{"id":11114,"date":"2012-02-01T14:25:56","date_gmt":"2012-02-01T12:25:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=11114"},"modified":"2012-02-01T14:26:07","modified_gmt":"2012-02-01T12:26:07","slug":"buyume-duserken-dis-aciklardaki-artis-azaliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/buyume-duserken-dis-aciklardaki-artis-azaliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u00fcy\u00fcme D\u00fc\u015ferken D\u0131\u015f A\u00e7\u0131klardaki Art\u0131\u015f Azal\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm\u00fcnde ithalat ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacminde t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n rekoru k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. Toplam ihracat 135 milyar dolar olurken, toplam ithalat 241 milyar dolara dayand\u0131. D\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmi 375 milyar dolar oldu. Bundan \u00f6nceki y\u0131ll\u0131k bazdaki rekorlar ihracatta 136 milyar dolarla, ithalatta 212 milyar dolarla, d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacminde de 348 milyar dolarla 2008 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda k\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u0130hracatta rekora ula\u015famad\u0131k. Ama, ithalatta bir \u00f6nceki rekorun yakla\u015f\u0131k 30 milyar dolar \u00fczerindeyiz.<br \/>\nD\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki bundan \u00f6nceki rekor 76 milyar dolarla 2008 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti. 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm\u00fcnde d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 1 06 milyar dolara dayand\u0131. 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret performans\u0131 ile 2008 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131ndaki y\u0131ll\u0131k performans aras\u0131ndaki tek fark ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ithalat\u0131n patlam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1734115939\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>YATIRIM VE T\u00dcKET\u0130M MALLARI \u0130THALATI D\u00dc\u015e\u00dcYOR<\/strong><br \/>\n2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk dokuz ay\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ithalattaki art\u0131\u015f son \u00fc\u00e7 ayda h\u0131z kesti. Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin son \u00fc\u00e7 ayda h\u0131z kesmesiyle beraber ilk dokuz ayda, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 39 artan toplam ithalat y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda ayn\u0131 bazda y\u00fczde 7.6 artt\u0131. Buna paralel olarak da, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ilk dokuz ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 68 artan d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3.7 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130thalat talebindeki art\u0131\u015ftaki yava\u015flama t\u00fcm alt kalemlerden geldi\u011fi halde, yat\u0131r\u0131m ve t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131 ithalat\u0131ndaki talebin gerilemesi dikkat \u00e7ekici. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk dokuz ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 48 artan yat\u0131r\u0131m mallar\u0131 ithalat\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5.6 geriledi. Ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde, ilk dokuz ayda y\u00fczde 32 artan t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131 ithalat\u0131 son \u00fc\u00e7 ayda y\u00fczde 6.1 azald\u0131. Ara mallar\u0131 ithalat\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ilk dokuz ayda y\u00fczde 38 olmu\u015ftu. Son \u00fc\u00e7 ayda bu art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 14&#8217;e geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>Grafikte son iki y\u0131ldaki on iki ayl\u0131k toplam ithalat\u0131n ve alt kalemlerinin ayl\u0131k olarak bir \u00f6nceki on iki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde de\u011fi\u015fmeleri veriliyor. Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ithalat\u0131n t\u00fcm kalemlerindeki art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n son \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda geldi\u011fi en \u00fcst d\u00fczeyden yakla\u015f\u0131k 1\/3 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fckleri a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 201 0 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n son \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131ndan 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131nda da ithalat\u0131n alt kalemlerindeki art\u0131\u015fta dikkati \u00e7eken bir kabarma s\u00f6z konusu.<\/p>\n<p><strong>B\u00dcY\u00dcME VE DI\u015e A\u00c7IKLAR<\/strong><br \/>\nEkonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve ithalat talebi aras\u0131ndaki tarihsel istatistiksel ili\u015fki asl\u0131nda 2010 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n son \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131 ile 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ithalat\u0131n ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle a\u00e7\u0131klanamayan bir y\u00fckseli\u015f i\u00e7ine girdi\u011fi izlenimi veriyor. Daha a\u00e7\u0131k bir ifadeyle, s\u00f6z konusu dokuz ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde ithalat talebi \u00f6ne \u00e7ekilmi\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Tarihsel verilerle d\u00fczeltildi\u011finde, ithalat\u0131n daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olabilece\u011fi, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ithalat talebinde bir \u00f6ne \u00e7ekilme olmasayd\u0131, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n da daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olabilece\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<br \/>\nGer\u00e7ekten 2010 y\u0131l\u0131 son \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131 ile ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131 aras\u0131nda ithalat talebinin \u00f6ne \u00e7ekilmi\u015f olmas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu ise, bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 34 d\u00fczeyinde bir ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme olsa dahi, d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re milli gelire oran\u0131 olarak daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 var. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck riski olarak g\u00f6sterilen d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n azal\u0131yor g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc vermesi bu a\u00e7\u0131dan sevindirici. Ama, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin daha y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131 durumunda, bu y\u0131lki d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131klar da, milli gelire oran\u0131 olarak ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki d\u00fczeylerinde kalabilir, hatta ge\u00e7ebilir.<br \/>\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde baz etkisiyle d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131klarda bir gerileme g\u00f6zlenirken, bu kez de bu y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme oldu\u011fu takdirde, baz etkisiyle d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131klarda bir y\u00fckselme g\u00f6r\u00fclme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 var.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm\u00fcnde ithalat ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacminde t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n rekoru k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. Toplam ihracat 135 milyar dolar olurken, toplam ithalat 241 milyar dolara dayand\u0131. D\u0131\u015f&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":675,"featured_media":9441,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11114","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11114","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/675"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11114"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11114\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9441"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11114"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11114"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11114"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}