{"id":10095,"date":"2012-01-09T14:54:58","date_gmt":"2012-01-09T12:54:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=10095"},"modified":"2012-01-09T14:55:11","modified_gmt":"2012-01-09T12:55:11","slug":"ithalata-dayali-buyume","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/ithalata-dayali-buyume\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130thalata Dayal\u0131 B\u00fcy\u00fcme"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla son bir y\u0131lda T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi y\u00fczde 9.5 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Y\u0131l sonunda da ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcme b\u00fcy\u00fck bir olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 8 civar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u00dc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemler itibar\u0131yla bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ayda, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re, y\u00fczde 12, ikinci \u00fc\u00e7 ayda y\u00fczde 8.8, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00fc\u00e7 ayda y\u00fczde 8.2 reel b\u00fcy\u00fcme ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. B\u00fcy\u00fck bir olas\u0131l\u0131kla, ayn\u0131 bazda son \u00fc\u00e7 aydaki reel b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 5&#8217;in \u00fczerinde \u00e7\u0131kacak.<br \/>\nEkonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6nemlerinde ithalat gereksiniminin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve mutlak olarak ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131n kabard\u0131\u011f\u0131 biliniyor. \u0130hracat\u0131m\u0131z da ithalata dayal\u0131. 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda 135 milyar dolarla rekor k\u0131ran toplam ihracat i\u00e7inde \u00f6nde gelen sekt\u00f6r, ithalata dayal\u0131 olan otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fc oldu. B\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6nemlerinde ithalat yaln\u0131zca mutlak olarak de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda g\u00f6reli olarak da art\u0131yor. Her bir dolarl\u0131k milli gelir \u00fcretimi i\u00e7in g\u00f6reli olarak daha fazla enerji d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ara mallar\u0131 ithal etmek durumunda kal\u0131yoruz.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3338732473\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>#resim#6679#<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Grafikte \u00fc\u00e7er ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemler itibar\u0131yla dolar baz\u0131nda enerji d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ara mallar\u0131 ithalat\u0131n\u0131n dolar baz\u0131ndaki milli gelire oran\u0131 veriliyor. Bir \u00fc\u00e7 aydan di\u011ferine g\u00f6r\u00fclen mevsimsellik etkisi ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki de\u011fi\u015fmeler nedeniyle grafik olduk\u00e7a oynak. Ama genel e\u011filim a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ekonomik k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme d\u00f6nemlerinde enerji d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ara mallar ithalat\u0131n\u0131n milli gelir i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fme e\u011filimi g\u00f6steriyor. Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6nemlerinde ise bu oran art\u0131yor.<br \/>\nBu d\u00f6nemler ayn\u0131 zamanda d\u00f6viz kurundaki e\u011filimlerle de b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u00e7ak\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. B\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6nemlerinde genellikle T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 reel olarak de\u011fer kazan\u0131rken, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme d\u00f6nemleri T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n reel olarak de\u011fer yitirdi\u011fi d\u00f6nemlere rastl\u0131yor.<br \/>\n1998 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana bu grafikle uyumlu bir do\u011fru yerle\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsak, do\u011fru yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde olup 1998 y\u0131l\u0131nda enerji d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ara mallar ithalat\u0131n\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 9 iken, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda bu oran\u0131n y\u00fczde 14.5 civar\u0131nda olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclecekti. Ger\u00e7ekte ise bu oran 1998 y\u0131l\u0131nda ortalama y\u00fczde 9.4 iken 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda ortalama y\u00fczde 15.5 oldu.<br \/>\nMutlak rakamlar daha da \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 bir resim veriyor. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla son on iki ayda enerji d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ara mallar ithalat\u0131n\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131 1998 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalama oran\u0131nda, yani 9.4&#8217;te kalsayd\u0131, son on iki ayda enerji d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ara mallar\u0131 ithalat\u0131 74.5 milyar dolar olacakt\u0131. Halbuki, bu d\u00f6nemde bu kalemdeki toplam ithalat 117 milyar dolar oldu. Yakla\u015f\u0131k 42 milyar dolarl\u0131k ithalat ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin giderek artan oranda ithalat ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131s\u0131 olmas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><strong>KUR ETK\u0130S\u0130<\/strong><br \/>\nBu e\u011filimin ard\u0131nda elbette bir\u00e7ok neden var. Nedenlerden en \u00f6nemlilerinden biri T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin sanayile\u015fme stratejisi. \u0130stihdam yaratacak her t\u00fcrl\u00fc \u00fcretim, kaynak gereksinimine bak\u0131lmadan, hi\u00e7bir ayr\u0131mc\u0131l\u0131k yap\u0131lmadan te\u015fvik edildi. Bu anlamda, en \u00e7ok ara mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131 yapan otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn ihracat \u015fampiyonu olmas\u0131 hi\u00e7 de \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil.<br \/>\nK\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131ran bir di\u011fer etken, reel d\u00f6viz kuru geli\u015fmeleri. K\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde reel olarak de\u011ferlenen T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yurti\u00e7inde \u00fcretilen ara mallar yerine yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan ithalat daha cazip olabiliyor. Ama, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n reel de\u011ferindeki geli\u015fmeler orta-uzun d\u00f6nemde b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin giderek daha fazla ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmas\u0131ndaki e\u011filimi belirleyen \u00f6nemli unsurlardan de\u011fil.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla son bir y\u0131lda T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi y\u00fczde 9.5 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Y\u0131l sonunda da ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcme b\u00fcy\u00fck bir olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 8 civar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u00dc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":675,"featured_media":9441,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10095","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10095","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/675"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10095"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10095\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9441"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10095"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10095"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10095"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}