{"id":10886,"date":"2012-01-26T09:57:51","date_gmt":"2012-01-26T07:57:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=10886"},"modified":"2012-01-26T09:58:04","modified_gmt":"2012-01-26T07:58:04","slug":"imfden-freddienin-kabuslari","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/imfden-freddienin-kabuslari\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF\u2019den Freddie\u2019nin Kabuslar\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cAB bu sene hafif bir resesyon ya\u015fayacak, ama AB liderleri kredi darbo\u011faz\u0131 ve y\u00fckselen D\u0130BS getirilerini bast\u0131rmak i\u00e7in etkin tedbir almazsa, resesyon \u00e7ok daha k\u00f6t\u00fc olabilir. IMF\u2019ye g\u00f6re bu k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryoda Euro-b\u00f6lgesi \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131s\u0131 2 sene boyunca senede %4 daralabilir.\u00a0 Bu durumda her sene d\u00fcnya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131s\u0131ndan %2 tra\u015flan\u0131r.\u201d<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1263864120\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>E\u011fer AB acilen Yang\u0131n Duvarlar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (EFSF\/ESM) miktar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmak, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye y\u00f6nelik politikalar geli\u015ftirmek ve Euro-b\u00f6lgesinin entegrasyonunu h\u0131zland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in \u00f6nlemler almazsa, global ekonomiyi B\u00fcy\u00fck Buhran benzeri bir talep \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc bekliyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBerlin\u2019de Alman D\u0131\u015f \u0130li\u015fkiler Konseyin\u2019de bir konu\u015fma yapan LaGarde \u201cB\u00fct\u00fcn mesele ikinci bir 1930 d\u00f6nemini engellemek, o zaman kat\u0131 ideoloji, d\u0131\u015fa kapanmak ve \u00f6nlem almakta gecikmek global talebi \u00e7\u00f6kertmi\u015fti\u201d dedi. \u201cBu \u00f6yle bir d\u00f6nemdi ki, t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyay\u0131 yutan bir fasit daire haline geldi.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Bunlar\u0131 s\u00f6yleyen F\u00d6\u015e\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcz m\u00fc?\u00a0 Hay\u0131r, hay\u0131r, birincisi IMF Ba\u015fekonomisti, Olivier Blanchard, ikincisi ise Ba\u015fkan Lagarde. Bu sert uyar\u0131lar \u201cm\u00f6te gittik, kafan\u0131z\u0131 bacaklar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131n aras\u0131na sokun ve kendinize ve \u201celveda \u00f6p\u00fcc\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kondurun\u201d mealinde \u00f6zetleyebilece\u011fim D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 2012 \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri ard\u0131ndan geliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bunlar\u0131 yazanlar\u0131n Frans\u0131z olmas\u0131 her s\u00f6ylediklerini yalan oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelmiyor tabii ki.\u00a0 Ulus\u00fcst\u00fc kurumlar aras\u0131nda pani\u011fe varan bir tela\u015f var.\u00a0 Zaten, IMF bu kadar tela\u015fl\u0131 olmasa G-20 Zirvesin\u2019de 500 milyar ek kaynak istemezdi. Ne yapacak paray\u0131? Bir k\u0131sm\u0131 AB\u2019ye gidecek, ama \u00e7o\u011fu \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 2 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde stand-by yapacak \u00fclkelere mali destek sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>IMF ve D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 rapolar\u0131ndaki nokta tahminleri bir kenara koyal\u0131m. Onlar hi\u00e7 tutmaz zaten, ama \u015fu saptamalar \u00f6nemli:<\/p>\n<p>-D\u00fcnya ekonomisi hala \u00e7ok k\u0131r\u0131lgan. 2008\u2019den bu yana bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc \u00a0belini do\u011frultam\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>-Bunun birinci nedeni AB krizi.\u00a0 AB liderleri deveku\u015funu oynamaya devam ederse, son zirve G\u00f6tingen\u2019de yap\u0131lacak.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1423871669\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>-ABD\u2019de Kongre\u2019nin kilitlenmi\u015f olmas\u0131 da sorunlar\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>-\u015eu Tanr\u0131\u2019n\u0131n cezas\u0131 kemer s\u0131kma tak\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7in art\u0131k, y\u00fcr\u00fcm\u00fcyor i\u015fte. B\u00fcy\u00fcmeye odaklan\u0131n.<\/p>\n<p>-Bankalar\u0131n kald\u0131ra\u00e7 azaltmas\u0131 hayal de\u011fil, herif\u00e7io\u011fullar\u0131 kredi vermiyor.<\/p>\n<p>-T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu Orta ve Do\u011fu Avrupa b\u00f6lgesi de krizin ana yolu \u00fcst\u00fcnde. Mecburen etkilenecek.\u00a0 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcme %1-3 olur.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1999450171\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ekonomihaberyorum.com\/imf%E2%80%99den-freddie%E2%80%99nin-kabuslari\/\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cAB bu sene hafif bir resesyon ya\u015fayacak, ama AB liderleri kredi darbo\u011faz\u0131 ve y\u00fckselen D\u0130BS getirilerini bast\u0131rmak i\u00e7in etkin tedbir almazsa, resesyon \u00e7ok daha k\u00f6t\u00fc&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":927,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10886","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10886","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10886"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10886\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/927"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10886"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10886"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10886"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}