{"id":11117,"date":"2012-02-01T16:37:25","date_gmt":"2012-02-01T14:37:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=11117"},"modified":"2012-02-01T16:37:25","modified_gmt":"2012-02-01T14:37:25","slug":"cari-acik-ve-tasarruf-uyarisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cari-acik-ve-tasarruf-uyarisi\/","title":{"rendered":"Cari A\u00e7\u0131k ve Tasarruf Uyar\u0131s\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 Avrupa ve Orta Asya Ba\u015fekonomisti Indermit Gill, &#8221;Yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan gelen para, yurt i\u00e7indeki tasarrufun yerini almaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015fsa, bu sizin ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 derde sokabilir. Bu para tasarrufun yerine ge\u00e7meyip yat\u0131r\u0131ma d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyorsa, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yolunu a\u00e7acakt\u0131r, endi\u015felenmeye gerek yoktur&#8221; dedi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3778146602\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Martin Raiser de, &#8221;Cari a\u00e7\u0131k artan t\u00fcketimden kaynaklan\u0131r ve tasarruflarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ba\u015flarsa, endi\u015felenmeniz gerekiyor. Bence T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki durum tamamen bundan kaynaklanm\u0131yor&#8221; de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n<p>Indermit Gill ile Martin Raiser, Hilton Oteli&#8217;nde, &#8221;B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin Alt\u0131n Kural\u0131: Avrupa Ekonomik Modeli&#8217;ne G\u00f6rkeminin Yeniden Kazand\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131&#8221; ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 raporun sunumunun ard\u0131ndan, davetlilerin sorular\u0131n\u0131 cevaplad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Raiser, \u00fclkelerin k\u00fclt\u00fcrleri ve kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6neme de\u011findi. Avrupa&#8217;daki b\u00fcy\u00fck devletlerin b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in yeterli ortam yaratmad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 anlatan Raiser, \u0130sve\u00e7 gibi bir \u00fclke ile Yunanistan gibi bir \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki temel fark\u0131n, devlet harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n verimli kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayan kurumlar oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Raiser, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmede iyi y\u00f6neti\u015fimin, devlet mekanizmas\u0131 ile i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l organize edildi\u011finin de \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu dile getirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda, cari a\u00e7\u0131kla ilgili risklere yer verildi\u011fini hat\u0131rlatan Raiser, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n<p>&#8221;D\u0131\u015f dengelerdeki de\u011fi\u015fiklikler i\u00e7 yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ve i\u00e7erideki tasarruf miktar\u0131n\u0131 da etkiliyor. Cari a\u00e7\u0131k, bir \u00fclkenin daha fazla yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmas\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yorsa, verimlilik art\u0131\u015f\u0131na da yol a\u00e7ar. Bu demektir ki, cari hesap, b\u00f6yle bir durumda rekabet edebilirli\u011fi azaltm\u0131yor. Ama di\u011fer taraftan, Yunanistan ve Portekiz gibi \u00fclkelerde cari a\u00e7\u0131k, ulusal tasarruf miktarlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kaynaklan\u0131yor. \u00d6zel sekt\u00f6r ve devletin tasarruf yap\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f oluyor.<\/p>\n<p>Sermaye ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 bir anlamda t\u00fcketimdeki ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemeyecek b\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki dengesizlikleri gidermek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. \u0130\u015fte o zaman tehlike yarat\u0131yor. Cari a\u00e7\u0131k, artan t\u00fcketimden kaynaklan\u0131r ve tasarruflarda da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ba\u015flarsa, endi\u015felenmeniz gerekiyor. Bence T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki durum tamamen bundan kaynaklanm\u0131yor. Ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m bilgiler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u015funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyorum. T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de tasarruf miktar\u0131 \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Esas\u0131nda cari a\u00e7\u0131k, temelde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tasarruf miktar\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor, y\u00fcksek yat\u0131r\u0131m miktar\u0131ndan de\u011fil. Bu bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131yla yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin de\u011ferlendirmeye almas\u0131 gereken bir konu.&#8221;<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2704849953\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>-&#8221;T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki tasarruflara ili\u015fkin rapor yay\u0131nlanacak&#8221;-<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Indermit Gill de, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki yurt i\u00e7i tasarruflar\u0131n rol\u00fcne ve bu tasarruflar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerindeki etkisine dair bir raporu yak\u0131nda yay\u0131nlayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Bu raporun, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de son 10 y\u0131lda tasarruflar\u0131n neden d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dair bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlatan Gill, &#8221;Ayn\u0131 zamanda yat\u0131r\u0131mlarla tasarruflar aras\u0131ndaki ba\u011flant\u0131y\u0131 da kuracak. Yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan gelen para yurt i\u00e7indeki tasarrufun yerini almaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015fsa, bu sizin ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 derde sokabilir. Ama yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan gelen para tasarrufun yerine ge\u00e7meyip yat\u0131r\u0131ma d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyorsa, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yolunu a\u00e7acakt\u0131r, endi\u015felenmeye gerek yoktur. Pek \u00e7ok Do\u011fu ve Orta Avrupa \u00fclkesinde bu sermaye ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye \u00e7ok yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. Baz\u0131 G\u00fcney Avrupa \u00fclkelerinde ise bu para t\u00fcketime gitti\u011fi i\u00e7in olumsuz etki yapt\u0131&#8221; diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n Avrupa ve Orta Asya (ECA) B\u00f6lgesi Ba\u015fekonomisti Indermit Gill, &#8221;T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin son 10 y\u0131ldaki Avrupa ile entegrasyonunun zengin ekonomik potansiyelini ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131&#8221; s\u00f6yledi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2821202160\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Gill, D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131&#8217;nca haz\u0131rlanan &#8221;B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin Alt\u0131n Kural\u0131: Avrupa Ekonomik Modeli&#8217;ne G\u00f6rkeminin Yeniden Kazand\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131&#8221; ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 raporu Ankaral\u0131 ekonomi \u00e7evreleriyle payla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Raporun i\u00e7eri\u011fi hakk\u0131nda bilgi vererek de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulunan Gill, Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n son 50 senede kaydedilen ilerlemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in birbirini takip eden \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6revi yerine getirmesi gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Gill, bu g\u00f6revlerin, yak\u0131nsama makinesini yeniden \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmak, k\u00fcresel Avrupa markas\u0131n\u0131 yeniden olu\u015fturmak ve ya\u015fam tarz\u0131n\u0131 eri\u015filebilir k\u0131lmak i\u00e7in \u00f6zel ya\u015fam ve \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma hayat\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki dengeleri yeniden tesis etmek oldu\u011funu kaydetti.<\/p>\n<p>Avrupa ekonomilerinin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en a\u00e7\u0131k ekonomileri oldu\u011funu anlatan Gill, 2008-2009 d\u00f6nemine damgas\u0131n\u0131 vuran k\u00fcresel krizden \u00f6nce, d\u00fcnyada yakla\u015f\u0131k 15 trilyon dolar seviyesinde bulunan uluslararas\u0131 mal ve hizmet ticaretinin yar\u0131s\u0131ndan Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n sorumlu oldu\u011funu dile getirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Benzer bir canl\u0131l\u0131k ve hareketlili\u011fin finansal ak\u0131mlar i\u00e7in de ge\u00e7erli oldu\u011funu anlatan Gill, &#8221;Sa\u011flam ve giderek de b\u00fcy\u00fcmekte olan finansal ili\u015fki ve ba\u011flant\u0131lar, tek pazar\u0131n da deste\u011fiyle s\u00f6z konusu Avrupa yak\u0131nsama makinesinin \u00e7ekirde\u011fini olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>-&#8221;T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin potansiyeli ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131&#8221;-\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Avrupa ekonomi modelinde, modelin bile\u015fenlerinin kendi i\u00e7inde farkl\u0131l\u0131k arz edebildi\u011fini kaydeden Gill, ticaret ve finans bile\u015fenlerinin modelin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc taraf\u0131 oldu\u011funu, giri\u015fimcilik ve inovasyonun ise Avrupa genelinde \u00e7ok iyi durumda olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Birli\u011fin yeni \u00fcyesi olan \u00fclkelerin son yirmi sene i\u00e7erisinde kendilerine sunulan f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 iyi de\u011ferlendirmek, \u00e7a\u011fda\u015f i\u015f hizmetleri ve mal ticareti yoluyla bat\u0131yla b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fmek konular\u0131nda \u00f6zellikle ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olduklar\u0131n\u0131 anlatan Gill, son on y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde de G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Avrupa&#8217;dan Avrupa Birli\u011fi \u00fcyeli\u011fine aday olan \u00fclkelerin mal ticareti ile seyahat ve ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k gibi daha geleneksel hizmetlerin ticareti yoluyla bu trendi devam ettirmekte olduklar\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Sunumunda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;ye ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelere de yer veren Gill, &#8221;T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin son 10 y\u0131lda Avrupa ile entegrasyonu T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin zengin ekonomik potansiyelini ortaya \u00e7\u0131karm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Asya&#8217;n\u0131n son y\u0131llardaki geli\u015fimiyle d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ticaret merkezi haline geldi\u011fini dile getiren Gill, &#8221;Modern hizmetlerde Asya ileriye gidiyor. AB i\u00e7erisinde de buna ihtiya\u00e7 var&#8221; ifadesini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><strong>-&#8221;T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin mali entegrasyonu \u00fcst d\u00fczeyde&#8221;-<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Avrupa i\u00e7indeki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ekonomilerin Bat\u0131 Avrupa ekonomilerine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmas\u0131na do\u011fru bulmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da kaydeden Gill, T\u00fcrkiye, Polonya \u00c7ek Cumhuriyeti gibi \u00fclkelerin AB ile olan ticaretinin son d\u00f6nemde gerilemesine kar\u015f\u0131n, s\u00f6z konusu \u00fclkelerin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dikkati \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<p>Son y\u0131llarda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin ihracat\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemlere g\u00f6re geli\u015fti\u011fini anlatan Gill, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyaya olan ihracat\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de mali yap\u0131 konusunda ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler hakk\u0131nda da konu\u015fan Gill, &#8221;T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin mali entegrasyonu \u00fcst d\u00fczeyde, ama reel entegrasyonu o d\u00fczeyde de\u011fil&#8221; yorumunu yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcney Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin AB&#8217;nin di\u011fer \u00fclkelerine k\u0131yasla i\u015f yapman\u0131n en zor oldu\u011fu \u00fclkeler oldu\u011funu da kaydeden Gill, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin de verimlilik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan G\u00fcney Avrupa&#8217;ya benzedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>AA<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 Avrupa ve Orta Asya Ba\u015fekonomisti Indermit Gill, &#8221;Yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan gelen para, yurt i\u00e7indeki tasarrufun yerini almaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015fsa, bu sizin ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 derde sokabilir. Bu&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10544,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11117","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11117","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11117"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11117\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10544"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11117"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11117"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11117"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}