\u0131? Ba\u015fta bankac\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z ve b\u00fcy\u00fck i\u015f adamlar\u0131m\u0131z olmak \u00fczere, hepimiz b\u00f6yle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyor muyuz? Daha da \u00f6nemlisi devlet b\u00fcy\u00fcklerimiz de b\u00f6yle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyor mu? T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye son ay i\u00e7inde tekrar s\u0131cak para girince, bunu bir m\u00fcjde olarak halka anlatm\u0131yorlar m\u0131? \u00d6yleyse ba\u015fta ben olmak \u00fczere kimse, cari a\u00e7\u0131k kapanacak diye heveslenmesin. Belki k\u00fcresel daralma etkisiyle bir-iki puan d\u00fc\u015fer o kadar. \u0130\u015fadamlar\u0131n\u0131 uyar\u0131yorum: Sak\u0131n cari a\u00e7\u0131k kapanacak, demek ki; ihracat, ithalattan daha k\u00e2rl\u0131 olacak diye yanl\u0131\u015f ad\u0131m atmas\u0131nlar.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Son S\u00f6z: Kriz, \u00e7\u0131kmadan \u00f6nlenemez.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130zninizle \u00f6nce k\u0131sa bir a\u00e7\u0131klama yapay\u0131m; sonra konuya gireriz. Bir \u00fclkenin, yabanc\u0131 \u00fclkelerle yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ticari ve mali i\u015flemler \u201c\u00d6demeler Dengesi\u201d denilen bir tabloda toplan\u0131r. Bu&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":936,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11132","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11132","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11132"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11132\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/936"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11132"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11132"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11132"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}