{"id":10403,"date":"2012-01-14T19:12:41","date_gmt":"2012-01-14T17:12:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=10403"},"modified":"2012-01-16T09:13:03","modified_gmt":"2012-01-16T07:13:03","slug":"ipsosdan-dev-arastirma-turkiye-2012-icin-ne-dusunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/ipsosdan-dev-arastirma-turkiye-2012-icin-ne-dusunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130psos\u2019dan Dev Ara\u015ft\u0131rma: T\u00fcrkiye 2012 \u0130\u00e7in Ne D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ipsos KMG Sosyal Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc taraf\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen T\u00fcrkiye 2012 Beklentiler \u2013 Be\u011feniler Ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131\u2019na g\u00f6re 2012\u2032de \u201cgelir art\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d bekleyenlerde 3 puanl\u0131k gerileme var.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2064466397\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ancak ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 55\u2032inin T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi ile ilgili beklentisi olumlu y\u00f6nde. Bu konuda \u2018kentliler\u2019 daha iyimser. Enflasyonda art\u0131\u015f bekleniyor. 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u2018enflasyon artar\u2019 diyenlerin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 41\u2032ken, 2012\u2032de \u2018enflasyon artar\u2019 diyenlerin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 52. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 31\u2032i borsada \u2018y\u00fckselme\u2019 bekliyor. Y\u00fczde 16\u2032s\u0131 dolar\u0131n \u2018\u00e7ok artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u2019, y\u00fczde 50\u2032si \u2018az artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u2019 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Toplamda \u2018dolar kuru artar\u2019 diyenlerin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 66\u2032ya ula\u015f\u0131yor. Euro\u2019da bu oran y\u00fczde 56. Ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 52\u2032si ki\u015fisel tasarruf i\u00e7in alt\u0131n\u0131 tercih ediyor. Gayrimenkul ikinci s\u0131rada yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>BEKLENT\u0130LERDE END\u0130\u015eE R\u00dcZGARI<\/p>\n<p>Ipsos KMG Sosyal Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Tongu\u00e7 \u00c7oban, ara\u015ft\u0131rma sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle de\u011ferlendiriyor: \u201cAra\u015ft\u0131rma sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, toplumsal beklentiler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan 2011\u2032deki \u2018Bahar Havas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde devam etti\u011fi, ama \u00f6zellikle ki\u015fisel ekonomik beklentilerde endi\u015fe r\u00fczgarlar\u0131n\u0131n da hafif hafif esmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. 2012\u2032ye girerken T\u00fcrkiye ile ilgili \u2018iyimser\u2019 hislere sahip olanlar, 5 puanl\u0131k azalmayla y\u00fczde 52\u2032ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>2011\u2032de \u2018ki\u015fisel olarak daha iyi durumda olaca\u011f\u0131m\u2019 diyenler de y\u00fczde 41\u2032den y\u00fczde 39\u2032a iniyor. 2012\u2032ye girerken toplumun y\u00fczde 55\u2032i, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi hakk\u0131nda olumlu bir alg\u0131ya sahip. Bu asl\u0131nda, ekonomi y\u00f6netimine duyulan g\u00fcvenin ve ekonomideki baz\u0131 negatif sinyallerin esasen d\u0131\u015far\u0131daki krizden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki alg\u0131n\u0131n bir g\u00f6stergesi olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Ancak \u2018ki\u015fisel gelirim artar\u2019 diyenler 3 puan azalarak y\u00fczde 34\u2032e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. \u20192012\u2032de enflasyon artar\u2019 diyenler 10 puan y\u00fckseli\u015fle y\u00fczde 52\u2032ye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Toplumun yakla\u015f\u0131k 3\u2032te 2\u2032si Dolar ve Euro kurunda art\u0131\u015f bekliyor. Bir ba\u015fka deyi\u015fle, ki\u015fisel ekonomik beklentilerde endi\u015fe r\u00fczgarlar\u0131 esmeye ba\u015fl\u0131yor.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>EKONOM\u0130 \u0130LE S\u0130YASET AYRI\u015eIYOR<\/p>\n<p>Tongu\u00e7 \u00c7oban\u2019\u0131n de\u011ferlendirmesine g\u00f6re 2012\u2032ye girerken t\u00fcketicilerin sat\u0131n alma ve harcama e\u011filimlerinde de endi\u015feli bir bekleyi\u015ften s\u00f6z edilebilir. \u00c7oban\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle: \u201cYurti\u00e7i tatil beklentisinde 14 puan, t\u00fcketici kredisi al\u0131m niyetinde de 8 puan azalma g\u00f6zleniyor. \u00d6te yandan sa\u011fl\u0131k sigortas\u0131 ve bireysel emeklilik sat\u0131n alma beklentisinde nispi de olsa bir art\u0131\u015f s\u00f6z konusu.<\/p>\n<p>Ekonomik beklentilerdeki \u2018endi\u015fe r\u00fczgarlar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n toplumsal beklentilere birebir yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenemez. Aksine, kamuoyu baz\u0131 toplumsal beklentiler y\u00f6n\u00fcnden hala \u2018iyimser\u2019 bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131na sahip. B\u00fct\u00fcn bu bulgulardan hareketle, yurtta\u015flar\u0131n toplumsal beklentiler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan 2012\u2032ye de \u2018Bahar Havas\u0131\u2019 i\u00e7inde girdi\u011fini ama \u00f6zellikle ki\u015fisel ekonomik beklentiler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan endi\u015fe r\u00fczgarlar\u0131n\u0131n da esmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.