{"id":10241,"date":"2012-01-12T09:03:31","date_gmt":"2012-01-12T07:03:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=10241"},"modified":"2012-01-12T09:03:50","modified_gmt":"2012-01-12T07:03:50","slug":"nispi-fiyat-degisimi-gida-ve-enerji-disi-sanayi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/nispi-fiyat-degisimi-gida-ve-enerji-disi-sanayi\/","title":{"rendered":"Nispi Fiyat De\u011fi\u015fimi: G\u0131da ve enerji-d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sanayi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>K\u00fcresel mali piyasalar moralleniyor. New York borsas\u0131 tarihi zirve civar\u0131nda. Almanya \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek de\u011ferinde. Parite 1.27 civar\u0131nda dalgalan\u0131yor. Yava\u015f yava\u015f piyasalar da euro krizinde dibin a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anl\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4293281211\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u0130\u00e7eride TL de\u011fer kazan\u0131yor. D\u00fcn d\u00f6viz sepeti de 2.11 TL\u2019ye geriledi. S\u0131cak parac\u0131lar\u0131n kopard\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcr\u00fclt\u00fc sonu\u00e7 vermedi. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda direnemediler. Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc nedenlerini anlatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Kas\u0131m \u00f6demeler dengesi Merkez Bankas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nland\u0131. D\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131kta s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 da olsa toparlanma belirginle\u015fiyor. Kas\u0131mda cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 5.2 milyar TL oldu. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n y\u00fczde 13 alt\u0131ndad\u0131r. \u0130ki y\u0131ld\u0131r ilk kez k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>E\u011filimdeki de\u011fi\u015fim y\u0131ll\u0131k say\u0131lara da yans\u0131d\u0131. Ekim 2009\u2019da 13 milyar dolardan Ekim 2011\u2019de 79 milyar dolara t\u0131rmanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u0130lk kez d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Y\u0131l\u0131 77 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda kapayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Hizmetlere k\u0131yasla nispi fiyat<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Enflasyon dinamiklerinin geri plan\u0131n\u0131 kavramaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yoruz. Bu ama\u00e7la nispi fiyatlar\u0131n uzun d\u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fimini inceliyoruz. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 1996 sonras\u0131nda mal ve hizmet fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131k. Genelde mallar\u0131n ucuzlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ama 2007 sonras\u0131nda e\u011filimin de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fini saptad\u0131k.<\/p>\n<p>Bug\u00fcn mallar kategorisinin alt kalemlerine giriyorum. \u00dc\u00e7e b\u00f6l\u00fcn\u00fcyor: G\u0131da, enerji ve enerji-d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sanayi. Ancak \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc grafik zor okunuyor. Zaten enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ser\u00fcveni iyi biliniyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile di\u011fer ikisi ile yetiniyorum.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u00f6ntemi de\u011fi\u015ftirmiyorum. Yani gene hizmet fiyatlar\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yorum. Soru \u015f\u00f6yle: Enerji-d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sanayi \u00fcr\u00fcnleri hizmetlere k\u0131yasla ucuzluyor mu? Yoksa pahal\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor mu? Ayn\u0131 mant\u0131k g\u0131da \u00fcr\u00fcnleri i\u00e7in de ge\u00e7erli.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3538813975\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>1996-2002 d\u00f6neminde iki nispi fiyat beraber hareket ediyor. Ben de Ocak 2003\u2019ten ba\u015flad\u0131m. Grafik sadele\u015fti. Ama nispi fiyatlar\u0131 ayn\u0131 bazda (Ocak 1996=100) izlemeye devam ettim.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130ki farkl\u0131 e\u011filim<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Enerji-d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sanayi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine g\u0131da d\u00e2hil de\u011fil. Dayan\u0131kl\u0131, yar\u0131-dayan\u0131kl\u0131 ve dayan\u0131ks\u0131z mallar\u0131n alt-endeksleri beraber davran\u0131yor. Uzun d\u00f6nemde hizmetlere k\u0131yasla ucuzluyor. 1996\u2019dan 2009\u2019a nispi fiyat\u0131 yar\u0131ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. 2009\u2019da durakl\u0131yor. 2011\u2019de az da olsa y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n<p>G\u0131da kalemi ise i\u015flenmi\u015f ve i\u015flenmemi\u015f g\u0131da \u00fcr\u00fcnlerini kaps\u0131yor. Dalgas\u0131 bol. 2003\u2019te nispi fiyat\u0131 enerji-d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sanayi ile e\u015fit. Sonra farkl\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor. \u00d6nce az da olsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Sonra art\u0131\u015fa ge\u00e7ip 2003 d\u00fczeyine geri d\u00f6n\u00fcyor. Yani sekiz y\u0131lda g\u0131dan\u0131n nispi fiyat\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fmiyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1276932972\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>2007 sonras\u0131nda g\u0131dan\u0131n nispi fiyat\u0131ndaki bu art\u0131\u015f \u00e7ok \u00f6nemlidir. Enflasyon s\u00fcrprizlerinin temel nedenlerinden biridir. Bu arada enerjinin hizmetlere k\u0131yasla nisbi fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 2011 sonunda 115\u2019e t\u0131rmand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyelim.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>K\u00fcresel mali piyasalar moralleniyor. New York borsas\u0131 tarihi zirve civar\u0131nda. Almanya \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek de\u011ferinde. Parite 1.27 civar\u0131nda dalgalan\u0131yor. Yava\u015f yava\u015f piyasalar da euro&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10241","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10241","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10241"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10241\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10241"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10241"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10241"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}