\u201d<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-785019271\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ipsos KMG\u2019nin ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na g\u00f6re t\u00fcketici 2012\u2032de daha az kredi kullanacak, daha az tatil yapacak, harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 azaltacak. \u201cToplum T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisini, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n bug\u00fcnk\u00fc ko\u015fullar\u0131nda olumlu g\u00f6rmekle beraber, baz\u0131 endi\u015felerini de ifade ediyor. T\u00fcketicilerin sat\u0131n alma ve harcama e\u011filimlerinde endi\u015fe var. Harcama ve sat\u0131n alma niyetlerinde azalma g\u00f6zleniyor. Sadece mobilya, konut, sa\u011fl\u0131k sigortas\u0131 ve bireysel emeklilik sat\u0131n alma beklentisinde nispi de olsa bir art\u0131\u015f s\u00f6z konusu. Ki\u015fisel gelir beklentisindeki azalmaya paralel olarak, t\u00fcketiciler 2012\u2032de harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 azaltma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde hareket edecekler gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>GAYR\u0130MENKUL VE ALTIN L\u0130STE BA\u015eI<\/p>\n<p>Ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n \u2018ki\u015fisel tasarruf i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131m tercihi\u2019 b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde \u2018alt\u0131n\u2019 tercih s\u0131ras\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 52\u2032si yat\u0131r\u0131mda alt\u0131n\u0131 tercih ediyor. \u0130kinci s\u0131rada gayrimenkul var. Yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u00e7in \u2018ev alma\u2019y\u0131 tercih edenlerin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 29, \u2018arsa alma\u2019y\u0131 tercih edenlerin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 28. \u2018Ev ve arsa\u2019 birlikte, \u2018gayrimenkul\u2019 olarak ele al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bu tercih y\u00fczde 57 oran\u0131yla alt\u0131n\u0131 da geride b\u0131rak\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Tasarruf sahiplerinin y\u00fczde 66\u2032s\u0131 \u2018dolar kuru artar\u2019, y\u00fczde 56\u2032s\u0131 Euro kurunda art\u0131\u015f bekliyor. Bununla birlikte \u2018yat\u0131r\u0131m tercihleri\u2019nda dolar ve Euro, y\u00fczde 10, y\u00fczde 6 gibi \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oranlarda \u2018tercih\u2019 ediliyor. TL\u2019ye yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 tercih edenlerin oran\u0131 da y\u00fczde 9\u2032la d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir d\u00fczeyde. Yat\u0131r\u0131m tercihleri ile ilgili ara\u015ft\u0131rma sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re t\u00fcketici \u2013 tasarruf sahibi, 2012\u2032de borsaya, mevduata, hazine bonosuna da s\u0131cak bakm\u0131yor. Bu \u00fc\u00e7 yat\u0131r\u0131m arac\u0131n\u0131 tercih edenlerin oranlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 4\u2032\u00fcn alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1988961199\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>T\u00dcKET\u0130C\u0130 KRED\u0130 ve TAT\u0130LE SO\u011eUK<\/p>\n<p>Ara\u015ft\u0131rma sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re \u2018endi\u015feli\u2019 bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm veren t\u00fcketici yurti\u00e7i ve yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 tatil, otomobil, cep telefonu, LCD, plazma TV, mutfak, bilgisayar harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecek. Yurti\u00e7i tatil yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyenlerin oran\u0131nda 14 puanl\u0131k, yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 tatil yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyenlerin oran\u0131nda ise 3 puanl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. T\u00fcketiciler 2012\u2032de daha az say\u0131da bilgisayar alacak. \u2018Alaca\u011f\u0131m\u2019 diyenlerin oran\u0131nda 8 puanl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f var.<\/p>\n<p>Otomobil alacaklar\u0131n oran\u0131nda da 2 puanl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Cep telefonu i\u00e7in daha az harcama yapacak t\u00fcketicinin \u2018telefon harcamalar\u0131\u2019 ise 3 puan artacak. Giyim harcamalar\u0131nda (4 puan!) art\u0131\u015f, e\u011fitim ve sa\u011fl\u0131k harcamalar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisi saptayan ara\u015ft\u0131rma sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re t\u00fcketicinin mobilya, sa\u011fl\u0131k sigortas\u0131, bireysel emeklilik ve k\u0131\u015fl\u0131k konut harcamas\u0131 artacak. Bu konularda harcama yapmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenlerin oran\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2 gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oranl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ipsos KMG Sosyal Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc taraf\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen T\u00fcrkiye 2012 Beklentiler \u2013 Be\u011feniler Ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131\u2019na g\u00f6re 2012\u2032de \u201cgelir art\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d bekleyenlerde 3 puanl\u0131k gerileme var. Ancak ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":927,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10403","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10403","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10403"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10403\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/927"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10403"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10403"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10403"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}